{"id":52329,"date":"2026-08-02T22:59:06","date_gmt":"2026-08-02T22:59:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/cot-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%9c%eb%a7%a4%ec%88%98-%ec%82%ac%ec%83%81-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%a1%9d%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-08-02T22:59:06","modified_gmt":"2026-08-02T22:59:06","slug":"cot-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%9c%eb%a7%a4%ec%88%98-%ec%82%ac%ec%83%81-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%a1%9d%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/cot-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%9c%eb%a7%a4%ec%88%98-%ec%82%ac%ec%83%81-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%a1%9d%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"COT \ub370\uc774\ud130, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58 \uae30\ub85d\u2026\uc720\ub85c \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ud658\u00b7\uc6d0\uc720 \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\ubc00 \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uacfc\ubc00"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ucd5c\uc2e0 COT(Commitments of Traders, \uac70\ub798\uc790 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 True \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub300\ud615 \ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825(large speculators)\uc740 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc801 \ud5e4\uc800(commercials)\ub294 555\uac1c \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uc758 \uadf9\ub2e8\uac12\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc870\ud569\uc740 10\ub144 \ub118\uac8c \uad00\uce21\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub358 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub300\ud615 \ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825\uacfc \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc801 \ud5e4\uc800 \ubaa8\ub450 334\uac1c \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uc758 \uac15\uc138(\ub9e4\uc218) \uadf9\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 6\ub144\uc774 \ub118\ub294 \uc8fc\uac04 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud3ec\uad04\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uac00 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \ub192\uc740 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ub450 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 \uc11c\ub85c \uc5f0\uacb0\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub978 \ud55c\ud3b8\uc73c\ub85c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc139\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30 \uadf9\ub2e8\uac12\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ub354 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uc640 WTI\ub294 \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc8fc\uac04 COT \uc57d\uc138 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uae30\ub85d\ub41c \ubc18\uba74, \uac1c\uc778(\uc18c\ud615) \ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825(small speculators)\uc740 \ub450 \uacc4\uc57d \ubaa8\ub450\uc5d0\uc11c \ub099\uad00\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucc9c\uc5f0\uac00\uc2a4\ub294 \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba70 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uac15\uc138 \ubcc0\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub294\ub370, 1995\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac70\uc2ac\ub7ec \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c 5\ub144 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uac15\uc138 \uadf9\ub2e8 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub18d\uc0b0\ubb3c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uce94\uc790\uc2a4\uc2dc\ud2f0 \ubc00(Kansas City wheat)\uc774 \ub300\ud615 \ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825 \uae30\uc900 156\uac1c \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc758 \uc57d\uc138 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc57d 3\ub144\uc5d0 \uac78\uce5c \ub204\uc801 \uacb0\uacfc\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uaca9 \ucd94\uc138\uc640 \uc548\uc815\ud654 \uc5ec\ubd80\uac00, \ud574\ub2f9 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \uace0\ucc29\ud654\ub41c \uac83\uc778\uc9c0 \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \uacfc\ubc00(crowded) \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c \uc9c4\uc785\ud558\ub294\uc9c0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc804\ub840 \uc5c6\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uacfc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ucde8\uc57d\uc131<\/h3>\n<p>2026\ub144 8\uc6d4\ub85c \ud5a5\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ud1b5\ud654\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc804\ub840 \uc5c6\ub294 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. True \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\ud615 \ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\uace0, \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc801 \ud5e4\uc800\ub294 555\uac1c \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uc758 \uadf9\ub2e8\uac12\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc218 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\uc9c4(exhausted)\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ucde8\uc57d\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uadf9\ub2e8 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\uac00 101~102\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc778 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc555\ubc15\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc 10\ub144 \ub2e8\uc704\uc758 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\uc744 \ub54c\ub294 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \ucd94\uc138 \ubc18\uc804\uc774 \ub4a4\ub530\ub974\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub0b4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub77d \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub871(\ub9e4\uc218) \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd95\uc18c\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825\uacfc \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc801 \ud5e4\uc800 \ubaa8\ub450 334\uac1c \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uc758 \uac15\uc138 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 6\ub144\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc758 \uac15\uc138 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \uc14b\uc5c5\uc73c\ub85c, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 ECB \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\uc778 2% \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815\ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uacfc\ub3c4 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 DXY\uc758 57.6%\ub97c \uad6c\uc131\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ucd94\uaca9\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc870\uc815 \uc2dc EUR\/USD \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\ub18d\uc0b0\ubb3c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \uc2e0\ud638<\/h3>\n<p>\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \u0442\u0440\u0435\u0439\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \ubb34\uc2dc\ud574\uc120 \uc548 \ub420 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uc640 WTI\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc57d\uc138 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc138\uacc4 \uc218\uc694 \uc804\ub9dd \ub454\ud654\ub85c \uae30\uc900 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 75\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc9c0\ud0a4\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uacfc \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ucc9c\uc5f0\uac00\uc2a4\ub294 \uc218\uc2ed \ub144 \uc804 \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c \ubaa9\uaca9\ub41c \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uadf9\ub2e8 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uac74\uc124\uc801\uc778 \uac15\uc138 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \uad6c\ucd95 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ud558\ub098\uc758 \ube14\ub85d\uc73c\ub85c \ucde8\uae09\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4, \uc139\ud130 \ub0b4\ubd80\uc758 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uad34\ub9ac\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc57d\uc138 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub41c\ub2e4\uba74 \uc720\uac00 \ub7a0\ub9ac(\ubc18\ub4f1) \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc1fc\ud2b8) \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc804\ud658\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud574 \uc8fc\ub294 \uc989\uc2dc \ucc9c\uc5f0\uac00\uc2a4 \ub871 \uc9c4\uc785\uc744 \uc900\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uac1c\uc778(\uc18c\ud615) \ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825\uc774 \uc6d0\uc720\uc5d0 \ud06c\uac8c \ub871\uc73c\ub85c \uc3e0\ub824 \uc788\uc5b4 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc2a4\ud034\uc988\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud55c \uc190\uc808(\uc2a4\ud1b1\ub85c\uc2a4) \uc124\uc815\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c \uce94\uc790\uc2a4\uc2dc\ud2f0 \ubc00\uc740 156\uac1c \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uc758 \ud22c\uae30\uc801 \uc57d\uc138 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud574 \uc1fc\ud2b8 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \uadf9\ub3c4\ub85c \uacfc\ubc00\ud574\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4. 3\ub144\uc5d0 \uac78\uce5c \uadf9\ub2e8\uac12\uc740 \ub18d\uc0b0\ubb3c \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uac15\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc870\ub9cc\uac04 \uc18c\uc9c4\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uac00\uaca9 \uc548\uc815\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294\uc9c0 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uad00\ucc30\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc20f\ucee4\ubc84\ub9c1 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uac00 \ucd09\ubc1c\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub871 \uacfc\uc5f4, \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uc784\ubc15?\u201d COT\uc11c \ub300\ud615 \ud22c\uae30 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0ac\uc0c1\ucd5c\uace0\u00b7\uc0c1\uc5c5 \uadf9\ub2e8, \uc720\ub85c\ub3c4 \uac15\uc138 \uadf9\ub2e8. \uc6d0\uc720 \uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ud658\u00b7\uac00\uc2a4 \uac15\uc138, KC\ubc00 \uc20f \uacfc\ubc00\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50109,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52329","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub871 \uacfc\uc5f4, \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uc784\ubc15?\u201d COT\uc11c \ub300\ud615 \ud22c\uae30 \ub2ec\ub7ec 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