{"id":53666,"date":"2026-09-01T03:19:16","date_gmt":"2026-09-01T03:19:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%88-%eb%a7%a4%ec%9e%85-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%eb%b6%80%ec%a1%b1-%eb%b0%8f-%eb%b6%80%ec%b1%84-%eb%b6%80%eb%8b%b4%ec%97%90-%ed%9e%98\/"},"modified":"2026-09-01T03:19:16","modified_gmt":"2026-09-01T03:19:16","slug":"%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%88-%eb%a7%a4%ec%9e%85-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%eb%b6%80%ec%a1%b1-%eb%b0%8f-%eb%b6%80%ec%b1%84-%eb%b6%80%eb%8b%b4%ec%97%90-%ed%9e%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%88-%eb%a7%a4%ec%9e%85-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%eb%b6%80%ec%a1%b1-%eb%b0%8f-%eb%b6%80%ec%b1%84-%eb%b6%80%eb%8b%b4%ec%97%90-%ed%9e%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08 \ub9e4\uc785 \ud655\ub300, \uacf5\uae09 \ubd80\uc871 \ubc0f \ubd80\ucc44 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 \uc2e4\ubb3c\uc790\uc0b0 \uac15\uc138\u2026\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uae09\ub4f1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc2e4\ubb3c\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 2026\ub144 8\uc6d4 \ud55c \ub2ec \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uae08\uc18d\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc740\uc740 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 \uc57d 54\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\uc758 70\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c \uc218\uc8fc \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uc57d 30% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \uae08\uc740 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c 4,700\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\ub85c \ub6f0\uba70 4\uc8fc\ub3c4 \ucc44 \uc548 \ub3fc 700\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1(\uc57d 18%) \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uad6c\ub9ac\ub294 \ub7f0\ub358\uae08\uc18d\uac70\ub798\uc18c(LME)\uc5d0\uc11c \ud1a4\ub2f9 1\ub9cc4,343\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uce58\uc19f\uc544 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 90\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc740 2\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \uae08\uc744 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\uc900 289\ud1a4 \ub9e4\uc785\ud574 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44 62% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uace0, \uc5ed\ub300 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc758 2\ubd84\uae30 \uae30\ub85d\uc744 \uc138\uc6e0\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ubc18\uae30 \uae08 \uc218\uc694\ub294 \ucd1d 2,522\ud1a4\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uc778 3,800\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\uac00\ubd80\ucc44\uac00 40\uc870\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc120 \uc2dc\uc810\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub838\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacf5\uae09 \uc81c\uc57d\ub3c4 \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub860\ub410\ub2e4. \uad6d\uc81c\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uae30\uad6c(IEA)\ub294 2040\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uad6c\ub9ac \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc57d 700\ub9cc \ud1a4 \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc778 \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 2035\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc57d 25%\uc758 \uacf5\uae09 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ub0a8\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc11d\uc720 \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc804\ub7b5\ube44\ucd95\uc720(SPR)\uac00 2\uc5b58,660\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4\ub85c \uc904\uc5b4 1982\ub144 11\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub18d\uc0b0\ubb3c \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc720\uc5d4 \uc2dd\ub7c9\ub18d\uc5c5\uae30\uad6c(FAO) \uc2dd\ub7c9\uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 7\uc6d4 131.1\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \uace1\ubb3c\uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 3.4%, \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 6.9% \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \uc791\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uae30\uc0c1 \uad50\ub780\uacfc \uad50\uc5ed\ub85c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce5c \uacb0\uacfc\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud1b5\ud569\ub41c \uc2e4\ubb3c\uc790\uc0b0 \ub9e4\ud06c\ub85c \uad6d\uba74\uacfc \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc2e4\ubb3c\uc790\uc0b0\uc774 \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \uac1c\ubcc4\uc801 \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \ud558\ub098\uc758 \ud1b5\ud569\ub41c \ub9e4\ud06c\ub85c \uad6d\uba74\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uc804\ud658\uc744 \ubaa9\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uadc0\uae08\uc18d \ub3cc\ud30c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\uc5d0 \uc989\uc2dc \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc740\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc 70\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uace0 \uae08\uc774 4,700\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub3cc\ud30c\ud55c \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc740 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00(repricing) \uad6d\uba74\uc758 \ucd08\uae30 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc5d0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 \uae30\uad00 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc740 2\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \uae08\uc744 