{"id":52019,"date":"2026-07-28T18:28:48","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T18:28:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-eur-usd-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-07-28T18:28:48","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T18:28:48","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-eur-usd-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-eur-usd-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 EUR\/USD \ubcf4\ud569\u2026\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870 \uc18d GDP\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0, \uc8fc \ud6c4\ubc18 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubc0f \uc720\ub85c\uc874 GDP\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ub300\uae30\ud558\uba70 \uc2e0\uaddc \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uc790\uc81c\ud588\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\ub294 1.1353(6\uc6d4 26\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800)\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub9b0 \ub4a4 1.1370\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(FFR)\ub294 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc, CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch)\ub294 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 30%\ub85c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 101.50\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \ud55c \ub2ec \ub0b4 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud480\uc774\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5\ub3c4\ub294 \uacc4\uc18d \uc8fc\ubaa9\ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uacfc \ubcc4\ub3c4\ub85c, \uc624\ub9cc\uc774 \u2018\uc790\ubc1c\uc801 \uc218\uc218\ub8cc(voluntary fees)\u2019\ub97c \ud1b5\ud55c \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uacf5\ub3d9\uad00\ub9ac \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \uc81c\uc548\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc18c\uc2dd\uc774 \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ud45c \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 ADP \uace0\uc6a9\ubcc0\ud654\uc758 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0\uc774 1\ub9cc6000\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c 1\ub9cc5000\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ub454\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc77c\uc815\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d\u00b7\uc720\ub85c\uc874 2\ubd84\uae30 GDP(\uc608\ube44\uce58)\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \ubbf8\uad6d PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\uace0, \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 7\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc608\ube44\uce58)\uac00 \uacf5\uac1c\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc2a4\ucf54\uc0e4\ubc45\ud06c(Scotiabank)\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 0.1% \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 1.13\ub300 \uc911\ubc18\uc758 \ud55c \ub2ec \uc800\uc810\uad8c\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0, \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c ECB \uacb0\uc815 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>EUR\/USD Trading Strategy and Volatility Outlook<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba70\uce60\uac04 EUR\/USD\uac00 1.1370\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4. \uc218\uc694\uc77c Fed \uae08\ub9ac\uacb0\uc815\uacfc \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc8fc\uc694 GDP \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uacb9\uce58\uba74\uc11c, \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc774\ud0c8(\ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3)\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\uac8c \u2018\ub300\ud615 \ub9e4\ud06c\ub85c \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 2\uac1c\u2019\uac00 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b4 \uacbd\uc6b0, EUR\/USD \uc635\uc158 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \uc804 48\uc2dc\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \ud1b5\uc0c1 15%~20% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 25bp \uae5c\uc9dd \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 30%\uac00\ub7c9 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \ub2e8\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud3ec\ucc29\uc5d0 \uc720\ud6a8\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub41c\ub2e4. Fed\uac00 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\ub418 \uc720\uac00\ubc1c(\u767c) \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uacbd\uace0\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc7ac\ucc28 \uc720\uc785\ub418\uba70 \uc720\ub85c\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 1.1353\uc744 \ud558\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc644\uc804\ud55c \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \ub3d9\uacb0(\ub3c4\ube44\uc2dc \ud3ec\uc988)\uc740 \uc548\ub3c4 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub97c \ucd09\ubc1c\ud574 1.1450\uc120 \ud68c\ubcf5 \uc2dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\ub3c4\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>Impact of Geopolitics and Eurozone Policy Expectations<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub3c4 \ubcd1\ud589 \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc740 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc11d\uc720 \uc561\uccb4\ub958(petroleum liquids) \ubb3c\ub3d9\ub7c9\uc758 \uc57d 20%\uac00 \ud1b5\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \uc694\ucda9\uc9c0\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3cc\ubc1c\uc801 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uba74 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \uc774\ub294 Fed\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\ub97c \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 101.50 \uace0\uc810\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubcc0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub610\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc57d\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc815\ucc45\ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c, \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc0c1\ubc29 \ud0c4\ub825\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 EUR\/USD\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uad6c\uac04\ub9c8\ub2e4 \uac15\ud55c \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc120\ubb3c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0\ub294 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud55c \uc190\uc808(\uc2a4\ud1b1\ub85c\uc2a4)\uc744 \uc124\uc815\ud558\uace0, \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\uac00 \uc9d1\uc911\ub418\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc911\uc2ec\uc758 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed\u00b7GDP \u2018\ube45\uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\u2019 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 EUR\/USD 1.1370 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\u202625bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 30%\u00b7\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc9c0. \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \ub300\ube44 \ud544\uc694.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52019","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fed\u00b7GDP \u2018\ube45\uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\u2019 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 EUR\/USD 1.1370 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\u202625bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 30%\u00b7\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc9c0. \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \ub300\ube44 \ud544\uc694.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" 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\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc9c0. \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \ub300\ube44 \ud544\uc694.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-eur-usd-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-28T18:28:48+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-28T18:28:48+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 EUR\/USD \ubcf4\ud569\u2026\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870 \uc18d GDP\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc8fc\ubaa9 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Fed\u00b7GDP 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