{"id":54276,"date":"2026-09-16T00:20:16","date_gmt":"2026-09-16T00:20:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-aud-usd-0-7100%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0\/"},"modified":"2026-09-16T00:20:16","modified_gmt":"2026-09-16T00:20:16","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-aud-usd-0-7100%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-aud-usd-0-7100%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 AUD\/USD 0.7100\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 RBA \uae34\ucd95 \ud589\ubcf4 \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 11\uc77c(\uc218) FOMC\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \ud558\ub77d\ud3ed\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud558\uba70 0.7100\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 FFTR(\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\ubaa9\ud45c\uae08\ub9ac)\uc744 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 0.7200 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc77c\uac04 \uae30\uc900 2\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uc640 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 \ud558\ubc29\uc740 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 8\uc6d4 PMI\ub294 \ud655\uc7a5 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI 52.0, \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI 53.2\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 7\uc6d4 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0\ub294 6\uc6d4 23\uc5b54100\ub9cc \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 19\uc5b52300\ub9cc \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud751\uc790 \ud3ed\uc774 \ucd95\uc18c\ub410\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 2\ubd84\uae30 GDP\ub294 \uc804\ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 0.4%\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1(0.3%)\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\ub098, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 2.5%\uc5d0\uc11c 2.1%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.5%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 \uc774\uc804\uce58\uac00 8\ub9cc300\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub41c \uc774\ud6c4 1\ub9cc5800\uba85 \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00(CPI) \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\uc740 3.8%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.5%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub410\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0\uaca9\uc778 \uc808\uc0ac\ud3c9\uade0(Trimmed Mean)\uc740 3.6%\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00 \uae30\ub300\ub294 4.7%\uc5d0\uc11c 4.9%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 2028\ub144 \ucd08 2%~3% \ubaa9\ud45c\ubc34\ub4dc\ub85c \ubcf5\uadc0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\uc874 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc911\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \u2018\uc548\uc815\u2019\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6e0\ub2e4. 4~6\uc6d4 GDP\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.3% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uace0, \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc740 \uc5f0\ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4(YTD) 5.2% \ub298\uc5c8\ub2e4. 7\uc6d4 \ubb34\uc5ed\ud751\uc790\ub294 1191\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 0.4% \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4. PMI\ub294 \ud63c\uc870\uc600\ub2e4. \uad6d\uac00\ud1b5\uacc4\uad6d(NBS) \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 49.2\uc5d0\uc11c 49.8\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uae30\uc900\uc120(50) \uc544\ub798\uc600\uace0, \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 49.0\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. RatingDog \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 51.5(50.9\u2192), \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 51.4(50.4\u2192)\ub85c \ud655\uc7a5 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. CPI\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 0.5%\uc5d0\uc11c 0.8%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.4% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00(PPI)\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.8%\ub85c \uc774\uc804 3.5%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc778\ubbfc\uc740\ud589(PBoC)\uc740 1\ub144\ubb3c LPR\uc744 3.00%, 5\ub144\ubb3c LPR\uc744 3.50%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 8\uc6d4 11\uc77c \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58\ub85c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(OCR)\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc73c\uba70 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ub3c4 \ub17c\uc758\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 38bp\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uace0, 9\uc6d4 29\uc77c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CFTC \uc790\ub8cc(9\uc6d4 8\uc77c \uae30\uc900 \uc8fc\uac04)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 AUD \uc21c\uc20f\uc774 \uc57d 4500\uacc4\uc57d \uac10\uc18c\ud558\uba70 \uc57d 3\ub9cc5000\uacc4\uc57d \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uac1c\uc120\ub410\uace0, \ubbf8\uacb0\uc81c\uc57d\uc815\uc740 \uc57d 6\ub9cc3800\uacc4\uc57d \ub298\uc5b4 \uc57d 45\ub9cc5500\uacc4\uc57d(\uc57d 16%)\uc73c\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \ud22c\uae30\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ub178\ucd9c\uc740 -7.7%\uc600\uace0, \ud37c\uc13c\ud0c0\uc77c\uc740 84.2 \ubc0f 72.4\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c AUD\/USD\ub294 0.7129\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 55\uc77c\u00b7100\uc77c\u00b7200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(\ub300\ub7b5 0.7060~0.7006) \uc704\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 0.7079, 0.7061, 0.7006\uc774\uba70, \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 0.7283 \uc774\ud6c4 0.7661\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ub0b4\uc77c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 AUD\/USD\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\u00b7\uc800\ud56d \uad6c\uac04\uc778 0.7100\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc7ac\ucc28 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 9\uc6d4 29\uc77c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub418\ub294 RBA\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \ub300\ube44\ub294 AUD\/USD\uc5d0\uc11c 200\ud54d\uc744 \ub118\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \ubca0\ud305\uc774 \ub418\ub3cc\ub824\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uacb0\uc81c\uc57d\uc815\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc 16% \uae09\uc99d\ud574 45\ub9cc5500\uacc4\uc57d\uc5d0 \uc774\ub978 \uc810\uc740 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \uc20f \ucee4\ubc84(\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uccad\uc0b0)\uc640 \uc2e0\uaddc \ub871 \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800 \uad6c\ucd95\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9 \ub098\uc11c\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud658\uc728\uc774 55\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(0.7050 \ubd80\uadfc) \uc704\ub97c \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\ucf1c\ub0bc \uacbd\uc6b0 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uc911\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uae34\ucd95 \uc2dc\uc0ac) \ud1a4\uc744 \ub0b4\ub193\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0 AUD\/USD\ub294 200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 0.7006\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 0.7000 \u2018\uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\u2019 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub97c \ub454 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c 0.7200\uc758 \ub450\ud130\uc6b4 \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc5f0\uc911 \uace0\uc810\uc778 0.7283\uae4c\uc9c0 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ud63c\uc870 \uc2e0\ud638\ub3c4 \uc810\uac80\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc774 5.2%\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \ud655\uc7a5\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\uac00 0.4% \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\ub294 \ub4f1 \ub0b4\uc218 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \u2018\ud638\ud669\u2019\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \u2018\uc548\uc815\u2019 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \uac00\uae5d\ub2e4\uba74, \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub2e8\ub3c5\uc73c\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4 \ud3ed\ubc1c\uc801 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc8fc\ub3c4\uc758 \uac15\ud55c \ub808\ubca8 \ub3cc\ud30c\ub97c \uae30\ub300\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4, \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28(\uc774\uc790\uc728 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc)\uc640 \ud575\uc2ec \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FOMC \uc55e\ub454 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 AUD\/USD 0.7100\uc73c\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4. 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