{"id":52138,"date":"2026-07-30T03:58:13","date_gmt":"2026-07-30T03:58:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/fed-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ed%9b%84-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%eb%b0%98%eb%8c%80-%ec%9d%98%ea%b2%ac%ec%97%90-9%ec%9b%94-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80\/"},"modified":"2026-07-30T03:58:13","modified_gmt":"2026-07-30T03:58:13","slug":"fed-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ed%9b%84-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%eb%b0%98%eb%8c%80-%ec%9d%98%ea%b2%ac%ec%97%90-9%ec%9b%94-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/fed-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ed%9b%84-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%eb%b0%98%eb%8c%80-%ec%9d%98%ea%b2%ac%ec%97%90-9%ec%9b%94-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \ud558\ub77d\u2026\ubc18\ub300 \uc758\uacac\uc5d0 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\u2191, \ubbf8\u00b7\uc77c \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28 \uc9c0\uc18d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\ub294 GMT 18:00\uc5d0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ubaa9\ud45c\ubc94\uc704\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c 5\ud68c \uc5f0\uc18d \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4(USD\/JPY)\uc740 164.00 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c 163.50\ub300\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc644\ud654\ub41c \ub4a4 163.00\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc704\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4\uac00, \uc774\ud6c4 163.50 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7ac\ucc28 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 0.24% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 9\ub300 3\uc73c\ub85c \ud1b5\uacfc\ub410\uace0, \ubc18\ub300 3\ud45c\ub294 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud588\ub2e4. \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc57d 36% \uc218\uc900\uc758 \u2018\uc778\uc0c1 \uaf2c\ub9ac \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c(hike tail)\u2019\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub294\ub370(7\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c \uc57d 11% \ub300\ube44 \ud655\ub300), \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \ub418\ub3cc\ub824\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\ubcc4\ub85c \uc5c7\uac08\ub824 2\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc57d 4bp \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ubc18\uba74 30\ub144\ubb3c\uc740 9bp \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 80% \ub0b4\uc678\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba70, \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\ub294 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uace1\uc120 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ud504\ub2dd(\uc7a5\ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \ud655\ub300) \uc5ed\ud559\uc774 \uc7ac\ucc28 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \uc57d 275bp \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ) \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 1.00%\uc774\uba70 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 2.8% \uc548\ud30e\uc774\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc131\uc740 4\uc6d4 \ub9d0~5\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uc0ac\uc774 \uc5d4\ud654 \ub9e4\uc218\uc5d0 \uc57d 11\uc8707000\uc5b5\uc5d4\uc744 \uc4f4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub41c\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uae30\uc900 \ud22c\uae30\uc801 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 15\ub9cc \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc7a5\uae30 \uc77c\ubcf8\uad6d\ucc44(JGB) \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 30\ub144\u00b740\ub144\ubb3c \ubaa8\ub450 4%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4. \uacf5\uacf5\ubd80\ucc44\ub294 GDP \ub300\ube44 230%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\ub294 \uc774\ub2ec 20% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \uc5d4\ud654 \uae30\uc900 \uc218\uc785\ubb3c\uac00\ub294 5\uc6d4 \uc804\ub144\ub3d9\uc6d4\ub300\ube44 25.5% \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d PCE(\uadfc\uc6d0 0.2% MoM \ubc0f 3.3% YoY, \uc774\uc804 3.4%; \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 3.7% YoY, \uc774\uc804 4.1%), 2\ubd84\uae30 GDP 2.1%, \uc2e0\uaddc\uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9\uccad\uad6c 20\ub9cc\uac74(\uc774\uc804 18\ub9cc7000\uac74)\uc774 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5b4 \ub3c4\ucfc4 CPI\ub294 \uc2e0\uc120\uc2dd\ud488 \uc81c\uc678 1.7% YoY(\uc774\uc804 1.6%)\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub418\uba70, BOJ\ub294 1.00% \ub3d9\uacb0\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. GMT 03:00\uc5d0\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(Outlook Report), GMT 06:30\uc5d0\ub294 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc774 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 164.00 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uac00 \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub410\uace0, \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc740 165.00. \ud558\ub2e8 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub294 163.00, 162.00, 50\uc77c EMA(\uc57d 161.50), 200\uc77c EMA(\uc57d 158.00)\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc77c\uac04 \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI\ub294 56 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac \uc18d USD\/JPY \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 USD\/JPY\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uac15\uc138 \ubc14\uc774\uc5b4\uc2a4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 163.00 \ud53c\ubc97 \ub808\ubca8\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ud55c \uadf8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc804\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, 9\ub300 3 \ud45c\uacb0\uc740 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \ub258\uc559\uc2a4\ub97c \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0b4\uba70 