{"id":68877,"date":"2026-09-25T09:19:24","date_gmt":"2026-09-25T09:19:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/us-iran-hormuz-talks-ease-oil-deepen-bond-rout-as-uk-rate-hike-bets-mount\/"},"modified":"2026-09-25T09:19:24","modified_gmt":"2026-09-25T09:19:24","slug":"us-iran-hormuz-talks-ease-oil-deepen-bond-rout-as-uk-rate-hike-bets-mount","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/us-iran-hormuz-talks-ease-oil-deepen-bond-rout-as-uk-rate-hike-bets-mount\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\u2026\uc601\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\ub300\ub85c \ucc44\uad8c \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138 \uc2ec\ud654"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ub85c\uc774\ud130\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc758 \ud611\uc0c1 \ub300\ud45c\ub4e4\uc774 \u2018\ub2e8\uacc4\uc801 \uc804\uc7c1 \ucd9c\uad6c\u2019 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \ub17c\uc758 \uc911\uc774\uba70, \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc758 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c\ubc29\uacfc \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \ud574\uc0c1 \ubd09\uc1c4 \ud574\uc81c\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc5b4\ub290 \ucabd\ub3c4 \uba3c\uc800 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uae38 \uc6d0\uce58 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \ubcf4\ub3c4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 108\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 105\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud588\uc73c\ub098, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud654\uc694\uc77c\uc758 98\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc740 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \ud575\uc2ec\uad6d\ucc44\ub294 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ubca0\uc5b4 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd(\uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\uc7a5\ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \ud655\ub300)\uc73c\ub85c 2\ub144\ubb3c\uc774 2.8bp, 20\ub144\ubb3c\uc774 9.1bp \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, 30\ub144\ubb3c\uc740 2004\ub144 6\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc73c\uba70 3\ub144\ubb3c \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \uad6c\uac04\uc774 5% \uc704\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 EUR \uc2a4\uc651 \ucee4\ube0c\uac00 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub294\ub370, \ub2e8\uae30\ub294 6.3bp \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ubc18\uba74 \uc7a5\uae30\ub294 \ucd5c\ub300 2.5bp \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc740 \ucd5c\ub300 0.5% \ud558\ub77d \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\uace0, EUR\/USD\ub294 1.1380 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc5f0\uc911 \uc800\uc810\uc778 1.1325\uac00 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc601\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 6\ub300 3 \ud45c\uacb0\ub85c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\uc740\ud589\uae08\ub9ac)\uac00 3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ub41c \uc774\ud6c4, \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BOE) \ubd80\ucd1d\uc7ac 2\uba85\uc774 11\uc6d4\uc744 \uc55e\ub454 \uba38\ub2c8\ub9c8\ucf13\uc758 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\ub294 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \ub0b4\ub1a8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 11\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 87%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub0b4\ub144 \uc5ec\ub984\uae4c\uc9c0 25bp\uc529 \ucd94\uac00 3\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 4.75%\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4. \uae38\ud2b8\ub294 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba70 \uc774\ud2c0\uac04 12~14bp \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d)\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\ud0c0 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub77c\uc778\uac15 \uc218\uc704\uac00 \uc2e0\uc800\uc810\uc744 \uacbd\uc2e0\ud574 \uce74\uc6b0\ud504(Kaub) \uc218\uc704\uacc4\uac00 4cm\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc6b4\uc1a1 \uc5ec\ub825\uc774 \ucd95\uc18c\ub418\uace0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\ub294 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc18c\ud3ed \uac1c\uc120\ub3fc GfK \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 -14\uc5d0\uc11c -13\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1(-16)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc591\ud638\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n&#8212;\n\n<h3>Energy, Bond, and Currency Market Implications<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud611\uc0c1\ub2e8\uc774 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c\ubc29\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \ub2e8\uacc4\uc801 \ub85c\ub4dc\ub9f5\uc744 \ub17c\uc758\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uac00 \uc774\ubbf8 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 108\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 105\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc628 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \uc635\uc158 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ubcf4\ud638\uc801 \ud48b \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uad6c\uc131\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ub3cc\ubc1c\uc801\uc778 \uc678\uad50\uc801 \ud0c0\uacb0\uc740 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc99d\ubc1c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc720\uac00\uac00 10~15% \uae09\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud558\uace4 \ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120\uc758 \uac00\ud30c\ub978 \ubca0\uc5b4 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd\uc73c\ub85c 3\ub144 \ucd08\uacfc \uad6c\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc784\uacc4\uce58\ub85c \uc5ec\uaca8\uc9c0\ub294 5%\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc120 \uac83\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \ub4c0\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ucc44\uad8c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucd94\uac00 \uc555\ub825 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud14c\uc77c \ud655\ub300(\ubc1c\ud589\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \uc0ac\uc804 \uae08\ub9ac \ub300\ube44 \uad34\ub9ac \ud655\ub300)\uc640 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc774\ud558 \uc751\ucc30\ub960(\ub099\ucc30 \ub300\ube44 \uc751\ucc30 \ube44\uc728)\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc785\ucc30 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc740, \ud504\ub77c\uc774\uba38\ub9ac \ub51c\ub7ec\ub4e4\uc774 \uacf5\uae09 \ubb3c\ub7c9\uc5d0 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ud3ec\ud654\ub3fc \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\uc2a4\uc651 \uac70\ub798 \ub610\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc20f)\ub85c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc601\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uba38\ub2c8\ub9c8\ucf13\uc774 11\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 87%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc2a4\ud138\ub9c1 \ubbfc\uac10 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798 \ub17c\ub9ac\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ubb34\uae30\ud55c \ud761\uc218\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub0b4\ub144 \uc5ec\ub984\uae4c\uc9c0 4.75%\ub85c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2a4\ud138\ub9c1 \uc120\ubb3c \ub610\ub294 GBP\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28(\uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc) \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub77c\uc778\uac15 \uce74\uc6b0\ud504 \uc218\uc704\uacc4\uac00 4cm\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uae30\ub85d\uc801 \uc800\uc218\uc704\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \uad50\ub780\ud558\uace0 \uc6b4\uc1a1\ube44\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. 2022\ub144 \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \uac00\ubb44 \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \uac15 \ubc14\uc9c0\uc120 \uc6b4\uc784\uc774 400% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1\ud574 \uc0b0\uc5c5 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc744 \uc81c\uc57d\ud558\uace0 \ub0b4\ub959 \uc6b4\uc1a1\ube44\ub97c \uae09\ub4f1\uc2dc\ud0a8 \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uacf5\uae09 \uce21 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \ubc18\uc601\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 EUR \uc2a4\uc651 \uae08\ub9ac \ub9ac\uc2dc\ubc84(\uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n&#8212;\n\n<h3>Equity Market Pressures and Defensive Positioning<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc57d 0.5% \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ucc44\uad8c\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc555\ubc15\uc774 \uae30\uc5c5 \ub9c8\uc9c4\uc744 \ud6fc\uc190\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud0c4\ub825\uc740 \uc57d\ud654\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\uac00 \uc5f0\uc911 \uc800\uc810(1.1325) \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub294 \uac00\ubccd\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0, \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc0f \uae08\ub9ac \uc601\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uac00\uce58(\ub9ac\uc5bc\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c \ubc38\ub958) \uac70\ub798\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub85c\uc774\ud130 \u201c\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780, \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uc7ac\uac1c\ubc29-\ubd09\uc1c4 \ud574\uc81c \u2018\uce58\ud0a8\uac8c\uc784\u2019\u201d\u2026\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8 105\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4. \ubbf8 \uae08\ub9ac 30\ub144\ubb3c \uace0\uc810 \uc18d \ubca0\uc5b4 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd, \uc720\ub7fd \ucee4\ube0c\ub3c4 \uac00\ud314\ub77c\uc838. BOE 11\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 87% \ubc18\uc601.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50240,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68877","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ub85c\uc774\ud130 \u201c\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780, \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uc7ac\uac1c\ubc29-\ubd09\uc1c4 \ud574\uc81c \u2018\uce58\ud0a8\uac8c\uc784\u2019\u201d\u2026\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8 105\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4. \ubbf8 \uae08\ub9ac 30\ub144\ubb3c \uace0\uc810 \uc18d \ubca0\uc5b4 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd, \uc720\ub7fd \ucee4\ube0c\ub3c4 \uac00\ud314\ub77c\uc838. 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