{"id":54328,"date":"2026-09-17T08:19:28","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T08:19:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%a3%a8%ed%94%bc-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8f%84%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89rbi-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85%ec%97%90-%eb%82%99%ed%8f%ad-%eb%a7%8c%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88\/"},"modified":"2026-09-17T08:19:28","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T08:19:28","slug":"%eb%a3%a8%ed%94%bc-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8f%84%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89rbi-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85%ec%97%90-%eb%82%99%ed%8f%ad-%eb%a7%8c%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%a3%a8%ed%94%bc-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8f%84%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89rbi-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85%ec%97%90-%eb%82%99%ed%8f%ad-%eb%a7%8c%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub8e8\ud53c, \uc778\ub3c4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBI) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub099\ud3ed \ub9cc\ud68c\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uc5ec\ud30c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec, 7\uc8fc\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uad8c \uac15\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc778\ub3c4 \ub8e8\ud53c\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc57d\uc138 \ucd9c\ubc1c \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd08\ubc18 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\uac00 \uc720\uc785\ub410\ub2e4. \ub85c\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uad6d\uc601 \uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uacf5\uae09\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ub3c4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBI)\uc774 \uac1c\uc785\ud588\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \ub4a4 \ub098\uc628 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ub8e8\ud53c(USD\/INR)\ub294 \uc624\ud6c4 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c 95.90\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, 7\uc8fc \uace0\uc810\uc778 96.10\uc5d0 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 6\uc8fc \uace0\uc810\uc778 100.37 \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uac01\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 5\ud68c \uc5f0\uc18d \ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ub05d\ub0b4\uace0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 3.75%~4.00%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc CPI\uac00 \ub048\uc801\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ub4f1 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \ub4e4\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 18\uba85 \uc911 16\uba85\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uacb0\uc815\uc790\uac00 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ud68c \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc778\ub3c4\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc18c\ub9e4 CPI\uac00 10\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \uac00\uc18d\ud558\uba70 8\uc6d4 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.82%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 RBI\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uc804\ud658 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. MUFG\ub294 \ud68c\uacc4\uc5f0\ub3c4 \ud558\ubc18\uae30(H2) \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 5%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud560 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc9c0\uc801\ud558\uba74\uc11c FY27 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 50bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c USD\/INR 95.90\uc740 20\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA) 95.41\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uace0 RSI\ub294 59.9 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 95.80\uacfc 95.41, \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 97.00 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c USD\/INR \ud30c\uc0dd \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\uac00 6\uc8fc \uace0\uc810\uc778 100.37 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 USD\/INR\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 3.75%~4.00%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher-for-longer)\u2019 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, 20\uc77c EMA(95.41) \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc870\uc815 \uc2dc USD\/INR \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\ub300\ube44 \uc218\uc775\ube44\uc728\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc, \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc 6,800\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc778\ub3c4\uc758 \uc5ec\ub825\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c RBI\uac00 \ub8e8\ud53c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9 \ub098\uc11c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. 96.10 \ub808\ubca8 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uac15\ud55c \uac1c\uc785\uc740 \ub8e8\ud53c \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c4\ud589\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc81c\uc57d\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub2e8\uc21c \ub9e4\uc218\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uac70\uc2dc \ubcc0\uc218\uc640 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 80\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub3c4 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc778\ub3c4\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0 \uc801\uc790\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uacbd\ud5d8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uac00\uac00 10% \uc9c0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba74 \uc778\ub3c4\uc758 \uacbd\uc0c1\uc218\uc9c0 \uc801\uc790\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uace0 \ub8e8\ud53c\uac00 \uc57d 1.5%\uac00\ub7c9 \uac00\uce58 \ud558\ub77d(\uc808\ud558)\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uac70\uc2dc \uc555\ub825\uc740 95.40 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ud558\ub2e8\uc758 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \uc218\ucde8\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\ub97c \ub0b4\ub2e4\ubcf4\uba74, 10\uc6d4 \uc608\uc815\ub41c RBI \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\ud68c\uc758\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. 8\uc6d4 \uc18c\ub9e4\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 4.82%\ub85c \uac00\uc18d\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 50bp \uad6d\ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \uc218\uc900 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815 \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \ubd88\uac00\ud53c\ud558\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 USD\/INR\uc5d0\uc11c \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle) \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec vs \ub8e8\ud53c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc804\u201d \uc5f0\uc900 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 DXY 6\uc8fc \uace0\uc810, USD\/INR 96.10 \uadfc\uc811. RBI \uac1c\uc785 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uc18d 95.80~97.00 \ubc15\uc2a4, \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50166,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec vs \ub8e8\ud53c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc804\u201d \uc5f0\uc900 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 DXY 6\uc8fc \uace0\uc810, USD\/INR 96.10 \uadfc\uc811. RBI \uac1c\uc785 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uc18d 95.80~97.00 \ubc15\uc2a4, \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%a3%a8%ed%94%bc-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8f%84%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89rbi-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85%ec%97%90-%eb%82%99%ed%8f%ad-%eb%a7%8c%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 5.0.1.1\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\ub8e8\ud53c, \uc778\ub3c4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBI) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub099\ud3ed \ub9cc\ud68c\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uc5ec\ud30c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec, 7\uc8fc\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uad8c \uac15\uc138 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u201c\uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec vs \ub8e8\ud53c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc804\u201d \uc5f0\uc900 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 DXY 6\uc8fc \uace0\uc810, USD\/INR 96.10 \uadfc\uc811. RBI \uac1c\uc785 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uc18d 95.80~97.00 \ubc15\uc2a4, \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%a3%a8%ed%94%bc-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8f%84%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89rbi-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85%ec%97%90-%eb%82%99%ed%8f%ad-%eb%a7%8c%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-09-17T08:19:28+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-17T08:19:28+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/vtmarketsglobal\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@vtmarketsglobal\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\ub8e8\ud53c, \uc778\ub3c4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBI) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub099\ud3ed \ub9cc\ud68c\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uc5ec\ud30c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec, 7\uc8fc\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uad8c \uac15\uc138 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u201c\uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec vs \ub8e8\ud53c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc804\u201d \uc5f0\uc900 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 DXY 6\uc8fc \uace0\uc810, USD\/INR 96.10 \uadfc\uc811. RBI \uac1c\uc785 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uc18d 95.80~97.00 \ubc15\uc2a4, \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@vtmarketsglobal\" \/>\n\t\t<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"aioseo-schema\">\n\t\t\t{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"BlogPosting\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.vtmarkets.com\\\/kr-asia\\\/live-updates\\\/%eb%a3%a8%ed%94%bc-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8f%84%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89rbi-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85%ec%97%90-%eb%82%99%ed%8f%ad-%eb%a7%8c%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88\\\/#blogposting\",\"name\":\"\\ub8e8\\ud53c, \\uc778\\ub3c4\\uc911\\uc559\\uc740\\ud589(RBI) \\uc2dc\\uc7a5\\uac1c\\uc785\\uc5d0 \\ub099\\ud3ed \\ub9cc\\ud68c\\u2026\\uc5f0\\uc900 \\uae08\\ub9ac\\uc778\\uc0c1 \\uc5ec\\ud30c\\ub85c \\ub2ec\\ub7ec, 7\\uc8fc\\ub798 \\uace0\\uc810\\uad8c \\uac15\\uc138 - VT Markets\",\"headline\":\"\\ub8e8\\ud53c, 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