{"id":52470,"date":"2026-08-04T17:28:23","date_gmt":"2026-08-04T17:28:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ed%95%84%eb%9d%bc%eb%8d%b8%ed%94%bc%ec%95%84-%ec%97%b0%ec%9d%80%ec%9d%98-%ed%8f%b4%ec%8a%a8-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%97%ac%ec%a0%84%ed%9e%88-%eb%86%92%ec%95%84\/"},"modified":"2026-08-04T17:28:23","modified_gmt":"2026-08-04T17:28:23","slug":"%ed%95%84%eb%9d%bc%eb%8d%b8%ed%94%bc%ec%95%84-%ec%97%b0%ec%9d%80%ec%9d%98-%ed%8f%b4%ec%8a%a8-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%97%ac%ec%a0%84%ed%9e%88-%eb%86%92%ec%95%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%95%84%eb%9d%bc%eb%8d%b8%ed%94%bc%ec%95%84-%ec%97%b0%ec%9d%80%ec%9d%98-%ed%8f%b4%ec%8a%a8-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%97%ac%ec%a0%84%ed%9e%88-%eb%86%92%ec%95%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud544\ub77c\ub378\ud53c\uc544 \uc5f0\uc740\uc758 \ud3f4\uc2a8 \u201c\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc544\u2026\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc740 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\uc870 \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ud544\ub77c\ub378\ud53c\uc544 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc740\ud589(\uc5f0\uc740) \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc778 \uc548\ub098 \ud3f4\uc2a8\uc740 \ud654\uc694\uc77c CNBC\uc5d0 \ucd9c\uc5f0\ud574 \uae30\uc870(\uadfc\uc6d0) \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc9c0\ub098\uce58\uac8c \ub192\ub2e4\uba70 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc740 \u2018\uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uae34\ucd95(mildly restrictive)\u2019 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud558\uace0, \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \uadf8 \uc124\uba85\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \ub370 \uc804\ub150\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uba74\uc11c, \ud604 \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \uad6d\uba74\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ud3f4\uc2a8\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud55c \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \u201c\uc544\uc2ac\uc544\uc2ac\ud55c \ud310\ub2e8\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\uc5c8\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uace0, \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\uac00 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.  <\/p>\n<p>\uadf8\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc801\uc808\ud558\uac8c \uc124\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\uba74 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc644\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc774 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uba74 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub048\uc801\ud55c(sticky) \uace0\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a4\uac8c \ub420 \uac83\uc774\uba70 \uc9c4\uc804\uc774 \uba48\ucd9c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub300\uc751\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \ud3f4\uc2a8\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \u201c\uc548\uc815\uc801\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc9c4\ub2e8\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc640 \uad00\ub828\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uba70, \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc774\ub97c \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubb34\uc2dc(look through)\u2019\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uace0, \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud1b5\uacfc\ud574 \ubc14\ub77c\ubcf4\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc801\uc808\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4. \uc544\uc6b8\ub7ec \uadf8\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc5f4\ub9b0 \uc790\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc5c5\ubb34 \uc218\ud589 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc0c8\ub86d\uac8c \uc7ac\uc810\uac80\ud558\ub294 \uac83 \ub610\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc774 \u2018\uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uae34\ucd95\u2019 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uace0 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub3d9\uacb0\ub41c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uacb0 \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \u2018\ubc15\ube59\u2019\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\uc5c8\ub358 \ub9cc\ud07c SOFR \ub4f1 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc881\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uace0\uc815\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\ub974(iron condors) \ub4f1 \ub808\uc778\uc9c0 \uc7a5\uc138\ud615 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc62c\ud574 \uc0c1\ubc18\uae30 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 2.8~3% \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uba38\ubb38 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc11c\ub458\ub7ec \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uae34\ucd95 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \ub54c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba70 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \u2018\ub048\uc801\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\u2019 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc7ac\ucc28 \ud655\uc778\ub418\ub294\uc9c0 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc810\uac80\ud558\ub418, \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4)\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc778\uc815\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uac01\ubcc4\ud55c \uc8fc\uc758\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uc640 \ucc9c\uc5f0\uac00\uc2a4\ub294 \ub450 \uc790\ub9bf\uc218 \ub4f1\ub77d\uc774 \ube48\ubc88\ud588\ub358 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb34\uc81c\ud55c \uc190\uc2e4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc788\ub294 \ub124\uc774\ud0a4\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\uac00 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4(defined-risk) \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ub808\uc778\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub418, \uacf5\uae09 \uce21 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uae09\ubcc0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub178\ucd9c\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \u2018\ub048\uc801\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\u2019\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uac15\uacbd \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud55c, \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120\uc740 \ud3c9\ud0c4(\ud50c\ub7ab)\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc7a5\uae30\uac04\uc758 \uc548\uc815\uc801 \uae34\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uace0\uc815\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uae30\uac04\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(term premium)\uc774 \uc555\ucd95\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ucc44\uad8c \ud30c\uc0dd \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc758\uc9c0\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud574 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120 \ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub2dd(\uc7a5\ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \ucd95\uc18c) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \ubc15\ube59 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4\u201d \ud3f4\uc2a8, \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc544 \u2018\uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uae34\ucd95\u2019 \uc720\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc0ac. \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \ub09c\ud56d. \uae08\ub9ac \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub294 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc81c\ud55c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc. \uad6d\ucc44\ub294 \ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub2dd \uc720\ub825.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50190,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52470","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \ubc15\ube59 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4\u201d \ud3f4\uc2a8, \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc544 \u2018\uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uae34\ucd95\u2019 \uc720\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc0ac. \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \ub09c\ud56d. \uae08\ub9ac \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub294 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc81c\ud55c 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