{"id":53697,"date":"2026-09-01T14:20:54","date_gmt":"2026-09-01T14:20:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ea%b8%80%eb%a1%9c%eb%b2%8c-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ed%88%ac%eb%a7%a4%ec%97%90-%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8-10%eb%85%84%eb%ac%bc-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-3-%eb%8f%8c%ed%8c%8c%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88\/"},"modified":"2026-09-01T14:20:54","modified_gmt":"2026-09-01T14:20:54","slug":"%ea%b8%80%eb%a1%9c%eb%b2%8c-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ed%88%ac%eb%a7%a4%ec%97%90-%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8-10%eb%85%84%eb%ac%bc-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-3-%eb%8f%8c%ed%8c%8c%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ea%b8%80%eb%a1%9c%eb%b2%8c-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ed%88%ac%eb%a7%a4%ec%97%90-%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8-10%eb%85%84%eb%ac%bc-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-3-%eb%8f%8c%ed%8c%8c%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uad6d\ucc44 \ud22c\ub9e4\uc5d0 \uc77c\ubcf8 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac 3% \ub3cc\ud30c\u2026\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\uc640 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uad6d\ucc44 \ubc1c\ud589 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \uae08\ub9ac\uace1\uc120\uc774 \uac00\ud314\ub77c\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc774 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud588\ub294\ub370, 10\ub144\ubb3c \uc77c\ubcf8\uad6d\ucc44(JGB) \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 1996\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c 3.00%\ub97c \ud130\uce58\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 10\ub144\ubb3c\uc774 4.78% \ub0b4\uc678, 2\ub144\ubb3c\uc774 4.35% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub3c5\uc77c \uad6d\ucc44(Bund) 3.35%, \ud504\ub791\uc2a4 \uad6d\ucc44(OAT) 4.21%, \uc601\uad6d \uae38\ud2b8 5.23%\uac00 \uac70\ub860\ub410\ub2e4. \uc678\ud658\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ucd94\uc885\ud558\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc740 159.9 \ubd80\uadfc, \uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 1.160~1.161 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc740 \ud63c\uc870: \ub2c8\ucf00\uc774 -0.2%, \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c +0.2%, \ud56d\uc14d \uc57d -0.9%, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\uc218\uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 0.7% \uc62c\ub77c \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 91.1\ub2ec\ub7ec, WTI\ub294 0.8% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 86.5\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uae08\uc740 0.4% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \uc57d 4,431\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 1.3% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 7\ub9cc8,700\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc774\ub354\ub9ac\uc6c0\uc740 2.3% \uc62c\ub77c 2,470\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \uc774\uc288\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ub410\ub2e4. \ub0a8\ucabd \ud56d\ub85c\uac00 \ub9c8\ub828\ub410\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc720\uc870\uc120 \ud53c\uaca9 \ubcf4\ub3c4\uac00 \ub098\uc654\uace0, Kpler\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \ud1b5\uacfc \uc120\ubc15\uc740 5\ucc99\uc73c\ub85c 10\uc77c \ud3c9\uade0(\uc57d 14\ucc99)\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ud558\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc911 \uc561\uccb4 \ud654\ubb3c(\uc720\uc870\uc120) \uc6b4\ud56d\uc740 \uc804\ubb34\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 9\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c\uae4c\uc9c0 \u2018\ubc24\ub2f9 \uc57d 50\ucc99\u2019\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\uc640\ub3c4 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ucef8\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, FTSE -1.16%(10,699.05), DAX -1.22%(25,960.39), CAC -0.41%(8,300.69). STOXX 600\uc740 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569\uc778 \ubc18\uba74 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc139\ud130\ub294 \uc57d 1.4% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uac70\uc2dc\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI 52.7, \ub3c5\uc77c 54.3, \ud504\ub791\uc2a4 51.1. \ub3c5\uc77c \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 -3.4%, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 -2.5% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uace0, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 CPI \ucd94\uc815\uce58\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.3%(\uadfc\uc6d0 2.4%), \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 6.4%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4. \uae30\uc5c5\u00b7\uc139\ud130 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub178\ubc14\ud2f0\uc2a4 +5.5%, \uc5d0\uc5b4\ub9ac\ud034\ub4dc +3.5%, \ud30c\ud2b8\ub108\uc2a4\uadf8\ub8f9\uc740 \uc0c1\ubc18\uae30 \uadc0\uc18d\uc774\uc775 -13% \uc5ec\ud30c\ub85c -7.0%. \ub9c8\uc774\ud06c\ub860 \ub300\ub9cc \uc0ac\uc5c5\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc804\uccb4 \uc57d 1\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \uc911 \uac70\uc758 1\ub9cc\uba85\uc744 \ub300\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \ub178\uc870\uac00 \ud30c\uc5c5 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub450\uace0 80% \uc774\uc0c1\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. AI \uc778\ud504\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc564\ud2b8\ub85c\ud53d(Anthropic)\uc758 350\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8 \ub78c\ub2e4(Lambda) \uacc4\uc57d\uc774 \uc774\uc804 \uad6c\uc870(15\ub144 \uc57d\uc815 196\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ucd5c\ub300 \uc57d 