{"id":52457,"date":"2026-08-04T09:31:30","date_gmt":"2026-08-04T09:31:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98\/"},"modified":"2026-08-04T09:31:30","modified_gmt":"2026-08-04T09:31:30","slug":"%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694 \ubc1b\uce58\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4 100\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc \ud6a1\ubcf4"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c 100.00\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \uc774\ud2c0 \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc790\uc2e0\uc758 \uc81c\uc548\uc744 \u201c\uc678\uad50\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uae30\ud68c\u201d\ub77c\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub410\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uad70\uc0ac \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \ucca0\ud68c\ud55c \ub4a4, \uc774\ub780\uc758 \ud575 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc81c\uae30\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \uc548\uc804 \ud655\ubcf4\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \ud611\uc0c1\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \uce21 \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc740 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc870\uac74\uc744 \uac70\ubd80\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ubaa8\ud750\uc13c \ub808\uc790\uc5d0\uc774 \uc7a5\uad70\uc740 \ucd94\uac00 \ud56d\ub85c\ub97c \uac15\uc81c\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc678\uad6d \uc138\ub825\uc740 \ud45c\uc801\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub610\ud55c 7\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc18c\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 9\uc6d4 FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c 25bp(0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 65%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac \uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4\ub294 FXS \uc2a4\ud53c\uce58\ud2b8\ub798\ucee4 \uc810\uc218 6\/10\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud574 \uacfc\uac70 \ud3c9\uade0(5.8\/10)\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 2% \ubb3c\uac00\ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4. FXS \uc5f0\uc900 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc218(Fed Sentiment Index)\ub294 1.47\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 146.76\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc911\ub9bd \uc218\uc900\uc778 100\uc744 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc555\ub3c4\uc801 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 2022\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uac70\ub798\ub300\uae08\uc758 88% \uc774\uc0c1(\ud558\ub8e8 \uc57d 6.6\uc870 \ub2ec\ub7ec)\uc744 \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc591\uc801\uc644\ud654(QE)\uc640 \uc591\uc801\uae34\ucd95(QT)\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc218\uae09 \ubc0f \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc18d FX\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc120\uc778 100.00 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 100\uc120\uc740 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ud53c\ubc97 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574 \uc654\uace0, \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub294 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub871 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc744 \ub9c8\ub828\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ub300\uce58\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcd1\ubaa9\uc9c0\uc810\uc744 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\ud611\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc561\uccb4 \uc11d\uc720 \uc18c\ube44\ub7c9\uc758 \uc57d 20%\uac00 \ub9e4\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \ub610\ub294 WTI \uc6d0\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \uc9c0\ub3c4\ubd80\uac00 \uc678\uad6d \uc120\ubc15\uc744 \ud45c\uc801\ud654\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc704\ud611\uc744 \uc2e4\ud589\uc5d0 \uc62e\uae38 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc6d0\uc720 \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c \ubc0f \uc8fc\uc2dd \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uac00 9\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 65%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 2% \ubb3c\uac00\ubaa9\ud45c \ub2ec\uc131\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \u201c\ub354 \ub192\uac8c, \ub354 \uc624\ub798(Higher for Longer)\u201d \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \uc790\uc2e0\uac10\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud574, \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 FXS \uc5f0\uc900 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 146.76\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\ub9bd\uc120 100\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc55e\uc120 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \uae08\uc735\uc5ec\uac74\uc744 \uc77c\uc815 \ubd80\ubd84 \uc644\ucda9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2a6\uc5ec\ub984 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc870\uc815 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud655\ub300\ub97c \uac04\uacfc\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uc548 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\uac00 \uc870\uc6a9\ud55c \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc555\ucd95\ub3fc \uc788\uc744 \ub54c, \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ucda9\uaca9\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc704\ud5d8\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 30% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc694 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9 \ub300\ube44 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc778 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4 DXY 100\uc120 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc18d \uc774\ud2c0\uc9f8 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2014\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \u2018\uc774\ub780 \ucd5c\ud6c4 \uc678\uad50\u2019 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc7ac\uc810\ud654. 9\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 65% \ubc18\uc601, \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uc6d0\uc720\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694 \ud655\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52457","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4 DXY 100\uc120 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc18d \uc774\ud2c0\uc9f8 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2014\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \u2018\uc774\ub780 \ucd5c\ud6c4 \uc678\uad50\u2019 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc7ac\uc810\ud654. 9\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 65% \ubc18\uc601, \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uc6d0\uc720\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694 \ud655\ub300.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" 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100\uc120 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc18d \uc774\ud2c0\uc9f8 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2014\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \u2018\uc774\ub780 \ucd5c\ud6c4 \uc678\uad50\u2019 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc7ac\uc810\ud654. 9\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 65% \ubc18\uc601, \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uc6d0\uc720\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694 \ud655\ub300.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-08-04T09:31:30+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-08-04T09:31:30+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694 \ubc1b\uce58\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4 100\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc \ud6a1\ubcf4 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4 DXY 100\uc120 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc18d \uc774\ud2c0\uc9f8 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2014\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \u2018\uc774\ub780 \ucd5c\ud6c4 \uc678\uad50\u2019 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc7ac\uc810\ud654. 9\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 65% \ubc18\uc601, \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uc6d0\uc720\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694 \ud655\ub300.\" \/>\n\t\t<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" 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