{"id":52566,"date":"2026-08-06T12:28:13","date_gmt":"2026-08-06T12:28:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%b8%8c%eb%9d%bc%ec%a7%88-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%c2%b7%eb%8c%80%ec%84%a0-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%ec%97%90-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94\/"},"modified":"2026-08-06T12:28:13","modified_gmt":"2026-08-06T12:28:13","slug":"%eb%b8%8c%eb%9d%bc%ec%a7%88-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%c2%b7%eb%8c%80%ec%84%a0-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%ec%97%90-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%b8%8c%eb%9d%bc%ec%a7%88-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%c2%b7%eb%8c%80%ec%84%a0-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%ec%97%90-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94\/","title":{"rendered":"\ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\u00b7\ub300\uc120 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \uc644\ud654 \uc5ec\uac74 \uc545\ud654 \uc18d \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\uc140\ub9ac\ud06c) 14%\ub85c \uc778\ud558"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BCB)\uc740 8\uc6d4 \ucf54\ud3fc(Copom) \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc140\ub9ad(Selic)\uc744 25bp \uc778\ud558\ud574 14.0%\ub85c \uc870\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58\ub85c \uacb0\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub204\uc801 \uc644\ud654 \ud3ed\uc740 100bp\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ub410\uace0, \ub3d9\ubc18 \uc131\uba85\uc740 \ub354 \uc9e7\uc544\uc84c\uc73c\uba70 \uba85\uc2dc\uc801 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub294 \ud53c\ud588\ub2e4. \ub300\uc2e0 \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \uc644\ud654 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc758 \uc804\ubc18\uc801 \uac15\ub3c4(\uce98\ub9ac\ube0c\ub808\uc774\uc158)\uac00 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc720\uc785\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uacb0\uc815\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc62c\ud574 \ub9d0 \uc140\ub9ad\uc744 13.75%\ub85c 25bp \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub780 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud750\ub984\uc758 \uac1c\uc120\uacfc \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \uadfc\uac70\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uadf8 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\ud558 \uc5ec\ub825\uc740 2026\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30(4Q26) \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131, \uc911\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\uc758 \uace0\ucc29\uc801 \ube44(\u975e)\uc575\ucee4\ub9c1, \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uc7ac\uc815 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ub192\uc740 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc81c\uc57d\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. 2027\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc140\ub9ad \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 11.50%\ub85c, \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4(12.0%)\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 10\uc6d4 \uc120\uac70\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uc758 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub294 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4\uc838 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd \ubc0f \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc774\ubc88 \uc140\ub9ad 25bp \uc778\ud558(14.0%) \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \uc644\ud654 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubbf8 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub358 \uc870\uce58\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \ubb34\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \ucd94\uaca9\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4. \ub300\uc2e0 2026\ub144 \ub9d0 \ub9cc\uae30 \uad6c\uac04\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c(DI)\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uad6c\uac04\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc870\ub9cc\uac04 13.75%\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc7a5\uae30 \ub3d9\uacb0(\ud504\ub85c\ub871\ub4dc \ud398\uc774\uc988)\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc758 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubc18\uae30(\uc911\uac04) \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 4.4% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\ucc29\ub3fc \uc788\uc5b4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 4\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc7ac\ucc28 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub294 \uadf9\ud788 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc7a5\uae30 \uad6c\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac\uc2a4\uc651\uc5d0\uc11c \ud398\uc774\uc5b4(payer) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ucde8\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud658\uc728 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uc120\uac70 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c<\/h3>\n<p>\ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8 \ud5e4\uc54c\ud654\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 5.60 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc7ac\uc815 \uac74\uc804\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\uad6c\uc2ec\uacfc 10\uc6d4 \uc120\uac70\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \ud070 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc758 \uc120\uac70 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ud0a4\uc6cc \uc654\uace0, \uc120\uac70 \uc804 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \ud5e4\uc54c\ud654\uac00 5% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc808\ud558\ub418\ub294 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \ube48\ubc88\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 USD\/BRL \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc758 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\uadf9\ud558\uba70 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ube44(\u975e)\uc575\ucee4\ub9c1 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548\uc740 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle)\ub85c BRL\uc744 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc811\uadfc\uc740 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \uacb0\uacfc\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubd88\uc548 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud574 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ud574\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc608\uc0c1\ub300\ub85c \ub0b4\ub838\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub354 \ub0b4\ub9ac\uae34 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4.\u201d \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8 BCB, \uc140\ub9ad 25bp \uc778\ud558\ub85c 14.0%. \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\ud558 \uc81c\ud55c\u00b7\uc120\uac70 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc0c1\ubc29. DI 26\ub144\ubb3c \uc9d1\uc911, \uc7a5\uae30 \uc2a4\uc651 \ud398\uc774\uc5b4\u00b7USD\/BRL \ucf5c\u00b7\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \uad8c\uace0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50297,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52566","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uc608\uc0c1\ub300\ub85c \ub0b4\ub838\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub354 \ub0b4\ub9ac\uae34 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4.\u201d \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8 BCB, \uc140\ub9ad 25bp \uc778\ud558\ub85c 14.0%. \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\ud558 \uc81c\ud55c\u00b7\uc120\uac70 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc0c1\ubc29. 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DI 26\ub144\ubb3c \uc9d1\uc911, \uc7a5\uae30 \uc2a4\uc651 \ud398\uc774\uc5b4\u00b7USD\/BRL \ucf5c\u00b7\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \uad8c\uace0.\" \/>\n\t\t<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"aioseo-schema\">\n\t\t\t{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"BlogPosting\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.vtmarkets.com\\\/kr-asia\\\/live-updates\\\/%eb%b8%8c%eb%9d%bc%ec%a7%88-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%c2%b7%eb%8c%80%ec%84%a0-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%ec%97%90-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94\\\/#blogposting\",\"name\":\"\\ube0c\\ub77c\\uc9c8 \\uc911\\uc559\\uc740\\ud589, \\uc778\\ud50c\\ub808\\uc774\\uc158\\u00b7\\ub300\\uc120 \\ub9ac\\uc2a4\\ud06c\\uc5d0 \\uc644\\ud654 \\uc5ec\\uac74 \\uc545\\ud654 \\uc18d \\uae30\\uc900\\uae08\\ub9ac(\\uc140\\ub9ac\\ud06c) 14%\\ub85c \\uc778\\ud558 - VT Markets\",\"headline\":\"\\ube0c\\ub77c\\uc9c8 \\uc911\\uc559\\uc740\\ud589, 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