{"id":69202,"date":"2026-10-07T01:44:09","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T01:44:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/td-securities-sees-fed-hikes-delayed-to-2026-27-as-dollar-upside-capped-amid-crowded-g10-shorts\/"},"modified":"2026-10-07T01:44:09","modified_gmt":"2026-10-07T01:44:09","slug":"td-securities-sees-fed-hikes-delayed-to-2026-27-as-dollar-upside-capped-amid-crowded-g10-shorts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/td-securities-sees-fed-hikes-delayed-to-2026-27-as-dollar-upside-capped-amid-crowded-g10-shorts\/","title":{"rendered":"TD\uc99d\uad8c \u201cG10 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uacfc\ubc00\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc81c\ud55c\u2026Fed \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 2026~27\ub144\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc5f0 \uc804\ub9dd\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc640 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uc5c6\uc774 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uba70, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc804\ub9dd \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 2026\ub144 12\uc6d4\uacfc 2027\ub144 3\uc6d4\ub85c \ub2a6\ucdc4\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\ub300(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305)\ub294 \uc815\uc810\uc744 \uc9c0\ub09c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\uba70, Fed\uac00 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ub2e8\ud589\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub0ae\uc544 \ub370\uc774\ud130\u00b7\uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\ud654\ub420 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc9c4\ub2e8\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 Fed\uac00 \ubd84\uae30\ubcc4 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba70, \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucd94\uac00 \ubd80\uc591\uc744 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub77c\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubd84\uae30 1\ud68c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc62c\ub9ac\uae30\ub294 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc790\uccb4 \uc2a4\ucf54\uc5b4\uce74\ub4dc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \uc6b0\uc704, \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5, \uac15\ud55c \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD)\ub97c \ucd5c\uc0c1\uc704\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\uc73c\uba70, MRSI\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uace0 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub871\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4. \uc544\uc6b8\ub7ec \uc800\uae08\ub9ac G10 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\u2014\ud2b9\ud788 \uc2a4\uc6e8\ub374 \ud06c\ub85c\ub098(SEK), \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec(CAD), \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD)\u2014\uc774 \uacfc\ubc00\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n<h3>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\uac8c \uc811\uadfc\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \ud55c\uacc4\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc728 \uae30\uc900 GDP 2.5%\uc758 \uc548\uc815\uc801 \uc131\uc7a5\uacfc 4.1% \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\ub85c \ub208\uc5d0 \ub744\uac8c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \u2018\uacac\uc870\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ube44(\u975e)\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc801\uc778\u2019 \uc131\uc7a5 \ud750\ub984\uc740 Fed\uac00 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \ubb36\uc5b4\ub458 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 2026\ub144 12\uc6d4\uacfc 2027\ub144 3\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubbf8\ub8f0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uac00\uaca9 \ubc18\uc601\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc815\uc810\uc744 \ud1b5\uacfc\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d 2\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4.0% \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud55c \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc81c\ud55c\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ucf5c \ub77c\uc774\ud2b8) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uacfc\ubc00\ud574\uc9c4 G10 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc20f\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc131\uc7a5 \uaca9\ucc28 \uc6b0\uc704 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ubd80 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc0c1 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc810\uc218\ub97c \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc800\uae08\ub9ac G10 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uacfc\ubc00\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ucd5c\uadfc \uac70\ub798 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc21c\uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \uace0\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc20f \uc2a4\ud034\uc988(\ub418\uc0ac\uae30) \ubc1c\uc0dd\uc5d0 \ucde8\uc57d\ud558\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc800\ud3c9\uac00\ub41c \uc774\ub4e4 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc804\uc220\uc801 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud574, \ubc18\uc804 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \ucd94\uaca9\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294, \uc8fc\uc694 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud06c\ub85c\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ud6a1\ubcf4 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c 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href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ub05d\ubb3c\uc778\uac00?\u201d TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 Fed \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 2026\ub144 12\uc6d4\u00b72027\ub144 3\uc6d4\ub85c \uc5f0\uae30, \ub9e4\ud30c \uae30\ub300 \uc815\uc810 \ud1b5\uacfc \uc9c4\ub2e8. \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc608\uc0c1 \uc18d SEK\u00b7CAD\u00b7NZD \uc20f \uacfc\ubc00\uc5d0 \uc20f\uc2a4\ud034\uc988 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