{"id":68931,"date":"2026-09-27T23:19:53","date_gmt":"2026-09-27T23:19:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/cot-data-show-record-soybean-bearish-bets-as-lean-hogs-sterling-and-kiwi-positioning-shifts\/"},"modified":"2026-09-27T23:19:53","modified_gmt":"2026-09-27T23:19:53","slug":"cot-data-show-record-soybean-bearish-bets-as-lean-hogs-sterling-and-kiwi-positioning-shifts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/cot-data-show-record-soybean-bearish-bets-as-lean-hogs-sterling-and-kiwi-positioning-shifts\/","title":{"rendered":"COT \ub370\uc774\ud130, \ub300\ub450 \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ubca0\ud305 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\u2026\ub3c8\uc721\u00b7\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\u00b7\ud0a4\uc704 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\ub3c4 \ubcc0\ud654"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>2026\ub144 39\uc8fc\ucc28 \ucee4\ubbf8\ud2b8\uba3c\ud2b8 \uc624\ube0c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc2a4(COT) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 1995\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac70\uc2ac\ub7ec \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, \ub300\ud615 \ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825(Large Speculators)\uc774 \ub300\ub450(soybeans), \ub300\ub450\uc720(soybean oil), \ub300\ub450\ubc15(soybean meal) \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uadf9\ub2e8\uc758 \uc21c\ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc(\uc21c\uc20f) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub97c \ub2e8\uc77c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc774\ub840\uc801 \ud604\uc0c1\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc139\ud130 \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ub4dc\ubb38 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc73c\ub85c \uaddc\uc815\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub9c8\uc9c4 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790 \ud5e4\uc9c0(Producer hedging)\uac00 \ub418\uac10\uae30(unwind)\ub420 \uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc801\ud558\ub294\ub370, 2020\ub144 10\uc6d4 \ub2f9\uc2dc \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uadf9\ub2e8\uc758 \ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac04 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \uc5b8\uae09\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucc28\ud2b8\uc0c1 \uacfc\uac70 \uc720\uc0ac \uad6d\uba74(\uc544\ub0a0\ub85c\uadf8)\uc73c\ub85c\ub294, \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac8c \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ub298\uc5b4\ub09c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc57d \ud55c \ub2ec \ubc18\uac00\ub7c9 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub978 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub9b0 \ud638\uadf8(lean hogs)\uac00 5\ub144 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 COT \uae30\uc900 \u2018\ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc \uadf9\ub2e8\u2019\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. 8\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 \ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc \uadf9\ub2e8\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ubc14 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ubc88 \ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uacfc\uac70 \uc720\uc0ac \uc5d0\ud53c\uc18c\ub4dc \ub300\ube44 \ub354 \ud070 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ub41c\ub2e4. FX\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc138\ub825(Commercials)\uc774 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654(sterling)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc8fc\uac04 29%, \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 28%\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \ub300\ube44 \ud070 \uc8fc\uac04 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 Commercials\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc81c\ub85c(0) \uc704\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc130\uace0 ICOT \uc810\uc218\ub294 65~70 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub418\uba70, \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654 \uc5ed\uc2dc ICOT \ubc0f 5\ub144 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \ub9e5\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<h3>\ub300\ub450 \ucf64\ud50c\ub809\uc2a4: \ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc \uadf9\ub2e8\uacfc \ub2e8\uae30 \uc870\uc815 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c<\/h3>\n<p>\ub300\ub450 \ucf64\ud50c\ub809\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc804\ub840 \uc5c6\ub294 \uad6c\ub3c4\uac00 \uc804\uac1c\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub300\ud615 \ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825\uc774 \uc21c\uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uc800\uc810\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud655\ub300\ud588\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uae30\ub85d\uc801 \uc218\ud655(45\uc5b58,000\ub9cc \ubd80\uc178 \uc774\uc0c1) \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\ub450 \uc120\ubb3c \uc21c\uc20f\uc774 18\ub9cc \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uadf9\ub2e8 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc811\uadfc\uc5d0 \uac01\ubcc4\ud55c \uc8fc\uc758\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc77c\uac01\uc5d0\uc11c 2020\ub144 10\uc6d4\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc20f \uc2a4\ud034\uc988\ub97c \uc6b0\ub824\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \uac00\uaca9 \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub354 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc0c1\uc5c5 \ud5e4\uc800(Commercial hedgers)\ub4e4\uc774 \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uad6c\ucd95\ud574 \uc654\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ub9c8\uc9c4\ucf5c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub300\ube44\uac00 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc798 \ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uacf5\ud3ec\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud55c \ub9e4\uc218 \uccad\uc0b0(panic-buy cover)\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub418, \ud558\ub77d \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \uae38\uc5b4\ub3c4 1~2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub458 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<h3>\ub9b0 \ud638\uadf8\uc640 FX: \ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc \uadf9\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n<p>\ubc18\uba74 \ub9b0 \ud638\uadf8\ub294 \ub300\ud615 \ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825\uc774 \ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc \uadf9\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub9e4\uc218 \uad00\uc810\uc758 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub3c8\uc721 \uc120\ubb3c\uc774 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub2f9 70\uc13c\ud2b8 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 5\ub144 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ucd5c\uadfc CFTC \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc21c\ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc758 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc740 \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub358 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04\uc758 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud1b5\ud654\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc138\ub825\uc774 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654 \uc21c\ub871\uc744 \ub2e8 1\uc8fc \ub9cc\uc5d0 29% \ub298\ub9ac\uba70 \uac15\ud55c \ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ud3ec\ucc29\ub41c\ub2e4. GBP\/USD\uac00 1.32 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \ub9d0 \uac15\ud55c \ub7a0\ub9ac\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc14b\uc5c5\uc744 \uc5f0\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc870\uc815(\uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d) \uc2dc \uc800\uac00\ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc911\uae30\uc801 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc81c\uc5b8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc138\ub825 \uc21c\ub871 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c 28%\uc758 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc811\uadfc\uc740 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\ucc98\ub7fc \uba85\ud655\ud55c \ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc \uc14b\uc5c5\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac, \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 5\ub144 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \ucc28\ud2b8\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ud63c\uc7ac\ub3fc \uc788\uace0 \ud615\uc131\uc774 \ub35c \uc9c4\uc804\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 1~2\uc8fc \ub0b4 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubc14\ub2e5 \ud615\uc131 \ud328\ud134\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub41c \uc774\ud6c4 \ub871 \ud30c\uc0dd \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uad8c\uace0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825 \uc20f, \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uadf9\ub2e8\u201d COT 39\uc8fc\ucc28: \ub300\ub450 \ucf64\ud50c\ub809\uc2a4 \ub3d9\ubc18 \uc21c\uc20f \uae09\uc99d\uc5d0 1~2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc870\uc815 \uacbd\uace0. \ub9b0\ud638\uadf8\ub294 5\ub144 \uc800\uc810\uc11c \ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc \uadf9\ub2e8. FX\ub294 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\u00b7NZD \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc138\ub825 \uc21c\ub871 \ud655\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50326,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68931","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825 \uc20f, \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uadf9\ub2e8\u201d COT 39\uc8fc\ucc28: \ub300\ub450 \ucf64\ud50c\ub809\uc2a4 \ub3d9\ubc18 \uc21c\uc20f \uae09\uc99d\uc5d0 1~2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc870\uc815 \uacbd\uace0. \ub9b0\ud638\uadf8\ub294 5\ub144 \uc800\uc810\uc11c \ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc \uadf9\ub2e8. FX\ub294 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\u00b7NZD \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc138\ub825 \uc21c\ub871 \ud655\ub300.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/cot-data-show-record-soybean-bearish-bets-as-lean-hogs-sterling-and-kiwi-positioning-shifts\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 5.0.1.1\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"COT \ub370\uc774\ud130, \ub300\ub450 \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ubca0\ud305 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\u2026\ub3c8\uc721\u00b7\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\u00b7\ud0a4\uc704 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\ub3c4 \ubcc0\ud654 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u201c\ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825 \uc20f, \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uadf9\ub2e8\u201d COT 39\uc8fc\ucc28: \ub300\ub450 \ucf64\ud50c\ub809\uc2a4 \ub3d9\ubc18 \uc21c\uc20f \uae09\uc99d\uc5d0 1~2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc870\uc815 \uacbd\uace0. \ub9b0\ud638\uadf8\ub294 5\ub144 \uc800\uc810\uc11c \ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc \uadf9\ub2e8. FX\ub294 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\u00b7NZD \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc138\ub825 \uc21c\ub871 \ud655\ub300.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/cot-data-show-record-soybean-bearish-bets-as-lean-hogs-sterling-and-kiwi-positioning-shifts\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-09-27T23:19:53+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-27T23:19:53+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/vtmarketsglobal\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@vtmarketsglobal\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"COT \ub370\uc774\ud130, \ub300\ub450 \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ubca0\ud305 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\u2026\ub3c8\uc721\u00b7\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\u00b7\ud0a4\uc704 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\ub3c4 \ubcc0\ud654 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u201c\ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825 \uc20f, \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uadf9\ub2e8\u201d COT 39\uc8fc\ucc28: \ub300\ub450 \ucf64\ud50c\ub809\uc2a4 \ub3d9\ubc18 \uc21c\uc20f \uae09\uc99d\uc5d0 1~2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc870\uc815 \uacbd\uace0. \ub9b0\ud638\uadf8\ub294 5\ub144 \uc800\uc810\uc11c \ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc \uadf9\ub2e8. 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