{"id":54266,"date":"2026-09-15T18:19:00","date_gmt":"2026-09-15T18:19:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-9%ec%9b%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%9c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%eb%8d%94-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ec%a0%90\/"},"modified":"2026-09-15T18:19:00","modified_gmt":"2026-09-15T18:19:00","slug":"td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-9%ec%9b%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%9c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%eb%8d%94-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ec%a0%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-9%ec%9b%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%9c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%eb%8d%94-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ec%a0%90\/","title":{"rendered":"TD\uc99d\uad8c \u201c9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac1c\uc2dc \uc804\ub9dd\u2026\ub354 \uc644\ud654\uc801\uc778 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \uc81c\ub3d9\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 FOMC\uac00 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc2dc\uc791\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, SEP\uc758 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot)\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601 \uc911\uc778 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc801\uc740 \ud69f\uc218\uc758 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 8\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc9c4\uc804 \ubd80\uc871\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uac00 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba70, \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc790\uc81c\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub2e4\ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uac70\uc758 \uc804\ubd80 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \ud68c\uc0ac\ub294 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ud558\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \u2018\ubb34\ub98e \ubc18\uc751\u2019\uc2dd \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0, \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uace1\uc120\uc740 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ubd88 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd(bull steepening)\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uacb0\uc740 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c 8\uc6d4 CPI \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\uc804 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, 10\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc5f0\uc7a5\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>FOMC Policy Expectations and Dollar Scenarios<\/h3>\n\n<p>FOMC\ub294 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uac1c\uc2dc\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\uc740 8\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uc880\ucc98\ub7fc \uc9c4\uc804\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778 \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc5b8\uae09\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \uac70\uc758 \uc804\ubd80 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ucd09\ubc1c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\ub418 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud69f\uc218\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc801\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc8fc\uba74, \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae09\ub77d(\ubb34\ub98e \ubc18\uc751\uc2dd \ub9e4\ub3c4)\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY) \ub2e8\uae30 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc740 \uac15\ud55c \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \ucda9\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c 8\uc6d4 CPI \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\uc804 \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>Implications For Projections, Derivatives, and Yield Curves<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc0c1\ud5a5\ud558\ub294, \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uc694\uc57d(SEP) \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc218\uc815\ub41c \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 10\uc6d4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uba85\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud14c\uc774\ube14 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc62c\ub824\ub193\ub294\ub2e4\uba74, \ucd5c\uadfc\uc758 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \uc5f0\uc7a5\ub420 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub9e4\ud30c \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub871 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uac15\uc138 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc778 \ub300\uc751\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uad6d\ucc44 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc644\ud654\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\uc624\ub294 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ud558\uc5d0 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uace1\uc120\uc758 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ubd88 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ud2b9\ud788 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ub2f9\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc774\ubbf8 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud574, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \uc9c4\uc785 \uc2dc\uc810 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \uc704\ud574 2\ub144\ubb3c\uacfc 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud574\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c9\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\u201d \uc120\ubc18\uc601 \uc18d TD\uc99d\uad8c, \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub35c \ub9e4\ud30c\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub2e8\uae30 \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\ubd88 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd \uc804\ub9dd. \ub3d9\uacb0 \ub550 \uae09\ub77d, 10\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uc0ac \ub550 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub7a0\ub9ac \uc5f0\uc7a5.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50109,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54266","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c9\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\u201d \uc120\ubc18\uc601 \uc18d TD\uc99d\uad8c, \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub35c \ub9e4\ud30c\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub2e8\uae30 \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\ubd88 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd \uc804\ub9dd. \ub3d9\uacb0 \ub550 \uae09\ub77d, 10\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uc0ac \ub550 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub7a0\ub9ac \uc5f0\uc7a5.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, 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\uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub35c \ub9e4\ud30c\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub2e8\uae30 \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\ubd88 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd \uc804\ub9dd. \ub3d9\uacb0 \ub550 \uae09\ub77d, 10\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uc0ac \ub550 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub7a0\ub9ac \uc5f0\uc7a5.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-9%ec%9b%94-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%9c%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%eb%8d%94-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ec%a0%90\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-09-15T18:19:00+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-15T18:19:00+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/vtmarketsglobal\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@vtmarketsglobal\" \/>\n\t\t<meta 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