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\u00b7\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud070 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uc5d4\ud654\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc548\ub3c4 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc774 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574, \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 164.00 \ubc0f 165.00 \ub808\ubca8\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ud65c\uc6a9\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\ub2f9\uad6d \uac1c\uc785 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uc9d1\uc911\ub3fc \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ud22c\uae30\uc801 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 15\ub9cc \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 CFTC \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uae30\uc900 \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00 \uc57d 18\ub9cc \uacc4\uc57d\uae4c\uc9c0 \uce58\uc19f\uc558\ub358 2024\ub144 \u2018\uc5d4\ud654 \uae09\ub77d\u2019 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uad00\uce21\ub41c \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801 \uc57d\uc138 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub3cc\ubc1c \uac1c\uc785 \uc2dc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\uc99d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \ud604\ubb3c \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \uc9c1\uc811 \ub298\ub9ac\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc635\uc158\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc548\uc804\ud55c \uc120\ud0dd\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uc5d4\ud654 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac \ubc0f \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc77c\ubcf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uc2dc\uc7a5\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uc810\uac80\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. 30\ub144\u00b740\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba70 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c GDP \ub300\ube44 230%\ub97c \ub118\ub294 \ub9c9\ub300\ud55c \ubd80\ucc44\ube44\uc728\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc29\uc5b4 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uadf9\ub3c4\ub85c \ud0a4\uc6b0\ub294\ub370, \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc7a5\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4(\ud398\ub110\ud2f0)\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5d4\ud654\uac00 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ucd95\uc18c\uc640\uc758 \uc5f0\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ud0c8\ud558\uace0, \ubbf8 \uc7a5\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ubd80\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uc2dc \uc5d4\ud654 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \ub9e4\uc218)\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uc870\uc5b8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uad50\ub780\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub2ec \uc720\uac00\uac00 20% \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \uc810\uc740 \uc5d4\ud654\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc555\ubc15 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\uc785 \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub192\uc544, \uace0\uc720\uac00\ub294 \uc5d4\ud654\uc758 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc720\ucd9c \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uba70 \uc218\uc785\ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ub450 \uc790\ub9bf\uc218\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b0\ub2e4. \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uad00\ub828 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ub610\ub294 \uc720\uac00\uc640 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \ud06c\ub85c\uc2a4 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uae08\uc77c 6\uc6d4 PCE\uc640 \ub0b4\uc77c BOJ \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2e8\uae30 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ucfc4 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 1.7%\ub85c \ub048\uc801(sticky)\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc6b0\uc5d0\ub2e4 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uac00 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 USD\/JPY\uac00 164.00\uc744 \ub2e8\uc228\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 165.00\uc744 \ud5a5\ud55c \ub3cc\ud30c \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub418, \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\ub97c \uc704\ud574 163.00 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud55c \uc190\uc808\uc120\uc744 \ub450\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\uc900 5\ud68c \uc5f0\uc18d \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0\ub3c4 9\ub3003 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\u2019\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 163\ub300 \ub4f1\ub77d. 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 80% \uc720\uc9c0, \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\u00b7\uc5d4 \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825. \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 163 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \ud655\uc778 \ud6c4 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50595,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52138","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc5f0\uc900 5\ud68c \uc5f0\uc18d \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0\ub3c4 9\ub3003 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\u2019\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 163\ub300 \ub4f1\ub77d. 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 80% \uc720\uc9c0, \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\u00b7\uc5d4 \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825. \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 163 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \ud655\uc778 \ud6c4 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" 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