{"id":53133,"date":"2026-08-18T23:19:24","date_gmt":"2026-08-18T23:19:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-nzd-usd-0-5880%ec%84%a0%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5\/"},"modified":"2026-08-18T23:19:24","modified_gmt":"2026-08-18T23:19:24","slug":"%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-nzd-usd-0-5880%ec%84%a0%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-nzd-usd-0-5880%ec%84%a0%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u2026 NZD\/USD 0.5880\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>NZD\/USD\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c 0.38% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 0.5880\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780 \uac04 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub418\uba70 \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub41c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298\uc5b4\ub09c \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 7\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(NFP) \ubd80\uc9c4\uacfc \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uac00 \ud1b5\ud654\uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc57d\ud654\ub410\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 35%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804 47%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uacf5\uac1c\ub420 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC) \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \ub2ec \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \ud574\uc678\uc758 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba70 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. 7\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900 \ud574\uc678 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc758 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uad6d\ucc44 \ubcf4\uc720 \ube44\uc911\uc740 58.9%\ub85c, 6\uc6d4 57.7%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ube44\uac70\uc8fc\uc790 \ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc740 1,224\uc5b57,000\ub9cc \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZ$)\ub85c 1,155\uc5b53,000\ub9cc NZ$\uc5d0\uc11c \ub298\uc5b4\ub09c \ubc18\uba74, \ube44\uac70\uc8fc\uc790 \ub808\ud3ec \ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc740 110\uc5b52,000\ub9cc NZ$\ub85c 110\uc5b59,000\ub9cc NZ$\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uad00\ub828 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 7\uc6d4 \uc120\uc815\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(Selected Price Index)\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.5%\ub85c 6\uc6d4 4.9%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \ud718\ubc1c\uc720\u00b7\uacbd\uc720\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud558\uba74 2.2%\ub85c 6\uc6d4 2.8%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \ud575\uc2ec \uce74\ub4dc \ub9e4\ucd9c \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 0.4%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.5%\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uace0, \uc804\uccb4 \ub9e4\ucd9c \uc99d\uac00\uc728\ub3c4 1.3%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.5%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\u00b7\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud655\ub300 \uc18d \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c NZD\/USD\uac00 0.5880\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 2019\ub144\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub300\uce58\uac00 \uaca9\ud654\ub3fc \ud574\uc0c1\uc6b4\uc1a1 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud588\uc744 \ub54c, \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\uac00 \uc218\uc8fc \ub0b4 2% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 NZD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc720\ud6a8\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 Fed\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 35%\ub85c \ub0ae\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc774 7\uc6d4 NFP \ubd80\uc9c4\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \ub354 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(dovish) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uaebe\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uad6c\uc131, \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>RBNZ \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uad6d\ub0b4 \uacbd\uc81c \uc694\uc778<\/h3>\n<p>\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 RBNZ\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uacfc\ub300\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud574\uc678 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uad6d\ucc44\uc758 58.9%\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud560 \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc644\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6d4\uac04 \uc120\uc815\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 6\uc6d4 4.9%\uc5d0\uc11c 7\uc6d4 3.5%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \uae08\ub9ac\uc2a4\uc651(interest rate swaps)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8(pause)\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>7\uc6d4 \uba85\ubaa9 \uce74\ub4dc \uc18c\ub9e4\ub9e4\ucd9c\uc774 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.5% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc73c\ub098, \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud55c \uc2e4\uc9c8 \uc18c\ube44\ub294 \uc815\uccb4\ub3fc \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub0b4\uc218 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc740 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c RBNZ\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ubd80\uc751\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub780 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uac04 \uae08\ub9ac(\uc218\uc775\ub960) \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\uac00 \ucd95\uc18c\ub418\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8 \ub300\ube44 \uae30\ub300\uc218\uc775 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ud0a4\uc7a1\uc774?\u201d \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0 NZD\/USD 0.5880\uc120 \ud558\ub77d, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694 \ud655\ub300. Fed \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 35%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \ubcc0\uc218. RBNZ \ucd94\uac00\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\u00b7\uad6d\ucc44\uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\uc740 \uc9c0\uc9c0, \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \ub454\ud654\ub85c \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc\uc911\ub2e8\u2019 \ubca0\ud305.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50154,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53133","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ud0a4\uc7a1\uc774?\u201d \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0 NZD\/USD 0.5880\uc120 \ud558\ub77d, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694 \ud655\ub300. 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Fed \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 35%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \ubcc0\uc218. RBNZ \ucd94\uac00\uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\u00b7\uad6d\ucc44\uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\uc740 \uc9c0\uc9c0, \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \ub454\ud654\ub85c \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc\uc911\ub2e8\u2019 \ubca0\ud305.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-nzd-usd-0-5880%ec%84%a0%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-08-18T23:19:24+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-08-18T23:19:24+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/vtmarketsglobal\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@vtmarketsglobal\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u2026 NZD\/USD 0.5880\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uc8fc\ubaa9 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u201c\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ud0a4\uc7a1\uc774?\u201d \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0 NZD\/USD 0.5880\uc120 \ud558\ub77d, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694 \ud655\ub300. Fed \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 35%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \ubcc0\uc218. 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