{"id":53975,"date":"2026-09-08T21:19:21","date_gmt":"2026-09-08T21:19:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ea%b0%80%ec%8a%a4-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%90-ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%90-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94eur-usd-1-1600%ec%84%a0-%ec%83%81\/"},"modified":"2026-09-08T21:19:21","modified_gmt":"2026-09-08T21:19:21","slug":"%ea%b0%80%ec%8a%a4-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%90-ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%90-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94eur-usd-1-1600%ec%84%a0-%ec%83%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ea%b0%80%ec%8a%a4-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%90-ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%90-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94eur-usd-1-1600%ec%84%a0-%ec%83%81\/","title":{"rendered":"\uac00\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 ECB \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac10 \uc57d\ud654\u2026EUR\/USD, 1.1600\uc120 \uc0c1\ud68c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd \uac00\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 3\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub85c \uce58\uc19f\uace0 ECB\uac00 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ub2e8\ud589\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\uc11c\ub3c4, \ud654\uc694\uc77c 28\ud54d \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud3ed\uc758 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \uc7a5\uc138\ub97c \uac70\uce5c \ub4a4 \uc2dc\uac00 \ub300\ube44 0.5\ud54d \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uba70 1.1600\uc120 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub124\ub35c\ub780\ub4dc TTF \uadfc\uc6d4\ubb3c \uac00\uc2a4\ub294 \ucd5c\ub300 3.4% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 2023\ub144 1\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uba54\uac00\uc640\ud2b8\uc2dc(MWh)\ub2f9 \u20ac75.00 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub3fc \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 128% \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc800\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 67%\ub85c, \uacc4\uc808\uc801 \ud3c9\uade0(83%)\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ud558\ud68c\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub09c\ubc29 \uc2dc\uc98c\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud55c \ub2ec\ub3c4 \ub0a8\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc740 2\uc6d4 28\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 \ud3d0\uc1c4\ub41c \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc774\uba70, \uce74\ud0c0\ub974\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\u00b7\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\ud5a5 \ubb3c\ub7c9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\uac00\ud56d\ub825(force majeure) \uc870\uce58\ub97c \uac00\uc744\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4. \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544 \ud30c\uc774\ud504\ub77c\uc778 \uac00\uc2a4\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc758 \uc57d 40%\uc5d0\uc11c 15% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ucd95\uc18c\ub410\uace0, EU\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \uc5f0\uac04 1,200\uc5b5\u33a5\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1 \uac00\uc2a4\ub97c \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>ECB\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc608\uce58\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 2.25%\uc5d0\uc11c 2.5%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\uace0, \uc8fc\uc694 \uc7ac\uc735\uc790\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 2.65%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uad00\uce21\ub41c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ub354 \uac00\ud30c\ub974\ub2e4. \uac00\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud55c \ub2ec \uc0c8 23% \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. 11\uc6d4 \uc800\uc7a5 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 90%\uc5d0\uc11c 80%\ub85c \uc644\ud654\ub410\uace0, \uc800\uc7a5 \uc218\uc900\uc740 2011\ub144 \uc9d1\uacc4 \uc2dc\uc791 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900 \ucd5c\uc800\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc77c\uc815\uc5d0 \ubab0\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc218\uc694\uc77c 12:15 GMT \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \ubbfc\uac04 \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 \uc9c1\uc804 11.75K\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 12:15 GMT \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uacb0\uc815, 12:30 GMT \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00(PPI), 12:45 GMT \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc774 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. PPI\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.4%(7\uc6d4 0.0% \uc774\ud6c4), \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 5.3%(4.7% \uc774\ud6c4)\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70 \uadfc\uc6d0\uc740 \uac01\uac01 0.3%, 4.6%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4. \uae08\uc694\uc77c CPI\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.4%, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.4%, \uadfc\uc6d0 2.4%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. 9\uc6d4 15~16\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc57d 58%\uac00 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\ub294 51(\uc9c1\uc804 51.7), 1\ub144 \uae30\ub300\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc9c1\uc804 4%\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\ud56d\uc740 1.1650\uacfc 1.1700 \ud558\ub2e8\uc774\uba70, \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub294 1.1600\uc774\ub2e4. 50\uc77c\u00b7200\uc77c EMA\ub294 1.1550 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c 6\ud54d \uac04\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uc788\uace0, \uadf8 \uc544\ub798 1.1500\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub300\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubc0f \ud575\uc2ec \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 EUR\/USD\uc758 \ud558\ubc29 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. 1.1600 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. ECB\uac00 \uc774\ubc88 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc608\uce58\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 2.5%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uac1c\uc120 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \uc8fc\uac04 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74(terms-of-trade) \uc704\uae30\uac00 \uc790\ubcf8\uc744 \uc5ed\uc678\ub85c \uc720\ucd9c\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc720\ub7fd \ucc9c\uc5f0\uac00\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 MWh\ub2f9 \u20ac75 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 128% \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc740 \uaca8\uc6b8 \uc9c1\uc804 \uace0\ube44\uc6a9 \uc218\uc785 \uccad\uad6c\uc11c\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4. EU \uac00\uc2a4 \uc800\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 67%\ub85c \uacc4\uc808 \ud3c9\uade0(83%)\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc544, \uc720\ud2f8\ub9ac\ud2f0\ub4e4\uc774 \uace0\uac00\uc758 \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1 \ubb3c\ub7c9 \ud655\ubcf4 \uacbd\uc7c1\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uacf5\uae09 \uc555\ubc15\uc740 \uc218\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \uc720\ub85c\ub97c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ud328\ub9ac\ud2f0 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub838\ub358 2022\ub144 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc704\uae30\ub97c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc5f0\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 1.1650 \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uad6c\ucd95\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 1.1600\uc744 \uc77c\uac04 \uc885\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ud68c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, 1.1550 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uad70\uc9d1\ud55c 50\uc77c\u00b7200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ube60\ub978 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \ucd09\ubc1c\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubd95\uad34\ub418\uba74 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud558\ubc29 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 1.1500\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\u00b7\uc9c0\uc815\ud559: \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ubc18\ub300\ud3b8(\ub2ec\ub7ec \uce21)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c CPI \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00 2.4%\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\uc640 \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc801\uc790\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc800\ub834\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \ubcf4\ud638(\ub2e4\uc6b4\uc0ac\uc774\ub4dc \ud504\ub85c\ud14d\uc158)\ub97c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \uae30\ub300 \ud6a8\uc6a9\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uad00\ub828 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\ub3c4 \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780-\uc624\ub9cc \uac04 \ud1b5\uacfc(Transit) \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3cc\ud30c\uad6c\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uac00\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uba70 EUR\/USD \uc20f \uc2a4\ud034\uc988\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc548\uc804\ud55c \ud574\uc0c1 \ud56d\ub85c\uac00 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\ubcf4\ub418\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \ud558\ubc29\uc5d0 \ud06c\uac8c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub418 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bear put spread) \ub4f1 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \ud65c\uc6a9\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ECB \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc720\ub85c \ubc1c\ubaa9\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc704\uae30. \uac00\uc2a4\uac12 3\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\u00b7\uc800\uc7a5\ub960 67%\ub85c \uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74 \uc545\ud654, 1.1600 \uc774\ud0c8 \uc2dc 1.1550~1.1500 \ud558\ubc29 \uc5f4\ub9bc. \ubbf8 CPI\u00b7Fed\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ubcc0\uc218.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50109,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53975","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"ECB \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc720\ub85c \ubc1c\ubaa9\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc704\uae30. 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