{"id":52441,"date":"2026-08-04T05:29:08","date_gmt":"2026-08-04T05:29:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%b9%84%eb%86%8d%ec%97%85-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-08-04T05:29:08","modified_gmt":"2026-08-04T05:29:08","slug":"%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%b9%84%eb%86%8d%ec%97%85-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%b9%84%eb%86%8d%ec%97%85-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%eb%b0%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 EUR\/USD 1.1500\uc120 \ud558\ub77d\u2026\uc635\uc158\uc2dc\uc7a5, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ub3cc\ud30c \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c 1.1500 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780 \uac04 \uc678\uad50\uc801 \uae30\ub300\ub3c4 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uaebe\uc774\uc9c4 \uc54a\uc740 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \u2018\ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\u2019 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubc30\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uacf5\uaca9\uc744 \ucde8\uc18c\ud55c \ub4a4 \ucd5c\uadfc\uc758 \ub300\ud654 \uc81c\uc548\uc744 \u201c\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uae30\ud68c\u201d\ub77c\uace0 \ud45c\ud604\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud611\uc758 \uc758\uc81c\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c\ubc29\uacfc \uc774\ub780 \ud575 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8 \uad00\ub828 \uc6b0\ub824 \ud574\uc18c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \ucd5c\uace0\uc9c0\ub3c4\uc790 \uace0\ubb38 \ubaa8\ud750\uc13c \ub808\uc790\uc5d0\uc774\ub294 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc870\uac74\uc744 \uac70\ubd80\ud558\uba70 \uc774\ub780\uc740 \ub450 \ubc88\uc9f8 \ud1b5\ub85c\ub97c \ud5c8\uc6a9\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc774\uace0, \uc678\uad6d \uad70\ud568\uc774\ub098 \ubcd1\ub825\uc740 \ud45c\uc801\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4.  <\/p>\n\n<p>\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc Fed \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5f0 6\ud68c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uacb0\uc815 \ud68c\uc758\uc640 \ub354\ubd88\uc5b4 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uc815\ucc45 \ub17c\uc758\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \ucd94\uac00 2\ud68c\uc758 \uc138\uc158\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc6b4\uc601\uc0c1\uc758 \ubcc0\uacbd\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0 \uc911\uc778 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d 7\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc838 \uc788\ub2e4. \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc790\uc218(Nonfarm Payrolls)\ub294 5\ub9cc7000\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c 8\ub9cc3000\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub298 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 6\uc6d4 4.2%\uc5d0\uc11c 4.3%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \ubbf8-\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758 \uae30\ub300 \uc18d\uc5d0 \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uba38\ub2c8\ub9c8\ucf13\uc740 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub2e4\uc18c \ub0ae\ucdc4\uace0, \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4. TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc758 CTA \ud2b8\ub798\ucee4\ub294 \u2018big downtape\u2019, \u2018downtape\u2019, \u2018flat tape\u2019 \uad6d\uba74\ubcc4\ub85c \u2018CTA \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \ucd94\uc815\uce58(EUR)\u2019\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud574 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c(\uc790\ub3d9) \uae30\ubc18 \uc720\ub85c \uc120\ubb3c \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \uac00\ub2a0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubc0f \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc811\uadfc<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2e8\uae30 EUR\/USD \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc784\ubc15\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300(\ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc774 1.1500\uc744 \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\uc751\ucd95\u2019\ub41c \ub370\ub2e4 \uc8fc\uac04 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec, \uc635\uc158\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud3ed\uc744 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc778 8\ub9cc3000\uac74 \ub300\ube44 \uace0\uc6a9\uc790\uc218 \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 3\ub9cc\uba85\ub9cc \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\ub3c4 \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 \uccab 1\uc2dc\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \ud3c9\uade0 70\ud54d(pip) \uc218\uc900\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ucde8\uc57d\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ubcf4\uc720\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uace0\uc870\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc7ac\ucc28 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c EUR\/USD\uac00 1.1350 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc678\uad50\uc801 \ub178\ub825\uc774 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ub0b8\ub2e4\uba74 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 70\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\uace0, \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc778 1.1620\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud0c4\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c \ub9e4\ub9e4 \ud750\ub984 \ubc0f \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28(\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc) \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc<\/h3>\n\n<p>CTA(\uc0c1\ud488\uac70\ub798\uc790\ubb38\uc5c5\uc790)\ub4e4\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc911\ub9bd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc20f(\ub9e4\ub3c4) \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c \uc790\uae08 \ud750\ub984 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc810\uac80\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ucd94\uc801 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 1.1480 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ud0c8\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, CTA \u2018downtape\u2019 \ubaa8\ub378\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc790\ub3d9 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00 \ucd09\ubc1c\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc801 \ud589\ud0dc\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc120\ubb3c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ud574\ub2f9 \uad6c\uac04 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc2a4\ud1b1-\uc5d4\ud2b8\ub9ac(stop-entry) \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc8fc\ubb38\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac Fed fund \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uc778 4.3%\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 65%\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uba38\ub2c8\ub9c8\ucf13\uc740 9\uc6d4 ECB \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 80%\ub300 \ud6c4\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud574 \uc900\ub2e4\uba74, \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread)\ub85c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ub2e4\uc774\ubc84\uc804\uc2a4(\uad34\ub9ac)\ub97c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\ub300\ube44\uc218\uc775\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u2018\uc911\ub3d9 \ubcc0\uc218+\uace0\uc6a9 \uc1fc\ud06c\u2019\uc5d0 EUR\/USD 1.1500 \ud754\ub4e4\u2026\uc720\uac00\u00b7Fed \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc18d 3\uc77c\uc9f8 \uc57d\uc138. \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8 \ucf5c \ud5e4\uc9c0, 1.1480 \uc774\ud0c8\uc2dc CTA \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uacbd\uacc4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50116,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52441","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u2018\uc911\ub3d9 \ubcc0\uc218+\uace0\uc6a9 \uc1fc\ud06c\u2019\uc5d0 EUR\/USD 1.1500 \ud754\ub4e4\u2026\uc720\uac00\u00b7Fed \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc18d 3\uc77c\uc9f8 \uc57d\uc138. \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8 \ucf5c \ud5e4\uc9c0, 1.1480 \uc774\ud0c8\uc2dc CTA \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uacbd\uacc4.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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