289\ud1a4\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub85d\uc801 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub85c \ub9e4\uc785\ud558\uba70 \uc885\uc774\uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub09c \ubd84\uc0b0\uc744 \uc9c4\ud589\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ucd95\uc801\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\uac00\ubd80\ucc44\uac00 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 40\uc870\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc120 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc774\ub904\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc801 \ubc95\uc815\ud1b5\ud654 \uac00\uce58 \ud6fc\uc190\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \uadc0\uae08\uc18d \uc7a5\uae30 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ud65c\uc6a9\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08\uc18d\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\ub18d\uc0b0\ubb3c: \ub2e4\uc74c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\ub7f0\ub358\uae08\uc18d\uac70\ub798\uc18c\uc5d0\uc11c \ud1a4\ub2f9 1\ub9cc4,343\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud558\uba70 \uc0ac\uc0c1\uc801 \uace0\uc810\uad8c\uc73c\ub85c \uce58\uc19f\uc740 \uad6c\ub9ac\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uae08\uc18d\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \ubd10\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. IEA\ub294 \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5(AI) \ud655\uc0b0\uacfc \uc804\ub825\ub9dd \ud655\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uad6c\ub9ac \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uae09\uc99d\ud574, 2035\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc57d 25%\uc758 \uacf5\uae09 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uad6c\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0\uc11c \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread)\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ubb3c\ub9ac\uc801 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ub2dd(\uacf5\uae09 \uc555\ubc15)\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\ub86f\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\ub825\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 90\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub118\uc5b4\uc120 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ubbf8\uad6d SPR\uc774 2\uc5b58,660\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc18c\uc9c4\ub3fc 1982\ub144 11\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \ucc44\uad74\u00b7\uc81c\uc870\u00b7\uc6b4\uc1a1 \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc99d\ud3ed\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\uc1c4\uc801\uc778 \ube44\uc6a9\uc778\uc0c1 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(cost-push inflation) \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\uace0 \uc6d0\uc720 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uc9c4\uc785\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud55c\ud3b8 \ub18d\uc0b0\ubb3c\uc740 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae30\uc0c1 \uad50\ub780 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc5d4 \uc2dd\ub7c9\uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 131.1\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \uc870\uc6a9\ud788 \ub3cc\ud30c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uadf9\uc2ec\ud55c \uac00\ubb44\uacfc \uc11c\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\uc758 \uc791\ud669 \uc9c0\uc5f0\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uace1\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \uacf5\uae09 \uc704\ud611\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc2dd\ub7c9 \ubd80\uc871\uc744 \ubcf8\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc804\uc5d0 \ub18d\uc0b0\ubb3c \uc120\ubb3c\uc758 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc9c0\uae08 \uad6c\ucd95\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uacbd\uacc4\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc7a5\uae30 \uac15\uc138\uc7a5(secular bull market)\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd5c\ub300 \ud3ed\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \ub300\uc911\uc774 \uc8fc\uc800\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc804 \uc139\ud130\uc5d0 \uac78\uce5c \uad6c\uc870\ud654 \uc635\uc158 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ubd84\ud560\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ud574 \ub098\uac00\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc138\ub300\uc801 \ub9e4\ud06c\ub85c \ud2b8\ub80c\ub4dc\ub97c \ud3ec\ucc29\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ucc3d\uc740 \uc9c0\uae08 \uc5f4\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc2e4\ubb3c\uc790\uc0b0 \u2018\ub3d9\ubc18 \ub7a0\ub9ac\u2019\uac00 \uc2dc\uc791\ub410\ub2e4: 8\uc6d4 \uae08\u00b7\uc740\u00b7\uad6c\ub9ac\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uae08 289\ud1a4 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218. \u7f8e\ubd80\ucc44 40\uc870\u00b7\uacf5\uae09\uc81c\uc57d\u00b7\uc2dd\ub7c9\uc9c0\uc218 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc18d \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \ub871\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uae30\ud68c \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50141,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53666","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc2e4\ubb3c\uc790\uc0b0 \u2018\ub3d9\ubc18 \ub7a0\ub9ac\u2019\uac00 \uc2dc\uc791\ub410\ub2e4: 8\uc6d4 \uae08\u00b7\uc740\u00b7\uad6c\ub9ac\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uae08 289\ud1a4 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218. \u7f8e\ubd80\ucc44 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