{"id":53175,"date":"2026-08-19T19:19:42","date_gmt":"2026-08-19T19:19:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%97%ac%ec%a0%84%ed%9e%88-%eb%86%92%ec%95%84%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%ec%9c%84\/"},"modified":"2026-08-19T19:19:42","modified_gmt":"2026-08-19T19:19:42","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%97%ac%ec%a0%84%ed%9e%88-%eb%86%92%ec%95%84%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%ec%9c%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%97%ac%ec%a0%84%ed%9e%88-%eb%86%92%ec%95%84%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c-%ec%9c%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \u201c\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc544\u201d\u2026\ub9e4\ud30c \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc8fc\uc7a5 \uc18d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ud558\ub77d\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>7\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC) \ud68c\uc758\ub85d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc778 \ubc18\uba74, \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc5ec\uac74\uc740 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\uace0 \uc2e4\uc9c8 GDP\ub294 \ud655\uc7a5\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \ub300\ubd80\ubd84\uc758 \ucc38\uc11d\uc790\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3d9\uc758\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc77c\ubd80\ub294 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud588\ub2e4. \ub9ce\uc740 \ucc38\uc11d\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc77c\ubd80\ub294 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \uc870\uce58\uac00 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud544\uc694\uc131\uc744 \uc904\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uad6d\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c 1\ub144\uac04\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc7ac\ud654\uc640 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud558\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \uc2a4\ud0dc\ud504 \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd(Fed Staff Economic Outlook)\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacac\ud574\ub97c 6\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\ub098, \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ub2e4\uc18c \uc57d\ud654\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud588\ub2e4. \ucc38\uc11d\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 AI \uad00\ub828 \ud22c\uc790\uc640 \uac00\uacc4\uc9c0\ucd9c\uc744 \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc2e4\uc9c8 GDP \uc131\uc7a5 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>7\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Fed Funds rate)\ub294 3.5%~3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\uc73c\ub098, \ub85c\ub9ac \ub85c\uac74(Lorie Logan), \ubca0\uc2a4 \ud574\ub9e5(Beth Hammack), \ub2d0 \uce74\uc2dc\uce74\ub9ac(Neel Kashkari) \ub4f1 3\uba85\uc758 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc5f0\uc740 \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud558\uba70 \ubc18\ub300\ud588\ub2e4. \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc(Kevin Warsh)\ub294 \uc5f0 6\ud68c(\uc57d 2\uac1c\uc6d4\ub9c8\ub2e4) \ud68c\uc758\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uac70\ub860\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, 2026\ub144 \uc77c\uc815\uc740 \ubcc0\uacbd\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \ud68c\uc758\ub85d \uacf5\uac1c \uc774\ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 98.90 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uacf5\uac1c \uc774\uc804 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 34%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 3\uc8fc \uc804 \uc57d 60%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \ud68c\uc758\ub85d\uc740 GMT 18:00\uc5d0 \uacf5\uac1c\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \ubcc4\ub3c4\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub41c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ub808\ubca8\uc740 DXY 99.46, \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA) 100.03 \ubc0f 100.51, 99.89 \ubd80\uadfc \ucd94\uc138\uc120 \uc800\ud56d, RSI \uc57d 38, \uc800\ud56d 100.35, \uc9c0\uc9c0 98.90\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>US Dollar Index Trends and Tactical Trade Recommendations<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 98.90~99.46 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc57d\uc138 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uad00\uce21\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \ubbf8 \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80\uac00 \uc815\ubd80\ubd80\ucc44 \ubc14\uc774\ubc31(\ub9e4\uc785)\uc744 \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7fd\uac8c 2\ubc30\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ud558\uae30\ub85c \uacb0\uc815\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uac15\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud1b5\ud654 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc2dc DXY\ub97c \uc20f(\ub9e4\ub3c4)\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 98.90\uc758 \uacac\uace0\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774\uba70, \uc190\uc808\uc740 99.89 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc704\uc5d0 \ub450\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 34%\ub85c\ub9cc \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uba87 \uc8fc \uc804 60%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. 7\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ud30c \uc131\ud5a5\uc758 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac 3\uba85\uc774 \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ud45c\ub97c \ub358\uc9c0\uae34 \ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac 2\ub9cc3,000\uac1c \uac10\uc18c\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba74\uc11c \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8(\ud30c\uc6d4\uc2dd pause)\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \ud604 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\ub85c 3.5%~3.75% \uad6c\uac04 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \uc120\ud0dd\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>Macro Backdrop and Volatility Strategies<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uacfc\uac70 \ud328\ud134\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \ubabb\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9 \uac10\uc18c\uc640 \ub454\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uacb0\ud569\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uac70\uc758 \uc608\uc678 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uad6d\uba74\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae34\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074 \uc885\ub8cc\ub97c \uc778\uc2dd\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44 \ub178\ud2b8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc6b0\uc218\ud55c \uc704\ud5d8\ub300\ube44\uc218\uc775(risk-reward)\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \uc7ad\uc2a8\ud640 \uc2ec\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc5c4\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc790\ub9ac\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc\ub294 \uacbd\uc9c1\ub41c \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc815\ucc45 \uc720\uc5f0\uc131\uc744 \uac15\uc870\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uba85\uc2dc\uc801 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \ubd80\uc7ac\ub294 \uc2e0\uaddc \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \uc720\uc785\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uacf5\uc0b0\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud574 \uc720\ub85c\uc640 \uc5d4\ud654\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud558\uba70, \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc801\uc808\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ub3d9\uacb0\uc774\ub0d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774\ub0d0\u201d 7\uc6d4 FOMC, \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uace0\ucc29\uc5d0 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654 \uacbd\uace0 \uc18d 3\uba85 \uc778\uc0c1 \ubc18\ub300. 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 34%\ub85c \uae09\ub77d, DXY \uc57d\uc138\u2026 98.90 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50126,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53175","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\ub3d9\uacb0\uc774\ub0d0 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