{"id":52791,"date":"2026-08-11T19:28:55","date_gmt":"2026-08-11T19:28:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%af%b8-cpi%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-08-11T19:28:55","modified_gmt":"2026-08-11T19:28:55","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%af%b8-cpi%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%af%b8-cpi%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec, \ubbf8 CPI\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc2e0\ud638 \uc8fc\uc2dc \uc18d 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \uadfc\ucc98"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CAD\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc73c\uba70 1.3930\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \uc778\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc838 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, CME FedWatch\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 9\uc6d4 FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 50%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc8fc\uc694 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc77c\uc815\uc774 \ud55c\uc0b0\ud574, \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \uc608\uc815\ub41c \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc774 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uacfc \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub354 \ubbfc\uac10\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc720\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uacfc \uc774\ub780\u00b7\uc624\ub9cc\uc774 \uad00\uc5ec\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc54c\ub824\uc9c4 \uc81c\uc548\ub41c \ud569\uc758\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9ac\uba70 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4. \uce74\ud0c0\ub974 \uc678\ubb34\ubd80\ub294 \uad00\ub828 \ud611\uc758\uac00 \uc9c4\uc804\ub41c \ub2e8\uacc4\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\ub294 \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810 83.57\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \ub4a4 81.50\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 5% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\ucd9c\uad6d\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc774\ub294 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubcc0\uc218\ub2e4. TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BoC)\uc774 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 2.25%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud55c \ub4a4 \ub0b4\ub144\uc5d0 2.75%\ub85c \ubcf5\uadc0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 2027\ub144 1\uc6d4\uacfc 3\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uac01\uac01 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 100\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 \u201c\ub300\uccb4\ub85c \uc815\uc0c1\ud654\ub410\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 CPI\ub294 1~3% \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubbf8\uad6d CPI\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub300\ube44 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ub0b4\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d CPI\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\uac00 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4 \ub300\ube44 0.1%\ub9cc \uc774\ud0c8\ud574\ub3c4 USD\/CAD\ub294 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc9c1\ud6c4 \ud3c9\uade0 40\ud54d\uac00\ub7c9 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 \ucd5c\uc885 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uacb0\uacfc\uc640 \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \uae09\uaca9\ud558\uace0 \ub3cc\ubc1c\uc801\uc778 \ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>WTI\uac00 81.50\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub192\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc774\ub780-\uc624\ub9cc \uac04 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ud611\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c4\uc804\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc720\uac00\uac00 75\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\ucd9c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ubcc0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubc18\uc804\uc73c\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574, ATM(\ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \uadfc\ucc98) USD\/CAD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uc81c\uc548\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\uc640 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uc810\uac80\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 2026\ub144 \uc794\uc5ec \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 2.25%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub780 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 50%\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud560 \ub54c \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ubcf4\uc218\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \ud655\ub300\ub418\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac(\uc218\uc775\ub960) \uaca9\ucc28\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 USD\/CAD\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uce98\ub9b0\ub354 \ubd88 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ub871 \ub808\uadf8\ub4dc calendar bull spreads) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[\uc2dc\uc7a5\ucd08\uc810] USD\/CAD 1.3930\uc120 3\uc77c\uc9f8 \uc57d\uc138\u2026\u7f8e CPI \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uacac\uc870. \uc720\uac00\u00b7\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ubcc0\uc218\uc5d0 CAD \ubbfc\uac10, Fed 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 50% \ubc18\uc601. \uc635\uc158\u00b7\uce98\ub9b0\ub354 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50166,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52791","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"[\uc2dc\uc7a5\ucd08\uc810] USD\/CAD 1.3930\uc120 3\uc77c\uc9f8 \uc57d\uc138\u2026\u7f8e CPI \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uacac\uc870. \uc720\uac00\u00b7\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ubcc0\uc218\uc5d0 CAD \ubbfc\uac10, Fed 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 50% \ubc18\uc601. \uc635\uc158\u00b7\uce98\ub9b0\ub354 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link 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\uc720\uac00\u00b7\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ubcc0\uc218\uc5d0 CAD \ubbfc\uac10, Fed 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 50% \ubc18\uc601. \uc635\uc158\u00b7\uce98\ub9b0\ub354 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%af%b8-cpi%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-08-11T19:28:55+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-08-11T19:28:55+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/vtmarketsglobal\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@vtmarketsglobal\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uce90\ub098\ub2e4 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