{"id":53696,"date":"2026-09-01T14:19:31","date_gmt":"2026-09-01T14:19:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-2%ec%a3%bc-%ec%b5%9c%ec%a0%80%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88\/"},"modified":"2026-09-01T14:19:31","modified_gmt":"2026-09-01T14:19:31","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-2%ec%a3%bc-%ec%b5%9c%ec%a0%80%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-2%ec%a3%bc-%ec%b5%9c%ec%a0%80%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 \ud655\ub300\ub85c \uae08\uac12 2\uc8fc \ucd5c\uc800\u2026\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uac12\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uae30\ub85d\ud55c 3\uac1c\uc6d4\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 2\uc8fc \uc800\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc7ac\ubd80\uac01\ub41c \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. XAU\/USD\ub294 4,358\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \uc804\uc77c \ub300\ube44 2.0% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640 \uc2ec\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc5c4 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\ub410\uace0, CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \ud234\uc740 9\uc6d4 15~16\uc77c FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 65%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 1\uc8fc\uc77c \uc804 \uc57d 40%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub978 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub2ec \uc911 \uc870\uae30 \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc77c\ubd80 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 99.63\uc120\uc73c\ub85c 2\uc8fc \uace0\uc810(99.72)\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ubbf8 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc57d 4.80%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c 2025\ub144 1\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc720\uac00\ub3c4 \uc774\ud2c0 \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uace0\uc870\ub418\uba74\uc11c WTI\uac00 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uc8fc\ub9d0 \ub3d9\uc548 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ud55c \ub2ec \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\ud638 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0\ubc1b\uc558\uace0, \uc601\uad6d \ud574\uc0ac\ubb34\uc5ed\uae30\uad6c(UKMTO)\ub294 \uc720\uc870\uc120 1\ucc99\uc774 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ube60\uc838\ub098\uac00\ub358 \uc911 \uc2e0\uc6d0 \ubd88\uba85\uc758 \ubc1c\uc0ac\uccb4 3\ubc1c\uc5d0 \ud53c\uaca9\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac04\ub2e4. 8\uc6d4 ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\uc640 7\uc6d4 JOLTS \uad6c\uc778\uac74\uc218\uc5d0 \uc774\uc5b4, \uc218\uc694\uc77c ADP \uace0\uc6a9\ubcc0\ub3d9\uacfc \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(Nonfarm Payrolls)\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\uace0, 100\uc77c SMA(4,365\ub2ec\ub7ec) \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c 50% \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(4,350\ub2ec\ub7ec)\uacfc\ub3c4 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uc885\uac00\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 4,267\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uac70\uccd0 4,149\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ubc29 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc800\ud56d\uc740 4,432\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,530\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,534\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc21c\uc774\uba70 \uc774\ud6c4 4,700\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. RSI\ub294 49 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uace0 MACD\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc74c(-)\uc758 \uc601\uc5ed\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uc8fc\uc694 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\n<p>XAU\/USD\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \ub808\ubca8\uc778 4,358\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uae08\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870 \uc804\ud658\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4.80%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 2025\ub144 1\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc774\uc790\uc218\uc775\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uba70, \uadc0\uae08\uc18d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138\ub97c \ucd09\ubc1c\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>4,350\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uad00\ucc30\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 100\uc77c SMA\uc640 50% \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc774 \uacb9\uce5c\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd09 \uc885\uac00\uac00 \uc774 \ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \uc774\ud0c8\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, 61.8% \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uc218\uc900\uc778 4,267\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ud574\ub2f9 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ud558\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\uc5d0 \uc2e4\ud328\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc548\ub3c4 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ube60\ub978 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8 \uc2a4\ud1b1\uc758 \ub871\ucf5c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c, \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubcc0\uc218<\/h3>\n\n<p>ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI, JOLTS, \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ub4f1 \uad75\uc9c1\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud574, \ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc190\uc2e4(defined-risk) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud574\uc654\uc73c\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac 9\uc6d4 15~16\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 65% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub3c4 \ubcc0\uc218\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI) \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc740 \uae08\uc5d0 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc720\ubc1c\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \u2018\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\u2192\uae08\ub9ac\u2019 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ub354 \uc6b0\uc120\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6cc, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc5ed\uc124\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uc5d0 \uc57d\uc138 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uae08\uac12, \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc778\ub370 \uc65c \ubc00\ub9ac\ub098\u201d \uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640 \uc774\ud6c4 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 65%\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uac15\uc138, \uae08 2\uc8fc \uc800\uc810. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00\u2191, \uc9c0\ud45c\u00b74,350\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50392,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53696","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uae08\uac12, \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc778\ub370 \uc65c \ubc00\ub9ac\ub098\u201d \uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640 \uc774\ud6c4 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 65%\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uac15\uc138, \uae08 2\uc8fc \uc800\uc810. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00\u2191, \uc9c0\ud45c\u00b74,350\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc8fc\ubaa9.\" \/>\n\t<meta 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