{"id":53544,"date":"2026-08-28T05:20:21","date_gmt":"2026-08-28T05:20:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85-%ed%9a%a8%ea%b3%bc-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ec%9d%bc-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%b0%a8-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-160%ec%97%94-%ec%95%84\/"},"modified":"2026-08-28T05:20:21","modified_gmt":"2026-08-28T05:20:21","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85-%ed%9a%a8%ea%b3%bc-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ec%9d%bc-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%b0%a8-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-160%ec%97%94-%ec%95%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85-%ed%9a%a8%ea%b3%bc-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ec%9d%bc-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%b0%a8-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-160%ec%97%94-%ec%95%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4, \uac1c\uc785 \ud6a8\uacfc \uc57d\ud654\u00b7\ubbf8\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \ud655\ub300 \uc18d 160\uc5d4 \uc544\ub798\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c 159.50 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\uba70 42\ud54d \ubc94\uc704 \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c 0.05% \uc0c1\uc2b9, \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 5\uac70\ub798\uc77c\uc9f8 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc740 160.00\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud55c \ud558\ub77d \uc911\uc778 50\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc911\uc778 200\uc77c EMA\ub294 158.00 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc790\ub9ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc77c\uac04 \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI\ub294 69 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>7\uc6d4 \ud558\uc21c USD\/JPY\ub294 164.00\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\uc73c\ub098, 1998\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub904\uc9c4 \ub3c4\ucfc4\u2013\uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134 \uacf5\uc870 \uac1c\uc785\uc73c\ub85c \ub450 \uac70\ub798\uc77c \ub9cc\uc5d0 155.00\ub300\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ud55c \uc138\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\ub300 8.45\uc870\uc5d4\uc774 \ud22c\uc785\ub410\uace0, \uc774\ud6c4 \uc57d 5.3\uc870\uc5d4\uc774 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc9d1\ud589\ub410\ub2e4. 4\uc8fc\uac00 \uc9c0\ub09c \ud604\uc7ac \ud604\ubb3c \ud658\uc728\uc740 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud558\ub77d\ubd84\uc758 \uc911\uac04\uac12\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\ub7b5 10\uc5ec \ud54d \ub0b4\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uc640 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 1.00%\uc778 \ubc18\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubaa9\ud45c\uae08\ub9ac \ubc94\uc704\ub294 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c, \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \uc57d 2.5%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub2e4. 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 1.25%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 2%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc774\uc0c1 \ub0a8\ub294\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ucfc4 \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI(\uc2e0\uc120\uc2dd\ud488 \uc81c\uc678)\ub294 7\uc6d4 1.6%\uc5d0\uc11c 1.9%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(1.7%)\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc804\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0\uc740 2% \ubaa9\ud45c \ub300\ube44 1.8%\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \ub3c4\ucfc4 \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\ub97c 1.7%\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub294 8\uc6d47\uc77c \uc57d 65%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud604\uc7ac 80%\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ucfc4 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 GMT 23:30 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc774\uba70, \uc9c1\uc804\uce58\ub294 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\uacfc \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc81c\uc678\uac00 2%\uc600\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0\uc740 1.9%\uc600\ub2e4. 7\uc6d4 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 2.5%\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc5c6\uc744 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. CPI \uae30\uc900\uc5f0\ub3c4\ub294 2020\ub144\uc5d0\uc11c 2025\ub144\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\uacbd\ub410\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc77c\uc815\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c GMT 14:00 \uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\ub840 \ubca4\uce58\ub9c8\ud06c \uc218\uc815\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uce74\uace0 PMI\ub294 GMT 13:45\uc5d0 57(\uc774\uc804 57.6)\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\ub294 \uc77c\uc694\uc77c GMT 23:50\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\uba70, \uc804\ub144\ub3d9\uae30 0.5%, \uc804\uc6d4 -4.1%\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc5d0\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c GMT 14:00 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc9c0\ud45c(55.3 \uc608\uc0c1, \uc774\uc804 55.6), \uad6c\uc778\uacf5\uace0 735.9\ub9cc\uac74, \uc218\uc694\uc77c GMT 12:15 \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9(\uc774\uc804 4\ub9cc4\ucc9c), \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4(54.1), \uae08\uc694\uc77c GMT 12:30 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(\uc774\uc804 -2\ub9cc3\ucc9c, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 4.1%)\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uace0, 9\uc6d417~18\uc77c \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Technical Outlook and Recent