500\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5)\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud615\ud0dc\ub85c \ub4a4\ub530\ub790\uace0, \uc564\ud2b8\ub85c\ud53d\uc758 \uc2e0\uaddc \ucef4\ud4e8\ud2b8 \uc57d\uc815\uc774 \uc77c\uc8fc\uc77c \uc0c8 \uc57d 800\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub410\ub2e4. \uc988\ud478(Zhipu)\ub294 \uc57d 10\ub9cc \uac1c\uc758 \uc911\uad6d\uc0b0 \uac00\uc18d\uae30\uc5d0\uc11c 6\uc77c\uac04 60\uc870(60T)+ \ud1a0\ud070\uc744 \ucc98\ub9ac\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud1a0\ud070\ub2f9 \ube44\uc6a9\uc740 \uc5f0\ucd08 \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 80% \ud558\ub77d, \uc131\ub2a5\uc740 \uc57d 3\ubc30 \uac1c\uc120\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 8\uc6d4 \ub9d0 ARR(\uc5f0\ud658\uc0b0 \ub9e4\ucd9c)\uc740 16\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ucd5c\uadfc \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc728 20\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>Global Markets And Policy Shifts<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uac10\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8 10\ub144\ubb3c\uc774 1996\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c 3.0%\ub97c \ud130\uce58\ud588\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 4.78% \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uad6d\ucc44\uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ub610\ub294 \ucd5c\uc885\uae08\ub9ac(terminal rate) \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ud398\uc774\uc5b4 \uc2a4\uc651\uc158(payer swaption) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 9\uc6d4\uc740 \ucc44\uad8c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7a5\uae30 \ucd94\uc138 \uc804\ud658\uc774 \uc790\uc8fc \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uae30\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c, \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher-for-longer)\u2019 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub300\ube44\uac00 \ucd5c\uc6b0\uc120 \uacfc\uc81c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uaf3d\ud788\ub294 160\uc120 \uc8fc\ubcc0\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, G20\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ucc45 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \uc5d4\ud654\ub294 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc784\ubc15\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ)\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654\uac00 \uc9c4\ud589\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc5d4\ud654\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc808\uc0c1(\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \uae09\ub77d) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 OTM \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. 1985\ub144 \ud50c\ub77c\uc790\ud569\uc758 \ub4f1 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 9\uc6d4\uc740 \ud658\uc728 \uccb4\uc81c \uc804\ud658\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \u2018\uc804\ud615\uc801 \ucc3d\uad6c\u2019\uc774\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc740 \u2018\uc20f \uc5d4\u2019 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc20f \uc2a4\ud034\uc988\uac00 \uc804\uac1c\ub420 \uc18c\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>Energy Markets, Supply Chains, And Defensive Strategies<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \ud1b5\uacfc \uc120\ubc15\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \ud3c9\uade0 14\ucc99 \ub300\ube44 \ud558\ub8e8 5\ucc99\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\uac10\ud588\uace0, \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 91\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1\ub85c \uc815\uc0c1\ud654\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc5b4\ub835\uac8c \uc804\uac1c\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uacf5\uae09\uce21 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\u00b7WTI \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub871 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc720\ub7fd \uac00\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uacfc \ub0ae\uc740 \uc800\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubc1c(\u767c) \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc7ac\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5f0\ub3d9 \uc2a4\uc651 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ub300\uc751\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub9c8\uc774\ud06c\ub860\uc758 \ub300\ub9cc \uc2dc\uc124\uc5d0\uc11c \ud30c\uc5c5 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uace0\uc870\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \ud575\uc2ec HBM(\uace0\ub300\uc5ed\ud3ed \uba54\ubaa8\ub9ac) \uacf5\uae09\ub2a5\ub825\uc5d0 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 9\uc6d4 \ud558\uc21c \uc2e4\uc801 \uc2dc\uc98c\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \uc139\ud130 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \uad50\ub780\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ubca4\uce58\ub9c8\ud06c \uc9c0\uc218 \ud48b \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ub300\ud615 AI \ud558\ub4dc\uc6e8\uc5b4 \ub9ac\uc2a4(\uc784\ub300)\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\ub294 \uc790\uae08\uc870\ub2ec \uad6c\uc870\uac00 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac(\ud560\uc778\uc728) \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ud558\ub4dc\uc6e8\uc5b4 \ubcd1\ubaa9\uc5d0 \ubaa8\ub450 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ubc18 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800 \ud5e4\uc9c0\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc77c\ubcf8 10\ub144\ubb3c 3% \ub3cc\ud30c\u201d\uac00 \uc3d8\uc544\uc62c\ub9b0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc1fc\ud06c\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 160\uc120 \uae34\uc7a5, \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 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