{"id":69102,"date":"2026-09-30T01:39:41","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T01:39:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/goolsbee-flags-inflation-persistence-and-deficit-stimulus-warns-refinery-bottlenecks-may-keep-price-pressures-elevated\/"},"modified":"2026-09-30T01:39:41","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T01:39:41","slug":"goolsbee-flags-inflation-persistence-and-deficit-stimulus-warns-refinery-bottlenecks-may-keep-price-pressures-elevated","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/goolsbee-flags-inflation-persistence-and-deficit-stimulus-warns-refinery-bottlenecks-may-keep-price-pressures-elevated\/","title":{"rendered":"\uad74\uc2a4\ube44, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uace0\ucc29\ud654\u00b7\uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\ubc1c \uacbd\uae30\ubd80\uc591 \uc9c0\uc801\u2026\uc815\uc720 \ubcd1\ubaa9\uc5d0 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825 \uace0\uc870 \uacbd\uace0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc2dc\uce74\uace0 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc740\ud589(\uc5f0\uc740) \ucd1d\uc7ac \uc624\uc2a4\ud134 \uad74\uc988\ube44\ub294 2027\ub144 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\uc5d0\uc11c \ud22c\ud45c\uad8c\uc744 \uac16\ub294 \uc778\uc0ac\ub85c, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900) \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub97c 5\ub144 \ubc18 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud574\uc654\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc5f0\ubc29 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\uac00 \uacbd\uae30\ubd80\uc591\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574 \uacbd\uc81c \uacfc\uc5f4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \u201c\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\u201d\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \ub118\uae30\ub294(look through) \uc811\uadfc\uc758 \ud0c0\ub2f9\uc131\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc758\ubb38\uc744 \uc81c\uae30\ud558\uba70, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ubd80\ubb38 \uc81c\uc57d\uc744 \uc9c0\ubaa9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\ub294 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc815\uc81c\ub2a5\ub825(\uc815\uc720\uc124\ube44) \ubcf5\uc6d0\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub354 \uae4c\ub2e4\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc6b4\uc601\uc0c1\uc758 \ubcd1\ubaa9\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uad74\uc988\ube44\ub294 2023~2024\ub144 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ud5a5\ud574 \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uac00\ub294 \ub4ef\ud588\uc73c\ub098 \uc9c4\uc804\uc774 \uba48\ucdc4\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc815\ucc45\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc99d\uac70\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud55c\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\uac1c\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 AI \uc8fc\ub3c4\uc758 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131 \ud5a5\uc0c1\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc0c1\uc1c4 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \uadf8\ub7f0 \uae30\ub300 \uc790\uccb4\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud558\uba70 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc8fc\uc758\ub97c \ucd09\uad6c\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\ubc95\uc740 \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ub9cc\uc871\uc2dc\ud0a4\uac70\ub098 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \u2018\uae5c\uc9dd\u2019 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ub9c9\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc758\ubb34\ud654\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc790\uc2e0\uc758 \uc785\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc778 \ucd95\uc5d0 \uc18d\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \uae08\ub9ac \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c 5\ub144 \ubc18\uc9f8 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc774 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 2.6% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub048\uc801\ud558\uac8c \ubc84\ud2f0\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ub9c9\ub300\ud55c \uc815\ubd80 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\uac00 \uacbd\uae30\ubd80\uc591\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uacfc\uc5f4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc740 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ub610\ub294 TLT\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30\ucc44 \ud380\ub4dc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uc81c\uc548\ud55c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uad6d\uba74\uc758 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \ubaa9\ud45c \uc0c1\ud68c \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654\u00b7\uc815\uccb4\ub420 \ub54c \uc7a5\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4.3% \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \uc7ac\uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\uba74 \uc635\uc158 \uacc4\uc57d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc758\ubbf8\ud55c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uae30\ub300\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uc8fc\uc2dd \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ubc0f \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\uac00\ubd80\ucc44\uac00 35\uc870\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud6cc\uca4d \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uace0\ucc29\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ud560 \uc218\ubc16\uc5d0 \uc5c6\ub2e4. 10\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uad00\ucc30\ud574\uc57c \ud558\uba70, \ub610 \ud55c \ubc88 \u2018\ub728\uac70\uc6b4\u2019 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uace0\ud3c9\uac00\ub41c \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ucd09\ubc1c\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488, \ud2b9\ud788 \ud718\ubc1c\uc720\u00b7\ub09c\ubc29\uc720 \ub4f1 \uc815\uc81c\uc720 \uc81c\ud488 \uc635\uc158\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub4f1\ub77d\uc744 \uac70\ub4ed\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc815\uc720 \ubcd1\ubaa9\uc774 \uc5f0\ub8cc \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub048\uc801\ud55c \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c1\uc811 \uc804\uc774\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\uc218(\ub871) \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ud55c \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uacf5\uae09 \uce21 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc778\ud50c\ub808 5\ub144\ubc18 \ubaa9\ud45c \uc0c1\ud68c\u201d \uad74\uc988\ube44 \uacbd\uace0\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ud30c \uc804\ud658 \uc6b0\ub824. \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\u00b7\uc815\uc720 \ubcd1\ubaa9\uc774 \uacfc\uc5f4\/\ud575\uc2ec\ubb3c\uac00 \ub048\uc801\uc784 \ud0a4\uc6cc \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \ub300\ube44. \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7VIX\u00b7\uc815\uc81c\uc720 \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0\/\ub871 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69101,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69102","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uc778\ud50c\ub808 5\ub144\ubc18 \ubaa9\ud45c \uc0c1\ud68c\u201d \uad74\uc988\ube44 \uacbd\uace0\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ud30c \uc804\ud658 \uc6b0\ub824. \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\u00b7\uc815\uc720 \ubcd1\ubaa9\uc774 \uacfc\uc5f4\/\ud575\uc2ec\ubb3c\uac00 \ub048\uc801\uc784 \ud0a4\uc6cc \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \ub300\ube44. \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7VIX\u00b7\uc815\uc81c\uc720 \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0\/\ub871 \uc804\ub7b5 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