{"id":69092,"date":"2026-09-29T23:38:41","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T23:38:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/boes-taylor-urges-disciplined-stance-on-energy-shocks-flags-inflation-risks-and-second-round-effects\/"},"modified":"2026-09-29T23:38:41","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T23:38:41","slug":"boes-taylor-urges-disciplined-stance-on-energy-shocks-flags-inflation-risks-and-second-round-effects","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/boes-taylor-urges-disciplined-stance-on-energy-shocks-flags-inflation-risks-and-second-round-effects\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ud14c\uc77c\ub7ec, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9 \ub300\uc751\uc5d0 \u2018\uaddc\uc728 \uc788\ub294\u2019 \uae30\uc870 \ucd09\uad6c\u2026\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\u00b72\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09\ud6a8\uacfc \uacbd\uace0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE) \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(MPC) \uc704\uc6d0\uc778 \uc568\ub7f0 \ud14c\uc77c\ub7ec\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc8fc\ub85c \uc0c1\ub300\uac00\uaca9 \ucda9\uaca9(relative-price shock)\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc774\uc5d0 \uae30\uacc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc751\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uc548 \ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\ub294 \uacbd\uacc4\uc2ec\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub418 \uaddc\uc728 \uc788\uac8c \uc6b4\uc6a9\ub3fc\uc57c \ud558\uba70, \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ub204\uc801\ub418\uace0 2\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09\ud6a8\uacfc(second-round effects)\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\ub294\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub97c \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7f0 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc815\ucc45 \ud310\ub2e8\uc740 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c8 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4. \ud14c\uc77c\ub7ec\ub294 \ub610\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294(non-trivial) \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub0a8\uc544\uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc99d\uac70\ub294 \uc804\ubc18\uc801 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ucda9\uaca9(general inflation shock)\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba70 \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac\uae4c\uc9c0 2022\ub144\uc5d0 \uad00\uce21\ub410\ub358 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\uac1c \uc591\uc0c1\uc758 \uc7ac\ud604\uc5d0 \ub35c \ucde8\uc57d\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc9c0\ub09c \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ud14c\uc77c\ub7ec\ub294 \ub2e4\uc218\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Bank Rate)\ub97c 3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0 \ud45c\ub97c \ub358\uc84c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc758 \uc785\uc99d \ucc45\uc784(burden of proof)\uc740 2\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09\ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \ud655\uc0b0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc99d\uac70\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uba70, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\uc774\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ud55c \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc758 \uadfc\uac70\ub294 \uc124\ub4dd\ub825\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \ud14c\uc77c\ub7ec\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uad00\ub828 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba74 \uc815\ucc45\uc740 \ubc18\ub300 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uacfc \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \uacfc\ubbfc \ubc18\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ud53c\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\uc640\ub3c4 \ubd80\ud569\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ud604\uc7ac SONIA(\uc2a4\ud138\ub9c1 \uc775\uc77c\uc9c0\uc218\ud3c9\uade0) \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04\uc758 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \ud1b5\ud654\uc644\ud654 \ubca0\ud305\uc758 \uc720\ud639\uc744 \uacbd\uacc4\ud558\uba70, \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \u2018\uc548\uc815\uc801 \ub3d9\uacb0\u2019 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 75\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc601\uad6d \ucc9c\uc5f0\uac00\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uacc4\uc808\uc801 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 2.2% \ub0b4\uc678\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 2022\ub144 \uc704\uae30\ucc98\ub7fc \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\uc640\ud504 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud604\uc7ac \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\ub2e4. \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uae30\uacc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \uacfc\ub300\ud3c9\uac00\ub41c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4(sell)\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>2\ucc28 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud30c\uae09\ud6a8\uacfc \uc810\uac80<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uba3c\uc800 \uc9c4\uc815\ud55c 2\ucc28 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud30c\uae09\ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uacfc \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 