{"id":53994,"date":"2026-09-09T07:20:06","date_gmt":"2026-09-09T07:20:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%c2%b7%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1\/"},"modified":"2026-09-09T07:20:06","modified_gmt":"2026-09-09T07:20:06","slug":"%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%c2%b7%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%c2%b7%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5d4\ud654 \uc8fc\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 \ubc18\ub4f1\u2026\uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc7ac\ub3cc\ud30c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08(XAU\/USD)\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc7a5 \uc804 1\uc8fc\uc77c \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud574 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud68c\ubcf5\ud588\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ)\ubc1c \uc5d4\ud654 \uac15\uc138 \ub7a0\ub9ac \uc774\ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 2\uc8fc\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \uc800\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba74\uc11c, \uae08\uac12\uc740 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\uc57d\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 25bp(0.25%p) \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \uae30\uc815\uc0ac\uc2e4\ud654\ub41c \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uc774\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 17~18\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 BoJ \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\ub3c4 \uc774\ub2ec \ub9d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc800\uc6b8\uc9c8\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud55c \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP) \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. BNY\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub358 \ud655\ub960\uc744 60% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub838\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.  <\/p>\n<p>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubcc0\uc218\ub3c4 \ucd94\uac00\ub410\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc624\ub9cc\ub9cc\uacfc \uce74\ub974\uadf8(Kharg) \uc12c \uc778\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub780 \uc720\uc870\uc120\uc744 \uacf5\uaca9\ud588\uace0, \uc774\uc5d0 \uc774\ub780\uc740 \uc694\ub974\ub2e8 \uc54c \uc544\uc988\ub77c\ud06c(Al Azraq) \uae30\uc9c0\uc758 \ubbf8\uad70\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 30\ubc1c\uc774 \ub118\ub294 \ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c\uc744 \ubc1c\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\ud601\uba85\uc218\ube44\ub300(IRGC)\ub294 \ucfe0\uc6e8\uc774\ud2b8\u00b7\ubc14\ub808\uc778 \ud56d\ub9cc\uc5d0 \uc815\ubc15 \uc911\uc778 \uc120\ubc15\ub3c4 \ud45c\uc801\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ud655\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uac00\ub294 3\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(PPI)\uc640 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\uc900 200\uae30\uac04 \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA)\uacfc 7~8\uc6d4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc758 50.0% \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\ub294 4,345~4,340\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. RSI\ub294 42 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uba70, MACD\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc74c(-)\uc758 \uc601\uc5ed\uc774\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc740 4,427\ub2ec\ub7ec(38.2%)\uac00 1\ucc28, 4,529\ub2ec\ub7ec(23.6%)\uac00 2\ucc28\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud558\ubc29 \ub808\ubca8\ub85c\ub294 200\uae30\uac04 SMA \ubd80\uadfc 4,352.88\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,344\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc774\uc5b4 4,262\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,144\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>XAU\/USD\uac00 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uc5c4\uaca9\ud55c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac \ud558\uc5d0 \uae08 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc811\uadfc\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \uc77c\uc815 \ubd80\ubd84 \uc548\uc815 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc57d\ud574 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ub871(\ub9e4\uc218) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ub300\uc2e0 RSI 42\uc758 \uc911\ub9bd \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\uc5b4(iron condor) \ub4f1 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>ECB\uc758 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uace0 9\uc6d4 Fed \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\ub3c4 60% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uae08\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uacf5\uc0b0\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae34\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 10\ub144\ubb3c \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uc57d -0.80\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud558\ub294 \uac15\ud55c \uc74c\uc758 \uc0c1\uad00\uad00\uacc4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc654\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d CPI\uc640 PPI\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c(\ud56b \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988)\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, XAU\/USD\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \ud575\uc2ec \uac00\uaca9 \ub808\ubca8<\/h3>\n<p>\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00\uac00 3\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\uc0c1 \uc774\ub294 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 3%~5% \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ub354\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uac15\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774\uae30\ub3c4 \ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc774\ubc88 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574, \ubaa9\u00b7\uae08 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc804\ud6c4\ud55c \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uadfc\uc6d4\ubb3c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 4,340~4,345\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c, 200\uae30\uac04 SMA\uc640 \uc77c\uce58\ud558\ub294 \u2018\ud53c\ubc97\u2019 \uc601\uc5ed\uc774\ub2e4. \uae08\uac12\uc774 \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ubb3c\ub7c9\uc774 \uc5f0\uc1c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd9c\ud68c\ub418\uba70 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 4,262\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc00\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc0c1\ubc29\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 4,427\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \uc20f(\ub9e4\ub3c4) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uad6c\ucd95 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 1\uc8fc\uc77c \uc800\uc810\uc11c 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud68c\ubcf5. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 ECB\u00b7BoJ\u00b7Fed \uae34\ucd95\uacfc \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc81c\uc57d. \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0 4,340~4,345, \uc800\ud56d 4,427. \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc804\ub7b5\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50143,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53994","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 1\uc8fc\uc77c \uc800\uc810\uc11c 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud68c\ubcf5. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 ECB\u00b7BoJ\u00b7Fed \uae34\ucd95\uacfc \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc0c1\ub2e8 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