{"id":69609,"date":"2026-10-15T01:40:30","date_gmt":"2026-10-15T01:40:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/markets-buoyed-as-boe-challenges-rate-hike-bets-amid-surging-oil-and-tighter-european-gas-markets\/"},"modified":"2026-10-15T01:40:30","modified_gmt":"2026-10-15T01:40:30","slug":"markets-buoyed-as-boe-challenges-rate-hike-bets-amid-surging-oil-and-tighter-european-gas-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/markets-buoyed-as-boe-challenges-rate-hike-bets-amid-surging-oil-and-tighter-european-gas-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\u00b7\uc720\ub7fd \uac00\uc2a4\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\u2026\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305\uc5d0 \uc81c\ub3d9 \uac78\uc790 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \u2018\ud6c8\ud48d\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>\uae08\ub9ac \uc815\ucc45\uacfc \uc2ec\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc704\uae30\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc720\ub7fd \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \uc2ec\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uc640\uc911\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc120\ubc18\uc601\uc744 \uacac\uc81c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae38\ud2b8\uac00 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud558\uba70 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BOE)\uc758 \ud544\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 1\ub144\uac04 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 4\ud68c(\ucd1d 100bp) \ubc18\uc601\uc5d0 \uc758\ubb38\uc744 \uc81c\uae30\ud55c \ub4a4 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 4bp \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 5.40%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\ub294 \uace0\uc810\uad8c \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 10\ub144\ubb3c 5.215%, 2\ub144\ubb3c 4.776% \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514 \uc544\ub78c\ucf54\uac00 \ud6c4\ud2f0\uc758 \ub2e4\ub780 \ubcf8\uc0ac \uacf5\uaca9\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 106\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc7ac\ucc28 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 10\uc6d4 11\uc77c\uae4c\uc9c0 2\uc8fc\uac04 \uc120\ubc15 24\ucc99\uc774 \uacf5\uaca9\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\uace0, \ud574\ub2f9\uc77c \ucd94\uc815 \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1\ub7c9\uc740 \ud558\ub8e8 290\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4\ub85c 9\uc6d4 \ud53c\ud06c(1,550\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4) \ub300\ube44 \uae09\uac10\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc0b0\ub410\ub2e4. \ucd08\ub300\ud615 \uc720\uc870\uc120(VLCC) \uc6b4\uc784\uc740 10\uc6d4 9\uc77c \uae30\uc900 \ud558\ub8e8 80\ub9cc5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd TTF \uac00\uc2a4\ub294 \uc57d 87\uc720\ub85c\/MWh \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc800\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 74% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc808 \ud3c9\uade0(\uc57d 90%)\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ud558\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. IEA \uc774\uc0ac\ud68c\ub294 10\uc6d4 15\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc900\ube44 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e4\uc801, \uc2e0\uc6a9 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub808\uc2a4, \uc815\ucc45 \ub3d9\ud5a5<\/h3>\n\n<p>ASML\uc740 2026\ub144 \ub9e4\ucd9c \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub97c 440\uc5b5~450\uc5b5 \uc720\ub85c\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5\ud558\uace0, 2027\ub144\uc5d0 \ub85c\uc6b0-NA EUV \ubc0f DUV \uc774\uba38\uc804(Immersion) \uc124\ube44\ub97c 30% \ud655\ub300\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 2027~28\ub144 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ucda9\uc871\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. 3\ubd84\uae30 EPS\ub294 12.95\uc720\ub85c\ub85c \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4(11.14\uc720\ub85c)\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uace0, \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc740 116\uc5b56,000\ub9cc \uc720\ub85c, \uc21c\uc774\uc775\uc740 49\uc5b56,000\ub9cc \uc720\ub85c, \ub9e4\ucd9c\ucd1d\uc774\uc775\ub960\uc740 57.5%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc124\uce58\uae30\ubc18 \uad00\ub9ac(Installed-base management) \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc740 32\uc5b59,000\ub9cc \uc720\ub85c\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uace0, \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c \ud310\ub9e4\ub294 86\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c 113\ub300\ub85c \ub298\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 AI \uc778\ud504\ub77c \uad00\ub828 \uc2e0\uc6a9 \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \uc7ac\ubd80\uac01\ub418\uba70 CoreWeave\uc758 \ubb34\ub2f4\ubcf4 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\uac00 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \ub300\ube44 130~150bp \ud655\ub300\ub3fc \uc57d 1,000bp \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. 2032\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 \ucc44\uad8c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 \ubc1c\ud589 \ub2f9\uc2dc 9.625%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d 15%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 6\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uae30\uc900 \ubd80\ucc44 \ubc0f \ub9ac\uc2a4 \uc758\ubb34\ub294 520\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4. Anthropic\uc740 \uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 1.8~2\uc870 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uac70\ub860\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370(5\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900 9,650\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec) \uae30\uad00\ud22c\uc790\uac00 \ubbf8\ud305\uc744 \uc900\ube44 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc124\uba85\uc11c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2025\ub144 \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc740 46\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc601\uc5c5\uc190\uc2e4\uc740 80\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\ud68c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc758\ubb34\ub294 \uc57d 5,180\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 80%\ub294 \ud574\uc9c0 \ubd88\uac00)\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc57d 340\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uae08\uc735\ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud574 \uc21c\uc190\uc2e4\uc774 420\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc758 47%\uac00 \ub450 \uac1c\uc758 \ud074\ub77c\uc6b0\ub4dc \ucc44\ub110\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub77c\uac00\ub974\ub4dc ECB \ucd1d\uc7ac\uac00 \uc544\uc9c1 2\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09\ud6a8\uacfc\ub294 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \uc7ac\uc815\uc740 \uac01\uad6d\uc758 \ucc45\uc784\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4. \ud504\ub791\uc2a4 \ud558\uc6d0\uc740 GDP \ub300\ube44 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790 5.4%\ub97c \ub2f4\uc740 2027\ub144 \uacc4\ud68d\uc758 \uc81c1\uc870 \ud45c\uacb0\uc744 \uc9c4\ud589\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ub3c5\uc77c\uc758 9\uc6d4 HICP \ud655\uc815\uce58\ub294 3.3%\uc600\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \uc218\ucd9c 36.3% \uc99d\uac00, \uc218\uc785 31% \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \ubb34\uc5ed\ud751\uc790\uac00 1,335\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc120\ubc18\uc601 \uacac\uc81c\uc5d0 \uc720\ub7fd\ucc44 \uac15\uc138, \uae38\ud2b8\uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uc6b4\uc784 \uae09\ub4f1, \uac00\uc2a4 \uc800\uc7a5\ub960 \ubd80\uc9c4. ASML \uc2e4\uc801\u00b7\uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc0c1\ud5a5, AI \uc2e0\uc6a9\ubd88\uc548 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69608,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69609","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc120\ubc18\uc601 \uacac\uc81c\uc5d0 \uc720\ub7fd\ucc44 \uac15\uc138, \uae38\ud2b8\uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uc6b4\uc784 \uae09\ub4f1, \uac00\uc2a4 \uc800\uc7a5\ub960 \ubd80\uc9c4. 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