{"id":52115,"date":"2026-07-29T21:28:36","date_gmt":"2026-07-29T21:28:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-90%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90\/"},"modified":"2026-07-29T21:28:36","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T21:28:36","slug":"%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-90%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-90%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \uc720\uac00 90\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc9c0\uc218 \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc624\ud6c4 51,800\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\uba70, \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 900\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(1.7%) \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. 09:00 GMT \uc774\uc804 52,800\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc704\uae4c\uc9c0 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \ucc0d\uc740 \ub4a4 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \ubc00\ub838\uace0, \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud588\ub358 52,000\uc120\ub3c4 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub0b4\uc92c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \uc774\uc2ac\ub78c\ud601\uba85\uc218\ube44\ub300(IRGC)\uac00 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ub2a6\uac8c \ubbf8\uad70\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \ubcf5\uc218\uc758 \ud0c4\ub3c4\ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c\uc744 \ubc1c\uc0ac\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ubbf8 \uc911\ubd80\uc0ac\ub839\ubd80\ub294 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc694\uaca9\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ubcf4\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud45c\uc801\uc740 \uc694\ub974\ub2e8 \ub0b4 \ubbf8\uad70 \uae30\uc9c0\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub410\uace0, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc774 \uac15\uacbd \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub3c4 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6e0\ub2e4. \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\ub294 \uc57d 7% \uae09\ub4f1\ud574 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 90.00\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc130\uace0, \ubbf8 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc815\ubcf4\uccad(EIA)\uc740 \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc6a9 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc7ac\uace0\uac00 716.7\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4 \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1 -250\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4, \uc9c1\uc804 +201.1\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4). \uc774\ub294 6\uc6d4 2.7%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.6%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub41c 2026\ub144 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 \uc774\ud6c4, \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub098\uc628 \uc218\uce58\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \u2018\ub3d9\uacb0 vs \uc778\uc0c1\u2019\uc774 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \ubaa9\ud45c\uae08\ub9ac(3.50%~3.75%) \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960\uc744 66.3%, \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 33.7%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4(\uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 35.8%). \ub354 \uba3c \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 9\uc6d4 16\uc77c\uae4c\uc9c0 80.6%, 10\uc6d4 28\uc77c\uae4c\uc9c0 87.1%, 12\uc6d4 9\uc77c\uae4c\uc9c0 92.2%\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 2\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\ub3c4 60.3%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud55c\ub2e4. 7\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uc694\uc57d(SEP)\uc774 \uc5c6\uace0, 6\uc6d4 \uc131\uba85\uc740 310\ub2e8\uc5b4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d 130\ub2e8\uc5b4\ub85c \ud06c\uac8c \uc904\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, 18:30 GMT \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\ub3c4 \ud604 \uc758\uc7a5 \uc784\uae30 \uc911 \ub450 \ubc88\uc9f8\uc5d0 \ubd88\uacfc\ud574 \ucee4\ubba4\ub2c8\ucf00\uc774\uc158\uc758 \ube44\uc911\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 18\uba85 \uc911 9\uba85\uc774 2026\ub144 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2f9\uc2dc \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc740 \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. \ub300\ud45c \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 ETF\ub294 \ub2f9\uc77c 4% \uc774\uc0c1, \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 10% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70 4\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ub0b4\ub838\ub2e4. \ub9c8\uc774\ud06c\ub860\uc740 5% \ud558\ub77d, AMD\ub294 5% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d, KLA\ub294 8% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. S&amp;P500\uc740 0.9%, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 \uc885\ud569\uc740 1.2% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ud504\ub85d\ud130\uc564\ub4dc\uac2c\ube14(P&amp;G)\uc740 \ub9e4\ucd9c \ubbf8\ub2ec\ub85c 3% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \ud3ec\ub4dc\ub294 \uc2e4\uc801 \uc0c1\ud68c \ubc0f \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4 \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c 5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c 12:30 GMT\uc5d0\ub294 6\uc6d4 PCE(\uc804\uc6d4\ube44 -0.1%, \uc804\ub144\ube44 3.7% \uc608\uc0c1; \uc9c1\uc804 4.1%), \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE(\uc804\uc6d4\ube44 0.2%, \uc804\ub144\ube44 3.3% \uc608\uc0c1; \uc9c1\uc804 3.4%), GDP 2.1%, \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9\uccad\uad6c 20\ub9cc \uac74(\uc9c1\uc804 18.7\ub9cc \uac74) \ub4f1\uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5b4 \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9\ube44\uc6a9\uc9c0\uc218(ECI) 0.8%\uc640 \ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 1\ub144 \uae30\ub300\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 4.2%\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ub808\ubca8\ub85c\ub294 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 52,000, \uadf8 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc885\uac00 \ubd80\uadfc 52,750\uacfc \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810 52,800\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc704, \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58 53,300\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc704\uac00 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 51,800\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc704, 50\uc77c EMA \ubd80\uadfc 51,500, 51,000\uc120, 200\uc77c \ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc 49,000\uc774\ub2e4. \uc77c\uac04 \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI\ub294 18 \ubd80\uadfc, 5\ubd84\ubd09\uc740 89 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>Market Volatility and Derivative Strategies<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 WTI\ub97c 90\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubb38\ud131\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e8\uc77c \uc138\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uac00 5% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba74, \uc774\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\uac00 \ud3c9\uade0 15%~20% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \ub2e4\uc6b0 \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud48b \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uc6b0\uc120\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc139\ud130 ETF\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\ub3c4 \ubcd1\ud589\ud574 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 3.50%~3.75%\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uace0, 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc774 80.6%\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ub9cc\ud07c, \u2018\uc644\ud654\uc801 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\u2019 \uc2dc\ub300\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc911\ub2e8 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00 90\ub2ec\ub7ec\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uc7ac\uc720\uc785\ub418\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uae09\ub4f1\uc744 \ub9de\ub2e5\ub728\ub9b4 \ub54c, \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9\ud654\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub3fc \uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 ETF\uc758 \uc8fc\uac04 10% \uae09\ub77d\uc740 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc139\ud130\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ucde8\uc57d\ud568\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uacbd\uae30\ubbfc\uac10 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc8fc\uac00 \uc9c0\uc218 \ucc28\uc6d0\uc758 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc1b\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc774\ub2e4. \uace0\ubca0\ud0c0 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ud48b \ub9e4\uc218\uc640, \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\uc7ac \uc885\ubaa9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc120\ud0dd\uc801 \ucee4\ubc84\ub4dc\ucf5c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub97c \uacb0\ud569\ud55c \ub871\/\uc20f \uc8fc\uc2dd \ud30c\uc0dd \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc139\ud130 \uac04 \ubd84\uc0b0\uc740, \uac70\uc2dc \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub808\uc2a4 \ud558\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uc640 \uc804\ud1b5 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc8fc\uc758 \uc0c1\uad00\uad00\uacc4\uac00 \uc57d\ud654\ub420 \ub54c \ud398\uc5b4 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>Technical Analysis and Tactical Positioning<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc6b0\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc744 \uc774\ud0c8\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 52,000\uc120 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. 51,500 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 50\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA)\ub9c8\uc800 \ubc84\ud2f0\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud558\ubc29 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 51,000\uc120\uc774\ub2e4. 52,000 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub418, \uc790\ubcf8 \ubcf4\ud638\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uc190\uc808\uc120\uc744 \ud574\ub2f9 \ub808\ubca8 \ubc14\ub85c \uc704\uc5d0 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud558\uac8c \uc124\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc608\uc815\ub41c PCE \ub514\ud50c\ub808\uc774\ud130\uc640 2\ubd84\uae30 GDP \ubc1c\ud45c\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud558\uaca0\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \u2018\uc720\uac00 90\ub2ec\ub7ec\u2019 \ud604\uc2e4\uc744 \uc628\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc9c0\ud45c \uc131\uaca9\uc758 6\uc6d4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uacfc\uac70 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc120\ud589\uc801 \uc131\uaca9\uc758 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9 \uc0ac\uc774 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \ubcf4\uc218\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub824\uba74, \uc0c1\ucda9\ud558\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub97c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc870\uc815\ud574 \ub098\uac00\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ubd88\uac00\ud53c\ud558\uac8c \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218 ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc6b0 900p \uae09\ub77d, 5\ub9cc1800\uc120 \ud754\ub4e4. 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