{"id":69086,"date":"2026-09-29T21:39:48","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T21:39:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/standard-chartered-sees-rbi-set-for-october-december-rate-rises-as-inflation-nears-6-ceiling\/"},"modified":"2026-09-29T21:39:48","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T21:39:48","slug":"standard-chartered-sees-rbi-set-for-october-december-rate-rises-as-inflation-nears-6-ceiling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/standard-chartered-sees-rbi-set-for-october-december-rate-rises-as-inflation-nears-6-ceiling\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc2a4\ud0e0\ub2e4\ub4dc\ucc28\ud0c0\ub4dc \u201c\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 6% \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uadfc\uc811\u2026\uc778\ub3c4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589, 10\u00b712\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc804\ub9dd\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc2a4\ud0e0\ub2e4\ub4dc\ucc28\ud0c0\ub4dc \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ub9ac\uc11c\uce58\ub294 \uc778\ub3c4 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(MPC)\uac00 10\uc6d4 7\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ub808\ud3ec\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 5.50%\ub85c \uc62c\ub9ac\uace0, 12\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ub2e8\ud589\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd1d 50bp \uae34\ucd95\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ubca0\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc778\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c\ub294 \ub300\uc548 \uacbd\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc77c \uacbd\uc6b0 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c 25~50bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ubb3c\uac00 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 9\uc6d4 CPI \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 5.7%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uace0, 12\uc6d4 MPC \ud68c\uc758 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\ub294 6%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub2e4\ubd24\ub2e4. \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc911\uae30 \ubaa9\ud45c 4%\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c 2~6%\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud5c8\uc6a9 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ub454 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud504\ub808\uc784\uc6cc\ud06c\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\uc73c\uba70, FY26\uc758 2.5%\uc5d0\uc11c FY27\uc5d0\ub294 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 5%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac08 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud3ec\ud568\ud574 \u2018\uc815\uc0c1\ud654 \ubcf5\uadc0\u2019\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \ucee4\ubba4\ub2c8\ucf00\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 10\uc6d4 7\uc77c \uc815\ucc45 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc778\ub3c4 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c(Indian Government Bond futures)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc20f)\ud574 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud53c\ubc97\uc5d0 \uc989\uc2dc \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \ub2ec \ub808\ud3ec\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ub3fc 5.50%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\uace0 12\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub3c4 25bp \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 1\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 OIS(Overnight Index Swaps) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc9c0\uae09(pay fixed)\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc774\ub3d9\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubc0f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uac70\uc2dc \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc778\ub3c4 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 6.5%\ub97c \ubb34\ub09c\ud788 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 2022\ub144 \ubb3c\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 250bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ub2e8\ud589\ud588\ub358 \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc5f0\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub85c\ub294 \ubca4\uce58\ub9c8\ud06c \ucc44\uad8c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac15\ub825\ud788 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 6% \uc784\uacc4\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ud6c4\ud589\uc801 \ub300\uc751(behind the curve)\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 2027\ub144 \ucd08 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \u2018\ud504\ub7f0\ud2b8\ub85c\ub529\u2019\uc740 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120\uc758 \ube60\ub978 \ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub2dd(\ud3c9\ud0c4\ud654)\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30\ucc44\ub97c \ub9e4\uc218(\ub871)\ud558\uace0 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc20f)\ud558\ub294 \ucee4\ube0c \ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub108 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>SC \u201c\uc778\ub3c4, 10\uc6d4\u00b712\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uc720\ub825\u201d\u2026CPI 12\uc6d4 6% \uc0c1\ud68c \uc2dc 25~50bp \ucd94\uac00\ub3c4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \uad6d\ucc44\uc120\ubb3c \uc20f\u00b71Y OIS \ud398\uc774\ud53d\uc2a4, OTM \ud48b\u00b7\ucee4\ube0c \ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub108 \ucd94\ucc9c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69085,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69086","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"SC \u201c\uc778\ub3c4, 10\uc6d4\u00b712\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uc720\ub825\u201d\u2026CPI 12\uc6d4 6% \uc0c1\ud68c \uc2dc 25~50bp \ucd94\uac00\ub3c4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \uad6d\ucc44\uc120\ubb3c \uc20f\u00b71Y OIS \ud398\uc774\ud53d\uc2a4, OTM \ud48b\u00b7\ucee4\ube0c \ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub108 \ucd94\ucc9c.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" 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