{"id":52613,"date":"2026-08-07T11:28:21","date_gmt":"2026-08-07T11:28:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b09%ec%9b%94-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81\/"},"modified":"2026-08-07T11:28:21","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T11:28:21","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b09%ec%9b%94-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b09%ec%9b%94-fed-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\u20269\uc6d4 Fed \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 \uc644\ud654 \uc18d EUR\/USD \uc8fc\uc694 \ub808\ubca8 \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub178\ub3d9\ud1b5\uacc4\uad6d(BLS)\uc774 \uae08\uc694\uc77c 12:30 GMT\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc778 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 7\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc774 6\uc6d4 5\ub9cc7\ucc9c\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c 8\ub9cc\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc904 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.2%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\uba70, \ud3c9\uade0\uc2dc\uac04\ub2f9\uc784\uae08(AHE) \uae30\uc900 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc784\uae08\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\ub3c4 3.5%\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uad00\uce21\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub3c4\uc774\uccb4\ubc29\ud06c\ub294 NFP\ub97c +6\ub9cc5\ucc9c\uba85(6\uc6d4 +5\ub9cc7\ucc9c\uba85)\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud558\uba70, \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9\uc740 +6\ub9cc5\ucc9c\uba85(\uc804\uc6d4 +4\ub9cc9\ucc9c\uba85)\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.2%\ub97c \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub85c \ubcf4\ub418, \ucc38\uac00\uc728\uc774 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 4.3%\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c AHE\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc804\uc6d4\ub300\ube44 +0.3%\ub97c, \uc8fc\ub2f9 \ud3c9\uade0 \uadfc\ub85c\uc2dc\uac04\uc740 34.3\uc2dc\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569\uc744 \uac01\uac01 \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. BNY\uba5c\ub860\uc740 \ud32c\ub370\ubbf9 \uc774\uc804\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub178\ub3d9\uacf5\uae09 \uc99d\uac00\uc138\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub41c \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub9c9\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \u2018\uc190\uc775\ubd84\uae30\u2019 \uace0\uc6a9\uc99d\uac00 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \uc6d4 \uc57d 5\ub9cc\uba85 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc554\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\ubc18\uc601\uc740 \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\ub294 55%\ub85c, 7\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uc57d 70%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 7\uc6d4 \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 20% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4\uac00, \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ub099\uad00\ub860 \uc18d\uc5d0 8\uc6d4 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud480\uc774\ub41c\ub2e4. NFP\uac00 4\ub9cc\uba85 \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uc57d\uc138 \ubc0f EUR\/USD(\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec) \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud560 \ud558\ubc29 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub85c, 10\ub9cc\uba85 \ucd08\uacfc\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc758 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud574 EUR\/USD\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uacb0\uacfc\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. EUR\/USD \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 RSI\uac00 60\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70, \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 1.1570, 1.1630, 1.1800, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 1.1475~1.1440 \uad6c\uac04 \uc774\ud6c4 1.1360, 1.1280\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n&#8212;\n\n<h3>\ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP) \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud30c\uae09<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc624\ub298 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 7\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP) \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub294 6\uc6d4\uc758 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c 5\ub9cc7\ucc9c\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c 8\ub9cc\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub97c \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c, \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc2dc \uc678\ud658 \ubc0f \uae08\ub9ac \uc635\uc158 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 4\ub9cc\uba85 \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub0c9\uac01\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9ac\uace0 EUR\/USD\ub97c \ubc00\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud575\uc2ec \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc778 1.1570 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 EUR\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ud558\ubc29 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc744 \ub54c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 \uba87 \uc2dc\uac04 \ub0b4 100\ud54d \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ubc18\ub300\ub85c 10\ub9cc\uba85 \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcf5\uc6d0\ub825\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70 9\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub3fc EUR\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub610\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc20f) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \uae30\uc900 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 55%\ub85c, \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \u2018\uae09\uaca9 \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\u2019\ub420 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n&#8212;\n\n<h3>\uc6d0\uc720, \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5, EUR\/USD \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ub808\ubca8<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\ub294 7\uc6d4 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 80\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\ub358 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\uba70 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc644\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774\uc5b4\uc11c, NFP\uac00 \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc62c \ub54c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc9c0\uc18d \uc2dc \ub354 \uc99d\ud3ed\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ud654\ub77c\ub294 \u2018\uc774\uc911 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\u2019\uc744 \uac70\ub798\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub4f1 \uad6c\uc870\ud654 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \ud65c\uc6a9\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ucc28\ud2b8\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 EUR\/USD\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uae30\uc900\uc120\uc73c\ub85c 100\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA) 1.1570\uacfc 200\uc77c SMA 1.1630\uc744 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc77c\uac04 \uc885\uac00\uac00 \uc774\ub4e4 \ub808\ubca8\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba74 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138 \uc804\ud658\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ub354 \uae34 \ub9cc\uae30\ub85c \uc6b4\uc6a9\ud560 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uadfc\uac70\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud574\ub2f9 \uc800\ud56d \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 1.1440 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub300 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ubc29 \ubcf4\ud638\uc131 \uc2a4\ud1b1\uc744 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uae08\uc694\uc77c \u7f8e\uace0\uc6a9 \uc1fc\ud06c \uc62c\uae4c\u201d 7\uc6d4 NFP 8\ub9cc \ubc18\ub4f1\u00b7\uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 4.2% \uc608\uc0c1. 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 55%\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4. 4\ub9cc\u2193 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc57d\uc138\u00b7\uc720\ub85c\u2191, 10\ub9cc\u2191 \ubc18\ub300. \uae30\uc220\uc800\ud56d 1.1570.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50116,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52613","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uae08\uc694\uc77c \u7f8e\uace0\uc6a9 \uc1fc\ud06c \uc62c\uae4c\u201d 7\uc6d4 NFP 8\ub9cc \ubc18\ub4f1\u00b7\uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 4.2% \uc608\uc0c1. 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 55%\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4. 4\ub9cc\u2193 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc57d\uc138\u00b7\uc720\ub85c\u2191, 10\ub9cc\u2191 \ubc18\ub300. \uae30\uc220\uc800\ud56d 1.1570.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link 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