{"id":53662,"date":"2026-08-31T23:20:39","date_gmt":"2026-08-31T23:20:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ea%b8%80%eb%a1%9c%eb%b2%8c-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%86%8d-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4-99-50%ec%84%a0-%ed%95%98%ed%9a%8cecb%c2%b7boj\/"},"modified":"2026-08-31T23:20:39","modified_gmt":"2026-08-31T23:20:39","slug":"%ea%b8%80%eb%a1%9c%eb%b2%8c-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%86%8d-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4-99-50%ec%84%a0-%ed%95%98%ed%9a%8cecb%c2%b7boj","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ea%b8%80%eb%a1%9c%eb%b2%8c-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%86%8d-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4-99-50%ec%84%a0-%ed%95%98%ed%9a%8cecb%c2%b7boj\/","title":{"rendered":"\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc18d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 99.50\uc120 \ud558\ud68c\u2026ECB\u00b7BOJ \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300 \ud655\uc0b0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 200\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \ubc1b\uc740 \ub4a4 99.50\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 0.26% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc7a5\uc5d0\ub294 \ub77c\ub77c\ud06c(Larak) \uc12c\uc758 \uc774\ub780 \ubc1c\uc0ac\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud0c0\uaca9, \uc720\uac00 2% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1, \uc804 \uad6c\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub4f1\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0 \uc2e4\ud328\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud588\ub2e4. 9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640 \uc5f0\uc124(\uae08\uc694\uc77c) \uc804 \uc57d 35%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d 60%\ub85c \ub6f0\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\ub3c4\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ub3d9\uc870 \uc131\uaca9\uc774 \uac15\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \ucc28\uc785\ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc218\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc130\uace0, \uc77c\ubcf8 2\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 31\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub3c5\uc77c\u00b7\ud504\ub791\uc2a4 2\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 2024\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc720\uac00\uac00 85.00\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc7a5\uae30\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 15\ub144 \uc774\uc0c1 \ub9cc\uc758 \uace0\uc810\ub300\ub85c \ubc00\ub824\uc62c\ub790\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc9c0\uc218 \uad6c\uc131\ub3c4 DXY\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc92c\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uac00 DXY\uc758 \uc57d 58%, \uc5d4\uc774 14%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ) \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 84%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc740 9~10\uc77c(9\uc6d4) \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc5f4\uace0, Fed\ub294 9\uc6d4 16\uc77c \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9ac\uba70, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740 9\uc6d4 18\uc77c \ub4a4\ub530\ub978\ub2e4. DXY\uc758 8\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810(98.50 \ubd80\uadfc)\uc740 8\uc6d4 19\uc77c \uc7a5\uae30\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \ubc14\uc774\ubc31\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub41c \uc774\ud6c4 \ud615\uc131\ub410\ub2e4. 30\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 8\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c 19\ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\uace0, \uae08\uc740 1\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\uc758 \uc6d4\uac04 \uc131\uacfc\ub85c \ud5a5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 14:00 GMT \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc778 ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5(\uc9c0\ubd88\ubb3c\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd 72, \uc774\uc804 71.1), 12:15 GMT \ubbfc\uac04 \uace0\uc6a9(\uc608\uc0c1 4.7\ub9cc\uba85), ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uc9c0\ubd88\ubb3c\uac00(\uc9c1\uc804 70.3), \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uae08\uc694\uc77c 12:30 GMT \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(\ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9 5.8\ub9cc\uba85 \uc804\ub9dd: \uc9c1\uc804 -2.3\ub9cc\uba85, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 4.1%, \ud3c9\uade0\uc784\uae08 0.3% MoM \uc804\ub9dd: \uc9c1\uc804 0.1%)\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 200\uc77c EMA\uac00 \uc704\uce58\ud55c 99.75 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774 1\ucc28 \uc800\ud56d\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4 50\uc77c EMA\uac00 \uc788\ub294 100.00 \ubc0f 100.50\uc774 \uc800\ud56d\ub300\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 99.40, \uc774\ud6c4 99.00\uacfc 98.50\uc774\uba70, \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI\ub294 30 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd09 \uae30\uc900 100.00 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub9c8\uac10 \uc2dc \ubb34\ud6a8\ud654(invalidation)\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc800\ud56d \ud655\uc778\uacfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 99.50\uc120\uc744 \uc9c0\ud0a4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \ucc44 200\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA)\uc5d0\uc11c \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc800\ud56d(\ub9ac\uc81d\uc158)\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uace0\uc870\ub418\uace0 \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI) \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc774\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 2023\ub144 \ub9d0 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uac00\uac00 95\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \uce58\uc19f\uc558\uc744 \ub54c\ucc98\ub7fc \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub3d9\ubc18 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uba54\ub9ac\ud2b8\uac00 \ud76c\uc11d\ub418\uace4 \ud588\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc77c\ubcf8 2\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 31\ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \ud130\uce58\ud558\uace0 \uc720\ub7fd \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uc6b0\uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \uc720\ub85c\uc640 \uc5d4\ud654\uac00 DXY \ubc14\uc2a4\ucf13\uc758 72% \uc774\uc0c1\uc744 \ucc28\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc0c1\uae30\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 ECB\uc640 BOJ\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ud615\uc131\ub3fc \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc720\ub85c \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uae08\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc790\uae08 \uc774\ub3d9\uacfc \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc544\uc6b8\ub7ec DXY\uc758 8\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810(98.50 \ubd80\uadfc)\uc740 \uad6d\ucc44 \ubc14\uc774\ubc31\uc774 \ucd09\ubc1c \uc694\uc778\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c, \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uacbd\uae30 \uac15\uc778\ud568\uc758 \uc2e0\ud638\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uacf5\uae09(\uc7ac\uc815 \uc870\ub2ec) \ubd80\ub2f4\uc758 \ubc18\uc601\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 2023\ub144 10\uc6d4 \ubbf8 30\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 5.05% \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uc774\uc804 \ub2e4\ub144 \uace0\uc810\uad8c\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\uc744 \ub54c\ub3c4, \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uacb0\uad6d \ub454\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\ucc98\ub7fc \uc791\ub3d9\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\uc6a9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc131\uaca9\uc5d0 \uac00\uae5d\uac8c \uc791\ub3d9\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ud53c\ub09c\ucc98 \uae30\ub2a5\uc744 \uc81c\uc57d\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc790\uae08\uc774 \uae08\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\uc740 1\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\uc758 \uc6d4\uac04 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 \ubd04 \uae08\uac12\uc774 2,400\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub3cc\ud30c\ud588\ub358 \uc0ac\ub840\ucc98\ub7fc, \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uacfc \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uadc0\uae08\uc18d\uc774 \ubc95\uc815\ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6b0\uc218\ud55c \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ub0b4\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\ubc29\uc744 \ucd94\uaca9\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uae08 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \u2018\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\u2019 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ud45c\ud604\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 8\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 98.50\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c DXY \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 DXY\uc758 \uc0c1\ubc29(\uc5c5\uc0ac\uc774\ub4dc)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub300\uc548\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 9\uc6d4 9\uc77c ECB \ud68c\uc758 \uc804\ud6c4\ub97c \uaca8\ub0e5\ud55c \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) EUR\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uc6b0\uc218\ud55c \uc190\uc775\ube44\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 50\uc77c EMA\uac00 \uc704\uce58\ud55c 100.00 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uac04\uc8fc\ud558\ub418, \ubb34\ud6a8\ud654 \uc218\uc900\uc740 100.00\uc744 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc601\uc5ed\uc5d0 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud558\uac8c \ub450\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c 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