Interventions<\/h3>\n<p>USD\/JPY\ub294 159.50 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uba38\ubb3c\uba70 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ub3cc\ud30c \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc5c6\uc774 5\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \ud658\uc728\uc740 160.00\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud55c \ud558\ub77d \uc911\uc778 50\uc77c EMA \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc911\uc778 200\uc77c EMA\ub294 158.00 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uc790\ub9ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc77c\uac04 \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI\uac00 69 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \ubc18\uc804 \uc804 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 160.00\uc120 \uc7ac\uc2dc\ub3c4\uac00 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \ub354 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc740 \ub3c4\ucfc4\uc640 \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc758 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uacf5\uc870 \uac1c\uc785 \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c, 2024\ub144 9.8\uc870\uc5d4 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc29\uc5b4\ub97c \uc5f0\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. \ucd08\uae30 8.45\uc870\uc5d4\uc5d0 \uc774\uc5b4 5.3\uc870\uc5d4\uc744 \ucd94\uac00 \ud22c\uc785\ud574 \ud658\uc728\uc744 155.00\ub300\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub838\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \ud558\ub77d\ubd84\uc758 \uc808\ubc18\uac00\ub7c9\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\ub838\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uadfc\ubcf8\uc801\uc778 \uac70\uc2dc \ub3d9\uc778\uc774 \ud574\uc18c\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ud55c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ud658\uc728 \uac1c\uc785\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30 \ucc98\ubc29\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Yield Differentials, Fiscal Pressures, and Trade Setups<\/h3>\n<p>\ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 1.00% \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubaa9\ud45c\uae08\ub9ac \ubc94\uc704 3.50%~3.75%\uc5d0 \ud06c\uac8c \ubabb \ubbf8\uce5c\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc774 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 1.25%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 2%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\uc758 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\uac00 \ub0a8\uc544 \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\uc758 \uc218\uc775\uc131\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uac10\uc138\uc640 \uc7ac\uc815 \ubd80\uc591\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ub418\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\ub3c4 \uc5d4\ud654\uc758 \uc7a5\uae30 \uac00\uce58\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc815\uce58\uc801 \uc555\ub825\ub3c4 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \ub3c4\ucfc4 \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\uac00 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\uc5d0 \ubabb \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 1.9%\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub984\uc5d0\ub3c4 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc774\ub2ec \ucd08 65%\uc5d0\uc11c 80%\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c\uc654\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc57d\uc138 \ud658\uc728\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc218\uc785\ub418\ub294 \uc131\uaca9\uc774 \uac15\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \ucc98\ubc29\uc774\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud658\uc728 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc148\uc774\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 9\uc6d417~18\uc77c \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 160.00 \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ud55c USD\/JPY\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc57d\uc138 \ubc14\uc774\uc5b4\uc2a4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud558\ub77d \uc911\uc778 50\uc77c EMA \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uad6c\uac04 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub294 159.00\uacfc 158.00 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub300\ub97c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud55c \uc704\ud5d8\ub300\ube44\uc218\uc775(\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c-\ub9ac\uc6cc\ub4dc) \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uad6c\ub3c4\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc77c\uc77c \uc885\uac00\uac00 160.00\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc57d\uc138 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 \ubb34\ud6a8\ud654\ub418\uba70, 160.50\uacfc 161.50\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ucd08\uc810\uc774 \uc774\ub3d9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uac1c\uc785 \ud6c4 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \ub05d\uc5d0 USD\/JPY 159.50\ub300\u2026160.00 \uc800\ud56d \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8 \uc784\ubc15. \ubbf8\u00b7\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 2.5%p, BOJ 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 80%\u00b7\ub3c4\ucfc4 CPI\u00b7\ud30c\uc6d4 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50152,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53544","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uac1c\uc785 \ud6c4 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \ub05d\uc5d0 USD\/JPY 159.50\ub300\u2026160.00 \uc800\ud56d \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8 \uc784\ubc15. \ubbf8\u00b7\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 2.5%p, BOJ 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 80%\u00b7\ub3c4\ucfc4 CPI\u00b7\ud30c\uc6d4 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link 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