PMI \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub4e4 2\ucc28 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4\uba74, \uc77c\uc77c \uc720\uac00 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\uc5d0 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud558\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44(\uae38\ud2b8)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\ub294 \ubbf8\uc2a4\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc2f1\uc744 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ud3b8\uc548\ud558\uac8c \uacf5\ub7b5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uaddc\uc728 \uc788\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud544\uc694\ud55c \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc1fc\ud06c=\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u201d \uacf5\uc2dd \uae68\uc84c\ub2e4: BoE \ud14c\uc77c\ub7ec, \uc0c1\ub300\uac00\uaca9 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d4 \uae30\uacc4\uc801 \ub300\uc751 \uacbd\uacc4. 3.75% \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc720\uc9c0, 2\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09\u00b7\uc784\uae08\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc9c0\ud45c \uac10\uc2dc. SONIA \ub3d9\uacb0 \ubc18\uc601, \ub2e8\uae30 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc720\ud6a8.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69091,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69092","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc1fc\ud06c=\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u201d \uacf5\uc2dd \uae68\uc84c\ub2e4: BoE \ud14c\uc77c\ub7ec, \uc0c1\ub300\uac00\uaca9 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d4 \uae30\uacc4\uc801 \ub300\uc751 \uacbd\uacc4. 3.75% \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc720\uc9c0, 2\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09\u00b7\uc784\uae08\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc9c0\ud45c \uac10\uc2dc. SONIA \ub3d9\uacb0 \ubc18\uc601, \ub2e8\uae30 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc720\ud6a8.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/boes-taylor-urges-disciplined-stance-on-energy-shocks-flags-inflation-risks-and-second-round-effects\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 5.0.1.1\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ud14c\uc77c\ub7ec, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9 \ub300\uc751\uc5d0 \u2018\uaddc\uc728 \uc788\ub294\u2019 \uae30\uc870 \ucd09\uad6c\u2026\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\u00b72\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09\ud6a8\uacfc \uacbd\uace0 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u201c\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc1fc\ud06c=\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u201d \uacf5\uc2dd \uae68\uc84c\ub2e4: BoE \ud14c\uc77c\ub7ec, \uc0c1\ub300\uac00\uaca9 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d4 \uae30\uacc4\uc801 \ub300\uc751 \uacbd\uacc4. 3.75% \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc720\uc9c0, 2\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09\u00b7\uc784\uae08\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc9c0\ud45c \uac10\uc2dc. SONIA \ub3d9\uacb0 \ubc18\uc601, \ub2e8\uae30 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc720\ud6a8.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/boes-taylor-urges-disciplined-stance-on-energy-shocks-flags-inflation-risks-and-second-round-effects\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-09-29T23:38:41+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-29T23:38:41+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/vtmarketsglobal\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@vtmarketsglobal\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ud14c\uc77c\ub7ec, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9 \ub300\uc751\uc5d0 \u2018\uaddc\uc728 \uc788\ub294\u2019 \uae30\uc870 \ucd09\uad6c\u2026\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\u00b72\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09\ud6a8\uacfc \uacbd\uace0 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u201c\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc1fc\ud06c=\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u201d \uacf5\uc2dd \uae68\uc84c\ub2e4: BoE \ud14c\uc77c\ub7ec, \uc0c1\ub300\uac00\uaca9 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d4 \uae30\uacc4\uc801 \ub300\uc751 \uacbd\uacc4. 3.75% \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc720\uc9c0, 2\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09\u00b7\uc784\uae08\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc9c0\ud45c \uac10\uc2dc. SONIA \ub3d9\uacb0 \ubc18\uc601, \ub2e8\uae30 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc720\ud6a8.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@vtmarketsglobal\" \/>\n\t\t<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"aioseo-schema\">\n\t\t\t{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"BlogPosting\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.vtmarkets.com\\\/kr-asia\\\/live-updates\\\/boes-taylor-urges-disciplined-stance-on-energy-shocks-flags-inflation-risks-and-second-round-effects\\\/#blogposting\",\"name\":\"\\uc601\\ub780\\uc740\\ud589\\uc758 \\ud14c\\uc77c\\ub7ec, \\uc5d0\\ub108\\uc9c0 \\ucda9\\uaca9 \\ub300\\uc751\\uc5d0 \\u2018\\uaddc\\uc728 \\uc788\\ub294\\u2019 \\uae30\\uc870 \\ucd09\\uad6c\\u2026\\uc778\\ud50c\\ub808\\uc774\\uc158 \\ub9ac\\uc2a4\\ud06c\\u00b72\\ucc28 \\ud30c\\uae09\\ud6a8\\uacfc \\uacbd\\uace0 - VT Markets\",\"headline\":\"\\uc601\\ub780\\uc740\\ud589\\uc758 \\ud14c\\uc77c\\ub7ec, \\uc5d0\\ub108\\uc9c0 \\ucda9\\uaca9 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