{"id":54204,"date":"2026-09-14T22:19:04","date_gmt":"2026-09-14T22:19:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90%ed%85%8c%ec%a0%9c%eb%84%a4%eb%9e%84-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ec%a7%80%ec%97%ad-%ed%95%b4%ec%83%81-%ec%9a%b4%ec%86%a1-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0\/"},"modified":"2026-09-14T22:19:04","modified_gmt":"2026-09-14T22:19:04","slug":"%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90%ed%85%8c%ec%a0%9c%eb%84%a4%eb%9e%84-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ec%a7%80%ec%97%ad-%ed%95%b4%ec%83%81-%ec%9a%b4%ec%86%a1-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90%ed%85%8c%ec%a0%9c%eb%84%a4%eb%9e%84-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ec%a7%80%ec%97%ad-%ed%95%b4%ec%83%81-%ec%9a%b4%ec%86%a1-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c\uc81c\ub124\ub784 \u201c\uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc7ac\ud654 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 \uace0\uacf5\ud589\uc9c4 \uac00\ub2a5\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c\uc81c\ub124\ub784(Societe Generale) \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc0d8 \uce74\ud2b8\ub77c\uc774\ud2b8(Sam Cartwright)\uc640 \ubbf8\uc178 \ub9c8\ub974\ud2f0\ub124\uc2a4(Michel Martinez)\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc5d0\uc11c \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \ucc28\uc9c8 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uc7ac\ubd80\uac01\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c4\ub2e8\ud588\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uae34\uc7a5\uc774, 2020~21\ub144 \ucf54\ub85c\ub09819 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uc555\ub825\uacfc 2022\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098 \uc804\uc7c1\uacfc \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \ubd80\ub2f4\uc5d0 \ub354\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ub178\ud2b8\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uacf5\uae09 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc815\ub7c9\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uadf8\uac83\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00\uc5d0 \uc804\uac00\ub418\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4\ub97c \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd98\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \ub274\uc695 \uc5f0\uc740\uc758 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \uc555\ub825\uc9c0\uc218(GSCPI)\ub97c \ubcc0\ud615\ud574 \uc720\ub7fd\uacfc \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uac01\uac01\uc758 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ubcc4\ub3c4\ub85c \uad6c\ucd95\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \uad50\uc5ed \ucc28\uc9c8\uc774 \uac01 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud574\ub2f9 \ud504\ub808\uc784\uc6cc\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc5ec\ub984 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc644\ud654\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uba70, \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub354 \uacac\uc870\ud574\uc9c4 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc62c\ud574\uc640 \ub0b4\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \ubd84\uc11d \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0\uc11c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4\uac04 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \ub454\ud654\ub418\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ube44\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uc0b0\ud488 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 2027\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30(2H27)\uc5d0 1.8%\ub85c \uc815\uc810\uc744 \ucc0d\uc740 \ub4a4 \uc815\uc0c1 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uac08 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \ud574\uc6b4 \ucc28\uc9c8\uacfc \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825<\/h3>\n<p>\ud64d\ud574 \ub4f1 \ud575\uc2ec \uad50\uc5ed \ud68c\ub791\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \ucc28\uc9c8\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc7ac\ud654(core goods) \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ucee8\ud14c\uc774\ub108 \uc6b4\uc784\uc774 \uc704\uae30 \uad6d\uba74\uc758 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub4dc\ub8e8\ub9ac \uc138\uacc4 \ucee8\ud14c\uc774\ub108 \uc9c0\uc218(Drewry World Container Index)\ub294 40\ud53c\ud2b8 \ucee8\ud14c\uc774\ub108\ub2f9 \uc57d 3,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud574\uc0c1 \ubb3c\ub958 \ubcd1\ubaa9\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc740 \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uc218\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \ubd84\uae30 \ub3d9\uc548 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ubc0f ECB \uc815\ucc45 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5f0\ub3d9 \uc2a4\uc651(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc2a4\uc651) \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c, \ud2b9\ud788 1~2\ub144 \uad6c\uac04(tenor)\uc5d0\uc11c \ud655\ub300\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \ube44\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uc0b0\ud488 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 2027\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 1.8%\ub85c \uc815\uc810\uc744 \ucc0d\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc911\uae30 \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ud604\uc7ac \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \ud22c\uc785\ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc810\ucc29\uc131\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \ud574\ub2f9 \uc2a4\uc651\uc758 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8 \ub300\ube44 \uc218\uc775(risk-reward) \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc644\ub9cc\ud574\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \uc720\ub85c \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac(\u20acSTR) \uc120\ubb3c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc2a4\ud0c0\ud2b8 \uae30\uc900 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 2.8%\ub85c \uc644\uac15\ud574, ECB\uac00 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc57d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c \u20acSTR \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc20f)\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ubcf4\ud638\uc801 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub0b4 ECB\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc644\uac15\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\uac00 1.12 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc774 \uc720\ub7fd\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658(pivot)\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\uba70 \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ucd95\uc18c\ub418\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c, \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \ub1cc\uad00?\u201d \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\u00b7\ud64d\ud574 \ucc28\uc9c8\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uacf5\uae09\uc555\ub825 \uace0\ucc29, \ube44\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uc0b0\ud488 \ubb3c\uac00 2H27 1.8% \uc815\uc810 \uc804\ub9dd. \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc2a4\uc651 \ub871\u00b7\u20acSTR \uc20f\u00b7EURUSD \ucf5c \uc81c\uc548.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50176,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54204","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c, \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \ub1cc\uad00?\u201d \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\u00b7\ud64d\ud574 \ucc28\uc9c8\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uacf5\uae09\uc555\ub825 \uace0\ucc29, \ube44\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uc0b0\ud488 \ubb3c\uac00 2H27 1.8% \uc815\uc810 \uc804\ub9dd. \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc2a4\uc651 \ub871\u00b7\u20acSTR \uc20f\u00b7EURUSD \ucf5c \uc81c\uc548.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90%ed%85%8c%ec%a0%9c%eb%84%a4%eb%9e%84-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ec%a7%80%ec%97%ad-%ed%95%b4%ec%83%81-%ec%9a%b4%ec%86%a1-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 5.0.1.1\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c\uc81c\ub124\ub784 \u201c\uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc7ac\ud654 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 \uace0\uacf5\ud589\uc9c4 \uac00\ub2a5\u201d - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u201c\uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c, \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \ub1cc\uad00?\u201d \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\u00b7\ud64d\ud574 \ucc28\uc9c8\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uacf5\uae09\uc555\ub825 \uace0\ucc29, \ube44\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uc0b0\ud488 \ubb3c\uac00 2H27 1.8% \uc815\uc810 \uc804\ub9dd. \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc2a4\uc651 \ub871\u00b7\u20acSTR \uc20f\u00b7EURUSD \ucf5c \uc81c\uc548.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90%ed%85%8c%ec%a0%9c%eb%84%a4%eb%9e%84-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ec%a7%80%ec%97%ad-%ed%95%b4%ec%83%81-%ec%9a%b4%ec%86%a1-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-09-14T22:19:04+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-14T22:19:04+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/vtmarketsglobal\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@vtmarketsglobal\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c\uc81c\ub124\ub784 \u201c\uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc7ac\ud654 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 \uace0\uacf5\ud589\uc9c4 \uac00\ub2a5\u201d - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u201c\uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c, \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \ub1cc\uad00?\u201d \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\u00b7\ud64d\ud574 \ucc28\uc9c8\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uacf5\uae09\uc555\ub825 \uace0\ucc29, \ube44\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uc0b0\ud488 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