{"id":52119,"date":"2026-07-29T22:58:52","date_gmt":"2026-07-29T22:58:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4\/"},"modified":"2026-07-29T22:58:52","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T22:58:52","slug":"%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4\/","title":{"rendered":"\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d, \uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uacbd\uace0\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec 1.4100 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc740\ud589(BoC)\uc758 7\uc6d4 15\uc77c \u2018\ub3d9\uacb0\u2019 \ud68c\uc758\ub85d(\uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815 \uc9c1\uc804 \uacf5\uac1c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc740 7\uc6d4 7~15\uc77c \uc5f4\ub9b0 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 2.25%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uc804\uc81c\ub85c \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc57d 2.5%\ub85c \uc644\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801 \uc601\ud5a5\uc740 \uc77c\ub2e8 \u2018\uad00\ud1b5(look through)\u2019\ud558\ub418, 2\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09(second-round) \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub300\uc751\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub370 \ub73b\uc744 \ubaa8\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uac00 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \ub3d9\uc548 16% \uae09\ub77d(2020\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \uac00\ud30c\ub978 \ud750\ub984)\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 4% \uc774\uc0c1 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\uae30 \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \uc815\ub9ac\ub41c \uae30\uc870\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec(USD\/CAD)\ub294 1.4100 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d 30\ud54d \ubc94\uc704 \ub0b4 \ub4f1\ub77d\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uba70 \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uace0, \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uac00\uc815\ud55c \u2018\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub2f9 \ubbf8\ud654 \uc57d 0.71\ub2ec\ub7ec\u2019 \ud658\uc728 \uc218\uc900\uc740 \ud604\ubb3c \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ubbf8 \ucda9\uc871\ub41c \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud68c\uc758\ub85d\uc740 \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \ud575\uc2ec \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uc804\uc7c1\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc0c1\ubc29\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb34\uc5ed\uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uacb0\uc815 5\uc77c \ub4a4 \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc740 \uc77c\ubd80 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc0b0 \uc81c\ud488\uc5d0 50% \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud588\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc740\ud589\uc740 2025\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30\ubd80\ud130 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \u2018\uc81c\ub85c\u2019\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uace0 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 6.5%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc11c\ub294 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc758 \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\u00b7\uce90 \uae08\ub9ac(\uad6d\ucc44\uc218\uc775\ub960) \uaca9\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 6\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 2.8%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud588\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 5\ub144\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 18:00 GMT \uc608\uc815\ub41c \uc5f0\uc900 \ubc1c\ud45c\uc640 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 5\uc6d4 GDP(6\uc6d4 \ucd08 \uc18d\ubcf4 \ucd94\uc815\uce58 \uae30\uc900 0.1% \uc131\uc7a5)\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac14\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 1.4150\uacfc 1.4250\uc774 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc73c\ub85c, 50\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA)\uc778 1.4050 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774 1\ucc28 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\uace0, \uc774\ud6c4 1.4000\uacfc 1.3900 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc758 200\uc77c EMA\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4. \uc77c\uac04 \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI\ub294 21 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac \uc18d \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc624\ub298 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. USD\/CAD\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \ud575\uc2ec \ub808\ubca8\uc778 1.4100 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\ub85c \uc751\ucd95\ub3fc \uc788\uc5b4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300(\ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3) \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \uc870\uc131\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uaf2c\ub9ac(hawkish tail)\uac00 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \ud655\ub300\ub418\ub294 \ubbf8\u00b7\uce90 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uaca9\ucc28(\ud2b9\ud788 2\ub144\ubb3c)\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub294 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud658\uc728\uc758 1\ucc28 \ub3d9\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\ub3d9\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c 2\ub144\ubb3c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\uac00 100bp\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud574 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \ub54c\ub9c8\ub2e4 USD\/CAD\ub294 \uc77c\uad00\ub418\uac8c \uc218\ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub824 \uc62c\ub77c\uac14\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc758 \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 2.8%\ub85c \uc2dd\uace0 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc815\uccb4\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\ub294 \ucabd\uc774 \u2018\uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc791\uc740 \uacbd\ub85c\u2019\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac \ubc0f \uac70\ub798 \uad8c\uace0<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc0c8\ub85c \ubd80\uacfc\ub41c \u2018\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc0b0 \uc81c\ud488 \ub300\uc0c1 50% \ubbf8\uad6d \uad00\uc138\u2019\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ubb34\uc5ed \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354\ud574 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c\uac04 16% \uae09\ub77d\ud55c \uc810\uc740, \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ud604 2.25% \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ubc14\ub2e5(\ud558\ud55c)\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc5ec\ub825\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \uc81c\uc57d\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc758 \uc911\ucca9\uc73c\ub85c \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ubbf8\ud654 0.71\ub2ec\ub7ec(71\uc13c\ud2b8) \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub20c\ub9b0 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\ucd08 \uace0\uc810 \uad6c\uac04\uc778 1.4250\uc744 \ud5a5\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c USD\/CAD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. 1.4050 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc758 50\uc77c EMA\ub294 \uc774\ub2ec \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub3c4 \ub192\uc740 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uc791\ub3d9\ud574 \uc654\uc73c\uba70, \uac15\uc138 \uad6c\uc870\uc758 \ubb34\ud6a8\ud654(invalidation) \ub808\ubca8\ub85c \uc0bc\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub871 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ub610\ub294 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74, \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ubcc0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ubc29\uc5b4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\uc900 \uc55e\ub454 BoC, \uae08\ub9ac 2.25% \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 2.5% \uc644\ud654 \uc804\ub9dd\u2014\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\u00b7\ubbf8 \uad00\uc138\ub85c \uc131\uc7a5 \u2018\uc81c\ub85c\u2019 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ubd80\uac01. USD\/CAD 1.4100 \uc751\ucd95, \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \ud655\ub300 \uc2dc 1.4250 \ub3cc\ud30c \ubca0\ud305.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52119","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc5f0\uc900 \uc55e\ub454 BoC, \uae08\ub9ac 2.25% \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 2.5% \uc644\ud654 \uc804\ub9dd\u2014\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\u00b7\ubbf8 \uad00\uc138\ub85c \uc131\uc7a5 \u2018\uc81c\ub85c\u2019 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ubd80\uac01. 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