{"id":52175,"date":"2026-07-30T11:59:19","date_gmt":"2026-07-30T11:59:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%8b%a4%ec%a0%81-%ed%98%b8%ec%a1%b0%ec%99%80-%ec%9e%90%ec%82%ac%ec%a3%bc-%eb%a7%a4%ec%9e%85%ec%9d%b4-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%c2%b7%ec%a7%80\/"},"modified":"2026-07-30T11:59:19","modified_gmt":"2026-07-30T11:59:19","slug":"%ec%8b%a4%ec%a0%81-%ed%98%b8%ec%a1%b0%ec%99%80-%ec%9e%90%ec%82%ac%ec%a3%bc-%eb%a7%a4%ec%9e%85%ec%9d%b4-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%c2%b7%ec%a7%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%8b%a4%ec%a0%81-%ed%98%b8%ec%a1%b0%ec%99%80-%ec%9e%90%ec%82%ac%ec%a3%bc-%eb%a7%a4%ec%9e%85%ec%9d%b4-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%c2%b7%ec%a7%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc2e4\uc801 \ud638\uc870\uc640 \uc790\uc0ac\uc8fc \ub9e4\uc785\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc8fc\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uae09\ub4f1\u00b7\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\uba70 \uc720\ub7fd \uc99d\uc2dc \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc720\ub7fd \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc73c\uba70, EU \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc2e4\uc801 \ud638\uc870\uc640 \ub2e4\uc218 \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc774\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac(\uc218\uc775\ub960) \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\uba74\uc11c 0.2~1.3% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ub97c 3.50~3.75%\ub85c \ub2e4\uc12f \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc5f0\uc18d \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud45c\uacb0\uc740 9\ub300 3\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac \uc911 \uc57d 10bp \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, 30\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 5.24%\ub85c \uce58\uc19f\uc73c\uba70 19\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub3c5\uc77c 30\ub144\ubb3c \ubd84\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac\ub3c4 2\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \ud130\uce58\ud588\ub2e4. \ub3c5\uc77c 10\ub144\ubb3c\uc740 3.17%, \ud504\ub791\uc2a4 10\ub144\ubb3c OAT\ub294 3.97%, \uc601\uad6d 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae38\ud2b8\ub294 5.03%, \uc77c\ubcf8 10\ub144\ubb3c JGB\ub294 2.78%\uc600\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 0.1% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE)\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Bank Rate)\ub97c 3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\uace0 \ud45c\uacb0\uc740 7\ub300 2\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ)\ub3c4 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c 1.00%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\ub3c4 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 IRGC(\uc774\ub780 \ud601\uba85\uc218\ube44\ub300) \ud45c\uc801 \uc218\uc2ed \uacf3 \uacf5\uc2b5, \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \ub85c\ucf13 \ubc1c\uc0ac\ub300 400\uae30\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0c8\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\ub3c4, \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 \ud0a4\uc774\uc6b0 \uacf5\uc2b5\uacfc \ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c\uc774 \ud3f4\ub780\ub4dc NATO \uc601\ud1a0\uc5d0 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\uace0 \ub4f1\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2e4\uc801\uacfc AI \uad00\ub828 \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790(CapEx)\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uba54\ud0c0\ub294 \uc789\uc5ec\ud604\uae08\ud750\ub984(FCF)\uc774 4\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \uc57d 8% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \ub9c8\uc774\ud06c\ub85c\uc18c\ud504\ud2b8\ub294 \ud074\ub77c\uc6b0\ub4dc \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc774 1,000\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uac04\uc678\uc5d0\uc11c 9% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ud004\ucef4\uc740 \uc57d 5% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc0bc\uc131\uc804\uc790\ub294 2028\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uba54\ubaa8\ub9ac \uc218\uae09 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uc73c\uba70, HBM4 \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubd84\uae30 3\ubc30 \uc774\uc0c1 \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub2a5\ub825\uc758 60~70%\uac00 \ub2e4\ub144 \uacc4\uc57d\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ubbf8 \ud655\ubcf4\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ub9c8\uc774\ud06c\ub85c\uc18c\ud504\ud2b8\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ubd84\uae30 \uc2e0\uaddc \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc13c\ud130 31\uac1c\ub97c \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uace0, 2026\ub144 CapEx\uac00 \uc57d 1,750\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uba74\uc11c \uc560\uc800(Azure) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \uc57d 45%\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud558\uace0 \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc6a9 RPO\uac00 84% \uc99d\uac00\ud574 6,780\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc178\uc774 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc870\uc815\uc774\uc775 98\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\uace0 30\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc790\uc0ac\uc8fc \ub9e4\uc785\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c\uc81c\ub124\ub784(SocGen)\uc740 15\uc5b5\uc720\ub85c, BBVA\ub294 20\uc5b5\uc720\ub85c \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uc790\uc0ac\uc8fc \ub9e4\uc785\uc744 \uac01\uac01 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, BMW\ub294 8\ucc9c\uba85 \uac10\uc6d0\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ud63c\uc870\uc600\uc73c\ub098 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\uc138\uc600\ub2e4(FTSE +0.53% 10,966.75; DAX +0.13% 25,483.07; CAC40 +0.91% 8,484.76; S&#038;P500 \uc120\ubb3c +0.30%). \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 0.4% \ud558\ub77d, WTI\ub294 0.2% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778(BTC)\uc740 0.5%, \uc774\ub354\ub9ac\uc6c0(ETH)\uc740 0.3% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uac70\uc2dc\uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 2\ubd84\uae30 GDP\uac00 \uc804\uae30 \ub300\ube44 0.4%, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 1.0%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 6.3%\uc600\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud398\uc778 CPI\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.5%, \uadfc\uc6d0\uc740 3.0%\uc600\uc73c\uba70, \ub3c5\uc77c 2\ubd84\uae30 GDP\ub294 \uc804\uae30 \ub300\ube44 0.2%, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 0.9%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120, AI CapEx, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50~3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ubc18\ub300 3\uba85\uc774 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \ucc44\uad8c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 \uc218\uc2ed \ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \uce58\uc19f\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 30\ub144\ubb3c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc 5.24%\ub85c 19\ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \ud130\uce58\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120\uc758 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd(\uc7a5\ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \ud655\ub300)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \uc7a5\uae30\uad6c\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \ub54c \ucc44\uad8c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub4c0\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uae34 \ucc44\uad8c ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>AI \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790 \uc218\uc775(ROI)\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \uc8fc\uc2dd \ud30c\uc0dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uace0\uc120\ubcc4 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \ub9c8\uc774\ud06c\ub85c\uc18c\ud504\ud2b8\uc758 \ud074\ub77c\uc6b0\ub4dc \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc774 1,000\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub3cc\ud30c\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \uba54\ud0c0\ub294 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uc9c0\ucd9c\ub85c FCF\uac00 \uc545\ud654\ub3fc \uc8fc\uac00\uac00 8% \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \u2018AI \ubd90\u2019\uc758 \uc218\uc775\ud654\uac00 \ube45\ud14c\ud06c \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \uade0\ub4f1\ud558\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. \ub300\ud615 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uc2e4\uc801 \uc2dc\uc98c\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(\ub3d9\uc77c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b \ub3d9\uc2dc \ub9e4\uc218)\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ud06c\uace0 \uc608\uce21\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(IV) \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud658\uc728, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc804\uc220<\/h3>\n<p>\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uac00 1.3375 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 USD\/JPY\uac00 163.50 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(\uc678\uac00\uaca9 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b \ub3d9\uc2dc \ub9e4\uc218)\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \ud45c\uacb0 \uad6c\ub3c4(\uc608: \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubc15\ube59\uc758 \uacb0\uc815)\ub294 G10 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0\uc11c \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub3c4 \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9\uc774 \ud3f4\ub780\ub4dc \uc778\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\uc0b0\ub418\uace0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc911\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\uba70 \uace0\uc870\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4, \ubbfc\uac10 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ub3cc\ubc1c\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uad50\ub780\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc8fc\uc2dd \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c\uc758 \uc678\uac00\uaca9 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud56d\uacf5\uc6b0\uc8fc\u00b7\ubc29\uc0b0 \uc139\ud130 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AI CapEx\ub294 MS \uc6c3\uace0 \uba54\ud0c0 \uc6b8\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\u00b7\ud658\uc728 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uacbd\uacc4. \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50299,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52175","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc5f0\uc900\u00b7\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub9e4\ud30c \uc2e0\ud638\uc5d0 \uc7a5\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uae09\ub4f1, \uc720\ub7fd\uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uc2e4\uc801\u00b7\uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9. 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