{"id":68652,"date":"2026-09-21T09:19:10","date_gmt":"2026-09-21T09:19:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ed%94%84%eb%9e%91%ec%8a%a4-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac-%ec%9e%ac%ed%8f%89%ea%b0%80%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%eb%a7%a4%eb%8f%84%ec%84%b8%ec%88%98%ec%9d%b5\/"},"modified":"2026-09-21T09:19:10","modified_gmt":"2026-09-21T09:19:10","slug":"%ed%94%84%eb%9e%91%ec%8a%a4-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac-%ec%9e%ac%ed%8f%89%ea%b0%80%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%eb%a7%a4%eb%8f%84%ec%84%b8%ec%88%98%ec%9d%b5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%94%84%eb%9e%91%ec%8a%a4-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac-%ec%9e%ac%ed%8f%89%ea%b0%80%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%eb%a7%a4%eb%8f%84%ec%84%b8%ec%88%98%ec%9d%b5\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud504\ub791\uc2a4 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\uc5d0 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uad6d\ucc44 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138\u2026\uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120 \ud3c9\ud0c4\ud654\u00b7\uc720\ub85c\ud654 \uc57d\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc720\ub7fd \uad6d\ucc44\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ud504\ub791\uc2a4 \uad6d\ucc44 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba70 \u2018\ubca0\uc5b4 \ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub2dd(bear-flattening)\u2019 \ud615\ud0dc\ub85c \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \ub3c5\uc77c 2\ub144\ubb3c \ubd84\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 5~6bp \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 3.28%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0, 10\ub144\ubb3c\uc740 5bp \uc624\ub978 3.52%\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec(EUR\/USD)\ub294 1.15 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uc73c\uba70, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \u2018\uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\ub2e4\u2019\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>ECB \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc124\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 8\uc6d4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc18c\ud3ed \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. 1\ub144 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\uc911\uc704\uac12)\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.0%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc130\uace0, 3\ub144 \uae30\ub300\uce58\ub294 2.9% y\/y\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub2e4\uac00 3% \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815\ub41c \ub4a4 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\uc81c \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 9\uc6d4(\uc7a0\uc815) PMI\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uac15\ud55c \uc5ec\ub984 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294\uc9c0\uac00 \uad00\uac74\uc774\ub2e4. \ub3c5\uc77c \uc815\uce58\ub3c4 \ubd80\uac01\ub410\ub2e4. \uba54\ub974\uce20 \ucd1d\ub9ac\uc758 CDU\ub294 \uba54\ud074\ub80c\ubd80\ub974\ud06c-\ud3ec\uc5b4\ud3ec\uba54\ub978\uc5d0\uc11c 4.9%, \ubca0\ub97c\ub9b0\uc5d0\uc11c 18.8%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uba54\ud074\ub80c\ubd80\ub974\ud06c-\ud3ec\uc5b4\ud3ec\uba54\ub978\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 AfD\uac00 38.2%\ub85c SPD(35.5%)\ub97c \uc55e\uc130\uace0, \ubca0\ub97c\ub9b0\uc740 \ub514 \ub9c1\ucf00(Die Linke)\uac00 25.7%\ub85c \uc2b9\ub9ac\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uc218\uc775\ub960 \uace1\uc120 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 EUR \uae08\ub9ac \uace1\uc120\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub2dd\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. 2\ub144\ubb3c \ubd84\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 3.28%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uace0 10\ub144\ubb3c\uc774 3.52%\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub354 \uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc778 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud568\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc7a5\ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub294 \ucd95\uc18c\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. ECB\uac00 \u2018\ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\u2019\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac(STIR) \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub97c \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>ECB \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\uce58 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uba48\ucd94\uace0 3.0% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub048\uc801(sticky)\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc774 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\uccb4\ub420 \ub54c ECB\ub294 2023\ub144 \ub9d0\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\uac8c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc131\ud5a5\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc 9\uc6d4(\uc7a0\uc815) PMI \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc720\ub9ac\ubcf4(Euribor) \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uad8c\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>FX \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uacfc \uc815\uce58 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 1.15\ub97c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 EUR\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uad6c\ucd95\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud55c\ub2e4. CDU\uc758 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uc9c0\ubc29\uc120\uac70 \uacb0\uacfc \uc774\ud6c4 \ub3c5\uc77c \uc815\uce58 \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4 \ub370\ub2e4 \ud504\ub791\uc2a4 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uacb9\uce58\uba70 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud504\ub791\uc2a4-\ub3c5\uc77c 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\uac00 80bp\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc120 \ub370\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud655\uc778\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc18c\ubc84\ub9b0 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub294 2024\ub144 \uc608\uc0b0 \uacf5\ud3ec(budget panics) \uc774\ud6c4 \ubcf4\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6e0\ub358 \uad6c\uac04\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc218\uc694\uc77c PMI\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 8\uc6d4\uc758 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uc218\uce58(45.8)\uc5d0\uc11c 50\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uc9c0 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc810\uac80\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc704\ucd95\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uac15\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub2dd \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uacf5\uace0\ud788 \ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uac00\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc5f0\ub3d9 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \uc635\uc158 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uac12 \ubc18\ub4f1\u00b7\ud504\ub791\uc2a4 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uc720\ub7fd \uad6d\ucc44 \u2018\ubca0\uc5b4 \ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub2dd\u2019\u2026\ubd84\ud2b8 2\ub144 3.28%, 10\ub144 3.52%. ECB \uae30\ub300\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc7ac\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ud30c \ubd80\ub2f4. PMI\u00b7\uc815\uce58\ubd88\uc548\uc5d0 \uc720\ub85c \ud558\ubc29, STIR\u00b7\uc720\ub9ac\ubcf4 \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50176,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68652","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uac12 \ubc18\ub4f1\u00b7\ud504\ub791\uc2a4 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uc720\ub7fd \uad6d\ucc44 \u2018\ubca0\uc5b4 \ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub2dd\u2019\u2026\ubd84\ud2b8 2\ub144 3.28%, 10\ub144 3.52%. 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