{"id":52105,"date":"2026-07-29T18:28:39","date_gmt":"2026-07-29T18:28:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-eur-usd-1-1400\/"},"modified":"2026-07-29T18:28:39","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T18:28:39","slug":"%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-eur-usd-1-1400","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-eur-usd-1-1400\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 EUR\/USD 1.1400\uc120 \ud558\ud68c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815(18:00 GMT)\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 1.1400\uc744 \ubc11\ub3c4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\uba70, 1.1393 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc5c6\uc774 \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780 \uac04 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc18c\uac15 \uad6d\uba74 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c \uad50\uc804\uc774 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\ub294 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uace0, \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\ub294 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d \uc774\ud6c4 5% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 83\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc815\uc0c1\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc57d\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubd80\uac01\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 \ucd08\ubc18 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\ub098 \uacb0\uc815 \uc804\uc5d0\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \ubc18\ub0a9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 \uc7a5\uc911 101.49\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub978 \ub4a4 101.35 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 Fed\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75% \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234 \uae30\uc900 \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 30%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758\ub294 \uc2e0\uaddc \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub098 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot)\uac00 \uc5c6\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud45c\uacb0 \ubd84\ud3ec\uc640 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c \ubc0f EUR\/USD\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud560 \ud575\uc2ec \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \uc8fc\ubaa9\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>EUR\/USD \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uad6d\uba74\uc758 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 EUR\/USD\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc774 1.1400 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc911\ub300\ud55c Fed \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \uc218 \uc2dc\uac04 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\uba70 \ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ud06c\uac8c \uce58\uc19f\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc911\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uace0\uc870\ub41c \uc720\uc0ac \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \uba70\uce60 \uc0ac\uc774 15% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc720\uac00\ubc1c(\u767c) \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud55c \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 30% \uc874\uc7ac\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) EUR\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9 \ub300\ube44 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc778 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4. \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish) \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub0b4\ub193\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc810 101.49\ub97c \uc190\uc27d\uac8c \ub3cc\ud30c\ud574 102.50 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc62c\uc5ec\ub984 \ucd08 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ub300\ube44 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uacac\ub51c \ubcf5\uc6d0\ub825\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud06c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc0f \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac \uad8c\uace0<\/h3>\n<p>WTI\uac00 83\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc5d0\uc11c \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218 \uc8fc\ub97c \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 88~90\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc758 WTI \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \ud574\uc0c1 \ud68c\ub791\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6b4\uc1a1 \uc9c0\uc5f0\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud55c \ub2ec \ub0b4 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc720\uac00 \ubca4\uce58\ub9c8\ud06c\uac00 10%~15% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uacfc \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc774\uc911 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub808\ubc84\ub9ac\uc9c0\ub294 \ub0ae\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc190\uc808\uc120(stop-loss)\uc740 \ub354 \ub113\uac8c \uc124\uc815\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \uccad\uc0b0\uc18c\ub4e4\uc740 \uad70\uc0ac\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uae09\ub4f1 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc99d\uac70\uae08 \uc694\uac74\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc544, \uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \ub808\ubc84\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uacc4\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\uc81c \uccad\uc0b0\uc774 \ucd09\ubc1c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uce98\ub9b0\ub354 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(calendar spread)\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc608\uce21 \ubd88\uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cFed \uc1fc\ud06c \uc624\ub098\u201d EUR\/USD 1.1400 \ud558\ud68c \ud6a1\ubcf4 \uc18d \uc911\ub3d9 \uc7ac\uad50\uc804\u00b7\uc720\uac00 83\ub2ec\ub7ec \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300. \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc6b0\uc138\uc9c0\ub9cc 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 30%\u2026\ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u00b7\uc678\uac00\uaca9 \ud48b \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50116,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" 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