{"id":53569,"date":"2026-08-28T14:19:21","date_gmt":"2026-08-28T14:19:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b3%a0%ec%b0%a9%ed%99%94%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-9%ec%9b%94-ecb\/"},"modified":"2026-08-28T14:19:21","modified_gmt":"2026-08-28T14:19:21","slug":"%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b3%a0%ec%b0%a9%ed%99%94%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-9%ec%9b%94-ecb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b3%a0%ec%b0%a9%ed%99%94%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-9%ec%9b%94-ecb\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc720\ub85c\uc874, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc8fc\ub3c4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uace0\ucc29\ud654\u2026\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 ECB \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uc8fc\uc2dc\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d PCE\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \ub9ce\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, 8\uc6d4 \ucd08 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0(\ud2b9\ud788 \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \uc5f0\ub8cc) \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud504\ub791\uc2a4\uc758 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.7%, \uc2a4\ud398\uc778\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.5%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc591\uad6d \ubaa8\ub450 \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\ud574, \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1 \ubc1c\ubc1c 6\uac1c\uc6d4\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 2\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09\ud6a8\uacfc\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 ECB(\uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uac70\uc758 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc774\ubc88 \ub178\ud2b8\ub294 2027\ub144\uc5d0 \uc608\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 2.00%\ub85c \ubcf5\uadc0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\ud0c8\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc9c0\uc801\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 7\uc6d4 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.7%\ub85c \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4(3.6%)\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uace0, \uc774\uc804\uce58 3.7%\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.3%, \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.2%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc218\uc815\uce58 \uae30\uc900 2\ubd84\uae30 GDP\ub294 1.5%(SAAR)\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubbfc\uac04\uc18c\ube44\u00b7\uc218\uc785\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \ub514\ud50c\ub808\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub410\uace0 \uae30\uc5c5\uc774\uc775\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uace0 EUR\/USD\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub3c5\uc77c Ifo\ub294 \uac1c\uc120\ub418\uba70 \ud604\uc7ac\uc0c1\ud669\uc740 88.5(\ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4 87.0, \uc774\uc804 86.6), \uae30\ub300\ub294 89.1(\ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4 87.5, \uc774\uc804 86.6)\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc130\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ud575\uc2ec \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub294 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\uace0\uc6a9 6\ub9cc5\ucc9c\uba85(\ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4 5\ub9cc5\ucc9c\uba85), \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 4.1%, \uc2dc\uac04\ub2f9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc784\uae08 0.3% m\/m\uc774\uba70, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 HICP\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.4%(\uc774\uc804 3.0%), \uadfc\uc6d0\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.4%(\uc774\uc804 2.5%)\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubcc0\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud55c \ud30c\uc0dd \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 9\uc6d4 ECB \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ub418\ub294 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2a4\uc651\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 9\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uace0, \uc5f0\ub0b4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4\uc838 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 ECB\uac00 \ub3d9\uacb0(\uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8)\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 2026\ub144 12\uc6d4 \uc720\ub9ac\ubcf4(Euribor) \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ub9ac\uc2dc\ubc84(receiver) \uc2a4\uc651\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud574, \u2018\ub450 \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc778\uc0c1\u2019\uc774 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\ub294 \uac00\uc815 \ud558\uc5d0 \uc774 \ubbf8\uc2a4\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc2f1\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d 2\ubd84\uae30 GDP\uac00 1.5%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 3.7%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 EUR\/USD\ub97c 1.08 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub838\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4(5\ub9cc5\ucc9c\uba85)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 6\ub9cc5\ucc9c\uba85\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2e8\uae30 EUR\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ud558\ubc29 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uad34\ub9ac\uc640 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uae08\ub9ac\uace1\uc120 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529<\/h3>\n<p>\uc2a4\ud398\uc778\uacfc \ud504\ub791\uc2a4\uc758 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc 2.4%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd08 \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 2\ucc28 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \ucd09\ubc1c\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc2e4\ud328\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub3c5\uc77c Ifo \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 88.5\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \ub370\uc11c \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub098\ub4ef \ub3c5\uc77c \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uc774 \ud68c\ubcf5 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc11c\uba74\uc11c, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ub3c5\uc77c \uad6d\ucc44(Bund)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120 \ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub108(Flatteners) \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 2027\ub144\uc5d0 ECB\uac00 \uc608\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 2.00%\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc7a5\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\ub3fc\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 2\ub144\uac04\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uc644\ud654 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30\ubb3c \ub9ac\uc2dc\ubc84 \uc2a4\uc651\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ud53c\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4. \ub300\uc2e0 \uc774\uc5f0(deferred) \uc720\ub9ac\ubcf4 \uce98\ub9b0\ub354 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uba74, \uc720\ub7fd \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \u2018\ub354 \ub192\uace0 \ub354 \uc624\ub798(higher-for-longer)\u2019 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ud504\u00b7\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00\u2191, \uadfc\uc6d0\uc740 \ub454\ud654\u20269\uc6d4 ECB 25bp\ub294 \ubc18\uc601\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc \u2018\ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\u2019\uc740 \uacfc\ub300\ud3c9\uac00. \ubbf8 PCE 3.7%\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\u2191; \uc720\ub85c \ub9ac\uc2dc\ubc84\u00b7EUR\/USD \ud48b \uc720\ud6a8.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50176,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53569","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ud504\u00b7\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00\u2191, \uadfc\uc6d0\uc740 \ub454\ud654\u20269\uc6d4 ECB 25bp\ub294 \ubc18\uc601\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc \u2018\ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\u2019\uc740 \uacfc\ub300\ud3c9\uac00. \ubbf8 PCE 3.7%\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\u2191; \uc720\ub85c \ub9ac\uc2dc\ubc84\u00b7EUR\/USD \ud48b \uc720\ud6a8.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b3%a0%ec%b0%a9%ed%99%94%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%80-9%ec%9b%94-ecb\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 5.0.1.1\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\uc720\ub85c\uc874, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc8fc\ub3c4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uace0\ucc29\ud654\u2026\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 ECB 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