{"id":52088,"date":"2026-07-29T12:58:31","date_gmt":"2026-07-29T12:58:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4000%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b7%bc%ec%b2%98-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-07-29T12:58:31","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T12:58:31","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4000%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b7%bc%ec%b2%98-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4000%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b7%bc%ec%b2%98-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uae08\uac12 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uadfc\ucc98 \ubcf4\ud569\u2026\uae34\ucd95 \uae30\uc870 \uc9c0\uc18d \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed \uc81c\ud55c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uacb0\uc815 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 XAU\/USD\uac00 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9f4\ub3cc\uba74\uc11c \uae08\uc740 \uc870\uc815 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc608\uc0c1\uc774 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc774\ud2c0 \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd94\uac00 \ub099\ud3ed\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uae30\uc5ec\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc7ac\ud654\ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0(Goods Trade Balance) \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uadf8\ub9b0\ubc31)\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud588\uace0, \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0\ub294 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud588\uace0, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ud1b5\uc0c1 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9ac\uace0, \uc774\uc790\ub97c \uc9c0\uae09\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uae08\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc131\uba85\uacfc \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc(Kevin Warsh) \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \uc3e0\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 30%\ub85c, 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub294 80% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub3d9\ubc18 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uc740 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4\uac04 \uc774\uc5b4\uc838 \uc628 \ud558\ub77d \ucc44\ub110 \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ucd94\uc138\uc120\uc774 \ub3d9\uc801 \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud574 \uc628 \uc218\ud3c9 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc804\ub7b5 \ubc0f \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uace0\ub824<\/h3>\n<p>\uc624\ub298 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \uac00\uaca9\ub300\uc778 \uae08 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234\uc774 \uc624\ub298 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 30%, 9\uc6d4 80%\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2e8\uae30 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc5d0 \uad00\uacc4\uc5c6\uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle) \uc804\ub7b5 \ud65c\uc6a9\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \uc218\ud3c9 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4\uc9dc\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d \ucc44\ub110 \uc548\uc5d0 \u2018\ucf54\uc77c\ub9c1(coiling)\u2019 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 3,950\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04 \uc774\ud0c8\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uac00\uc18d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub2e8\uae30 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \uc218\uc775\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uae08\uc774 \ud558\ub77d \ucc44\ub110 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc758 \ud558\ubc29 \uae30\uc6b8\uae30 \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc77c\uac04 \uc885\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc548\ucc29\ud560 \ub54c\uc5d0\ub9cc \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \uc804\uc220\uc801 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \ubcc0\uc218\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c, \ucd5c\uadfc \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 90\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\ub85c \uc7ac\ucc28 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba70, \ub3cc\ubc1c\uc801 \ud655\uc804\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\ub294 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc57d\uc138 \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4, \uae09\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc18c\uba78(\uc2dc\uac04\uac00\uce58 \uac10\uc18c)\uc5d0 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ub178\ucd9c\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc758 \uae09\ubcc0\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \uc8fc\uac04 \uc635\uc158(weekly options)\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ucc44\ub110\uc5d0\uc11c \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc774\ud0c8\ud558\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \uc720\uc5f0\ud55c \uc911\ub9bd \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc18c\ubaa8\uc804\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7a6\uc740 \uc190\uc808(\u2018\ud729\uc3d8\u2019)\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud589\ubcf4\ub97c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc18c\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc5c4\uaca9\ud55c \uc190\uc808\ub9e4(\uc2a4\ud1b1\ub85c\uc2a4) \uc124\uc815\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc790\ubcf8\uc744 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ud544\uc218\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\uc900 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uae08\uac12 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \u2018\uc228\uace0\ub974\uae30\u2019. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc720\uac00\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\ub85c \ub9e4\ud30c \uc720\uc9c0 \uc6b0\ub824. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \ub300\ube44 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u00b7\uc635\uc158\ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50192,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52088","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc5f0\uc900 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uae08\uac12 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \u2018\uc228\uace0\ub974\uae30\u2019. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc720\uac00\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\ub85c \ub9e4\ud30c \uc720\uc9c0 \uc6b0\ub824. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \ub300\ube44 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u00b7\uc635\uc158\ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc8fc\ubaa9.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" 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\u2018\uc228\uace0\ub974\uae30\u2019. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc720\uac00\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\ub85c \ub9e4\ud30c \uc720\uc9c0 \uc6b0\ub824. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \ub300\ube44 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u00b7\uc635\uc158\ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc8fc\ubaa9.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4000%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b7%bc%ec%b2%98-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-29T12:58:31+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-29T12:58:31+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uae08\uac12 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec 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