{"id":52239,"date":"2026-07-31T06:28:19","date_gmt":"2026-07-31T06:28:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%c2%b7fed-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%8a%a4%ed%83%a0%ec%8a%a4-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-%ec%9d%b4%ed%8b%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%86%8d-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1-%ec%a0%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-07-31T06:28:19","modified_gmt":"2026-07-31T06:28:19","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%c2%b7fed-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%8a%a4%ed%83%a0%ec%8a%a4-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-%ec%9d%b4%ed%8b%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%86%8d-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1-%ec%a0%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%c2%b7fed-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%8a%a4%ed%83%a0%ec%8a%a4-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-%ec%9d%b4%ed%8b%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%86%8d-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1-%ec%a0%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1\u00b7Fed \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4 \ubca0\ud305\uc5d0 \uc774\ud2c0 \uc5f0\uc18d \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc81c\ud55c\u2026\uae08, 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \ubcf4\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uc740 2\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7a5\uc911 \ud558\ub77d\ubd84\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uae09\ub77d \uc774\ud6c4 6\uc6d4 17\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud55c \uac83\uc774 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uacbd\uae30\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. 2\ubd84\uae30 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP)\uc740 \uc5f0\uc728 1.5% \uc99d\uac00\ub85c, \uc774\uc804(2.1%) \ub300\ube44 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(\ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778)\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.1% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 2020\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uccab \uc6d4\uac04 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 4.1%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.7%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.1% \uc0c1\uc2b9(5\uc6d4 0.3%)\ud588\uace0 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 3.4%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.3%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ubbf8-\uc774\ub780 \ub300\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc720\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad70\uc740 \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \ubcf4\uace0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub780\uc740 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988\ud574\ud611\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc624\ub9cc\uc758 \u201850\ub30050 \uacf5\ub3d9\uad00\ub9ac\u2019 \uc81c\uc548\uc744 \uac70\ubd80\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc544\ub77c\ube44\uc544\ub294 \ubc14\ube0c\uc5d8\ub9cc\ub370\ube0c \ud574\ud611, \ud64d\ud574, \uc544\ub374\ub9cc \ud56d\ub85c \ubcf4\ud638\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uc5f0\ud569 \uad6c\uc131\uc744 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc774 \ucd5c\uc18c \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc774 85%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uae08\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc218 \ubc0f \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\uce58\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA) \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc57d\uc138\uc801(\ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc) \ud6a1\ubcf4 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. MACD\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4(+) \uc601\uc5ed\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc RSI\ub294 50\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc800\ud56d\uc740 4,175\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc774\uc5b4 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud615\uc131\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 200\uc77c SMA(4,490.81\ub2ec\ub7ec)\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud558\ub2e8 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 3,976~4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uad00\uce21\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uae08 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud55c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc7a5\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc758 \uc0ac\uc804 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc218\ub9bd\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uae08\uc774 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc744 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\ud0a4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc778 3,976~4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub300\ub97c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc635\uc158 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 4,175\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\ub294 \ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ub610\ub294 \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4(iron condor) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \ud6a8\uc728\uc744 \ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uc815\u00b7\ud6a1\ubcf4\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc740 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uac15\uc138 \uc7ac\ubd80\uac01\uc774\ub2e4. 2\ubd84\uae30 GDP\uac00 1.5%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 6\uc6d4 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\ub3c4 3.7%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub294 \uc0c1\uc874\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 85%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub418\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ubb36\uc5b4\ub450\uace0 \uae08\uc758 \u2018\ubb34\uc774\uc790 \ub9e4\ub825\u2019\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559, \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ud750\ub984, \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac<\/h3>\n<p>\uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\ub3c4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc640 \uadc0\uae08\uc18d \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \ub192\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988\ud574\ud611\uacfc \ud64d\ud574\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub410\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc7ac\ucc28 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub300\uce58 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc7a6\uc558\ub358 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740\u7a81\ubc1c\uc801 \ub9c8\uc9c4\ucf5c\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \ubcf4\uc218\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6b4\uc6a9\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uae08\uc774 200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(4,490.81\ub2ec\ub7ec) \uc704\ub85c \ubcf5\uadc0\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \uc810\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud55c \uc57d\uc138(\ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc) \ubc30\uacbd\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. RSI \ub4f1 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 50\uc120\uc744 \ud558\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc2dc\ub3c4\ub294 \uac15\ud55c \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc20f(\ub9e4\ub3c4) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc190\uc808\ub9e4(\uc2a4\ud1b1\ub85c\uc2a4)\ub97c 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc5d0 \ub450\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud558\uba70, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uacac\uc870\ud55c 3,976\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc800\uac00 \ub9e4\uc218(\ub525 \ubc14\uc789) \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubcd1\ud589\ud574 \uc900\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08, \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0\ub3c4 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubcbd \ubabb \ub118\uace0 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc11c \uc57d\uc138. \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1\u00b7\uc5f0\ub0b4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 85%\uac00 \ubd80\ub2f4, \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc0c1\uc874. 3,976~4,000 \uc9c0\uc9c0\u00b74,175\/4,200 \uc800\ud56d \uc8fc\uc2dc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50257,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52239","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - 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