{"id":52502,"date":"2026-08-05T08:28:26","date_gmt":"2026-08-05T08:28:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98%ec%9e%90%ec%82%b0-%eb%9e%a0%eb%a6%ac%ec%97%90-%eb%af%b8-%ec%a6%9d%ec%8b%9c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80\/"},"modified":"2026-08-05T08:28:26","modified_gmt":"2026-08-05T08:28:26","slug":"%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98%ec%9e%90%ec%82%b0-%eb%9e%a0%eb%a6%ac%ec%97%90-%eb%af%b8-%ec%a6%9d%ec%8b%9c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98%ec%9e%90%ec%82%b0-%eb%9e%a0%eb%a6%ac%ec%97%90-%eb%af%b8-%ec%a6%9d%ec%8b%9c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ubbf8 \uc99d\uc2dc \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d, \ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9\u00b7ISM\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc120"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc911\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc678\uad50\uc801 \ud574\ube59 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc800\uc6b8\uc9c8\ud558\uba70 \u2018\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc628\u2019 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d 7\uc6d4 \ubbfc\uac04\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac08 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6d0\uc720\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ud65c\ub3d9 \uc7ac\uac1c \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \ud3ec\ucc29\ub410\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\ub3c4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. WTI\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uac70\uc758 6% \uae09\ub77d\ud55c \ub370 \uc774\uc5b4 \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 74\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815\ub410\uace0, \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \ud569\uc758(\ub51c) \uad00\uce21 \uc18d\uc5d0 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 80\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc740 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uc7ac\ucc28 \uacbd\uc2e0\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218(DJIA)\uc640 S&#038;P 500\uc740 \uc885\uac00 \uae30\uc900 \uc2e0\uae30\ub85d\uc744 \uc138\uc6e0\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4\ub294 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 100.00 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\uace0, \uc720\ub7fd \uac70\ub798\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 \ubbf8 \uc99d\uc2dc \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 0.3%~0.5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uae08\uc740 2% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc62c\ub77c \uc57d 4,170\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc6b0\uc138\ud588\ub2e4. \uce94\uc790\uc2a4\uc2dc\ud2f0 \uc5f0\uc740 \ucd1d\uc7ac \uc81c\ud504 \uc288\ubbf8\ub4dc(Jeff Schmid)\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 FXS \uc2a4\ud53c\uce58\ud2b8\ub798\ucee4 \uae30\uc900 7.3\/10\uc73c\ub85c, \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \ud3c9\uade0(7\/10)\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\uba70 PCE(\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c) \ubb3c\uac00 \uae30\ubc18 2% \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4. \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc740 158.00 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uace0, \uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc57d 0.2% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc720\ub85cstat\uc758 6\uc6d4 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(PPI) \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 1.1530 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\/\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 1.3450 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 1\ubd84\uae30 5.4%\uc5d0\uc11c 5.6%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574(\uc608\uc0c1 5.4%) \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud588\uace0, \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD\/USD)\ub294 \uc57d 0.5% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 0.5870 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \ubc0f \uadc0\uae08\uc18d \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \ud611\uc0c1\uc774 \uc9c4\uc804\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc6d0\uc720 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uac00 80\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uace0 WTI\uac00 74\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \ub2e8\uae30 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc740 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc57d\ud654\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \ud575\uc2ec \ud574\uc0c1 \ubb3c\ub958\ub85c(Shipping lane)\uac00 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c \uc624\ub978 \ud3ed\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c 10%~15% \ub354 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub840\ub3c4 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900 \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 AI(\uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5)\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \u2018\ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ub354 \uc624\ub79c \uc720\uc9c0\u2019\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud558\ub294 \uc640\uc911\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uae08\uc774 4,170\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \uac83\uc740 \uae30\ucd08 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uac15\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub192\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\uc6a9(\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4) \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\ub825\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08 \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread) \ud65c\uc6a9\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \uae30\uc220 \uc804\ud658\uacfc \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790(CapEx) \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\uc774 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub2a5\ud574 \uc628 \uacfc\uac70 \ud750\ub984\uacfc\ub3c4 \ubd80\ud569\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc8fc\uc2dd \ubc0f \ud1b5\ud654 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>S&#038;P 500\uacfc \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \ub610\ub2e4\uc2dc \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uacbd\uc2e0\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc8fc\uc2dd \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ub0ae\uc740 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc6a9 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uace0\uc810 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\uac00 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc744 \ub54c\ub294 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ud558\ubc29 \ubcf4\ud638 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uace7 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\uc640 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ubabb \ubbf8\uce60 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ucc28\uc775\uc2e4\ud604\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \uc911\uc694\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud1b5\ud654 \uc635\uc158 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc20f)\ud560 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 5.6%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uac83\uc740 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc57d\ud654\ub97c \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\uba70, \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc640 \ub300\ube44\ub41c\ub2e4. NZD\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ube60\ub978 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ud655\ub300\ub418\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ub514\ubc84\uc804\uc2a4(\uad34\ub9ac)\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc911\ub3d9 \ud574\ube59 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \u2018\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc628\u2019\u2026\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9\u00b7ISM \ub300\uae30. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uc7ac\uac1c \uc870\uc9d0\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub77d, \uae08\uc740 4170\ub2ec\ub7ec \uae09\ub4f1. \u7f8e\uc99d\uc2dc \ucd5c\uace0\uce58 \uc7ac\uacbd\uc2e0, \ub9e4\ud30c \uc5f0\uc900 \uc18d \uc635\uc158\uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50216,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52502","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc911\ub3d9 \ud574\ube59 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \u2018\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc628\u2019\u2026\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9\u00b7ISM \ub300\uae30. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uc7ac\uac1c \uc870\uc9d0\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub77d, \uae08\uc740 4170\ub2ec\ub7ec \uae09\ub4f1. \u7f8e\uc99d\uc2dc \ucd5c\uace0\uce58 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