{"id":52297,"date":"2026-07-31T20:28:26","date_gmt":"2026-07-31T20:28:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8ecb-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85\/"},"modified":"2026-07-31T20:28:26","modified_gmt":"2026-07-31T20:28:26","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8ecb-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8ecb-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0 \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \uac15\uc138\u2026ECB \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\ub300 \uc18d \u7f8e \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ub300\uae30"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD\ub294 7\uc6d4\uc744 1.1500\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uc8fc\uc5d0 1.1% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \uc7a5\uc911 1.1530\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4\uac00 \uc7a5\uc744 \ub9c8\ucce4\ub2e4. \uc8fc\ucd08\uc5d0\ub294 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uac08\ub4f1 \uaca9\ud654\uc640 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\uc548 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654(\ud574\ud611\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud3d0\uc1c4\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc9d0)\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298\uc5c8\uc73c\ub098, \uacf5\uc2b5 \uc911\ub2e8\uacfc \ub300\ud654 \uc7ac\uac1c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131(\u2018\ub300\ud654\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \ub300\ud654\u2019)\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub418\uba70 \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc9c4\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub2e4\uc12f \ubc88\uc9f8 \ud68c\uc758 \uc5f0\uc18d \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud55c \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc5f0\uc740 \ucd1d\uc7ac 3\uba85\uc758 \ubc18\ub300\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uac00 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 65%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 FOMC \uacb0\uc815 1\uc8fc\uc77c \uc804(55%)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uc218\uce58\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uac70\uc2dc\uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \ud658\uc728 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 2\ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960(\uc18d\ubcf4\uce58)\uc740 \uc804\uae30 \uc5f0\uc728 2.1%\uc5d0\uc11c 1.5%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub41c \ubc18\uba74, GDP \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 3.6%\uc5d0\uc11c 6.3%\ub85c \uac00\uc18d\ud588\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 2\ubd84\uae30\uc640 6\uc6d4 \ubaa8\ub450 3.3%\ub85c, 5\uc6d4 3.4%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc644\ud654\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c(2%)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub3c5\uc77c 2\ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960(\uc5f0\uc728)\uc774 0.4%\uc5d0\uc11c 0.9%\ub85c \uac1c\uc120\ub410\uace0, \uc720\ub85c\uc874\ub3c4 0.3%\uc5d0\uc11c 1%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. 7\uc6d4 HICP\ub294 \ub3c5\uc77c\uc774 2.8%(\uc774\uc804 2.4%)\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc740 2.5%(\uc774\uc804 2.4%)\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 ECB\uc758 9\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 65%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc5d0\ub294 ISM PMI, S&#038;P \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c PMI \ud655\uc815\uce58, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP\u00b7\uc608\uc0c1 9\ub9cc1000\uba85, \uc774\uc804 5\ub9cc7000\uba85) \ub4f1 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.2%\uc5d0\uc11c 4.3%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud30c\uc0dd \uc804\ub7b5: \uc720\ub85c\u00b7\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uac15\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc720\ub85c\uc640 \uc601\uad6d \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30(\ud504\ub7f0\ud2b8\uc5d4\ub4dc) \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 3.50%~3.75%\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2a4\uc640\ud504 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub294 \ucd95\uc18c\ub410\uace0 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uace1\uc120\uc740 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \u2018\uc8fc\uc800\u2019\ub294 EUR\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \ubd88\ub9ac\uc2dc \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub9ac\ubc84\uc124 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ud575\uc2ec \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc778 1.1568 \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc131\uc7a5 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uc720\ub7fd \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud560 \ub54c(\uc720\ub85c\uc874 GDP\uac00 1%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 1.5%\ub85c \ub454\ud654) \uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ud0c4\ub825\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uad34\ub9ac\ub294 \uacfc\uac70 \uc131\uc7a5 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ucd95\uc18c\ub418\ub358 \uad6d\uba74\uc758 \ud328\ud134\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \ub2f9\uc2dc EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc218\uc8fc \ub0b4 \uba87 \ud37c\uc13c\ud2b8\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \u2018\uc5f0\uc900\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 ECB\u2019\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8 \ub300\ube44 \uae30\ub300\uc218\uc775 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc14b\uc5c5\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac: \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub300\uc751<\/h3>\n<p>8\uc6d4 \ucd08\uc5d0\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 4.3%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 EUR\/USD\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uace0\uc6a9 \ubc0f ISM \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub9cc\uc57d \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(9\ub9cc1000\uba85)\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, 200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc778 1.1631\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\ub294 \ube60\ub978 \ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\ubc1c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\uac00 \uc989\uac01 \uc720\uc785\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uacbd\uacc4\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ub178\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3 \ubc30\ub9ac\uc5b4 \uc635\uc158 \ub610\ub294 \ucf5c\ub77c(collar) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc720\ub85c \uac15\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc624\ud504 \uc1fc\ud06c\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uade0\ud615 \uc7a1\ud78c \ud30c\uc0dd \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc720\ub85c \ub354 \uac04\ub2e4?\u201d EUR\/USD 7\uc6d4 1.15\uc120 \ub9c8\uac10, \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd88\uc548 \uc9c4\uc815 \ud6c4 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\uc778\uc0c1 \uc774\uacac \ubd80\uac01. \uc720\ub7fd \uc131\uc7a5\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\uc5d0 ECB 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305\u2191, \uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub860 \ucf5c\u00b7\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub9ac\ubc84\uc124 \uc720\ub9ac.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52297","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uc720\ub85c \ub354 \uac04\ub2e4?\u201d EUR\/USD 7\uc6d4 1.15\uc120 \ub9c8\uac10, \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd88\uc548 \uc9c4\uc815 \ud6c4 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\uc778\uc0c1 \uc774\uacac \ubd80\uac01. \uc720\ub7fd \uc131\uc7a5\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\uc5d0 ECB 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305\u2191, \uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub860 \ucf5c\u00b7\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub9ac\ubc84\uc124 \uc720\ub9ac.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" 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\ub9c8\uac10, \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd88\uc548 \uc9c4\uc815 \ud6c4 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\uc778\uc0c1 \uc774\uacac \ubd80\uac01. \uc720\ub7fd \uc131\uc7a5\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\uc5d0 ECB 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305\u2191, \uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub860 \ucf5c\u00b7\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub9ac\ubc84\uc124 \uc720\ub9ac.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8ecb-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-31T20:28:26+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-31T20:28:26+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0 \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \uac15\uc138\u2026ECB 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