{"id":51997,"date":"2026-07-28T11:57:56","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T11:57:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80%eb%b0%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%b6%a9%ea%b2%a9%ea%b3%bc-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1-%ec%86%8d-%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%9d%98-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88\/"},"modified":"2026-07-28T11:57:56","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T11:57:56","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80%eb%b0%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%b6%a9%ea%b2%a9%ea%b3%bc-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1-%ec%86%8d-%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%9d%98-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80%eb%b0%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%b6%a9%ea%b2%a9%ea%b3%bc-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1-%ec%86%8d-%ec%9b%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%9d%98-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900, \uc774\ub780\ubc1c \uc720\uac00 \ucda9\uaca9\uacfc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d \uc6cc\uc2dc\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uacbd\uace0\ub85c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870 \uac15\ud654 \uc608\uace0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud1a4\uc744 \ub0bc \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc9e7\uc740 \uc131\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc778 \uc120\uc81c\uc801 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub294 \ud53c\ud558\uace0, \ub300\uc2e0 \u2018\ub192\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131(elevated uncertainty)\u2019\uacfc \uc9c0\ud45c \uc758\uc874(data-dependent) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uac15\uc870\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5f4\uc5b4\ub450\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \uc774\ub97c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc18d\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c\uc368 \uc815\ucc45 \uc6b4\uc2e0\uc758 \ud3ed\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud504\ub808\uc774\ubc0d\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub2f4\uc740 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot)\uac00 \uacf5\uac1c\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544, \ubd84\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \ucd09\ubc1c\ub41c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud55c \ud658\uacbd \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\uacf5\ud45c\ub41c \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\u2019\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\ub3c4 \ub2e4\uc18c \ubd84\uc0b0\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd9c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 FOMC\uac00 \u2018\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uacbd\uacc4(vigilant)\u2019\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud45c\ud604\uc740 \ub2e8\ud638\ud55c \uc57d\uc18d \uc5c6\uc774\ub3c4 \uc815\ucc45 \uc758\ub3c4\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\uc744 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub290\ub0d0\uac00 \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9\uc758 \ud574\uc11d\uacfc, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubc1c \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\uc774(pass-through)\ub418\ub294\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc720\uc758\ubbf8\ud558\uac8c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4 \ub9cc\ud55c \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019\uc758 \ubb38\ud131\uc740 \ub192\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud68c\uc758 \uc9c1\ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4, \uc774\ub780 \uad00\ub828 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uaca9\ud654\ub3fc \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ud55c \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>&#8216;\uc18c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc11c \ub274\uc2a4\uc5d0 \ud314\uae30(Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact)&#8217; \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc774\ubc88 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud1a4\uc744 \ub0bc \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \uc804\ud615\uc801\uc778 \u2018\uc18c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc11c \ub274\uc2a4\uc5d0 \ud30c\ub294\u2019 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub97c \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub458 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c\uc774 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 95% \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \ud655\ub960\ub85c \uc774\ubbf8 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ucd94\uc138\uc801 \ub3cc\ud30c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ud5c8\ub4e4\uc740 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub192\ub2e4. \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uba85\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc7a5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ud55c, \ucd5c\uadfc 105\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc5ec \uc628 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\uc758 \ud68c\uc758 \uc9c1\ud6c4 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc57d\ud654\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc778 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \u2018\ub418\ud30c\ub294(fade)\u2019 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uad8c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \u2018\ub192\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\u2019 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub97c \ud68c\ud53c\ud558\uba74, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc9c4\uc815\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ud68c\uc758 \uc804 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\ub824\uc8fc\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubaa8\ud638\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\uac00 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc2dc\ud0a4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud574 \uacb0\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub860\uc790\ub4e4\uc744 \uc2e4\ub9dd\uc2dc\ucf30\ub358 \uacfc\uac70\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud589\ub3d9\uacfc\ub3c4 \ubd80\ud569\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac \ubc0f \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \u2018\uc20f \ub2ec\ub7ec\u2019 \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub97c \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85~90\ub2ec\ub7ec \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub824 \ub193\uc740 \uc774\ub780\uacfc\uc758 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ubcc0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub3fc \ucd94\uac00 \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub300\uc751 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc57d\ud558\uace0 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c\uc758 \uc7ac\ucc28 \u2018\ud53c\ub09c \uc218\uc694\u2019\ub97c \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ubc29\uc5b4 \ucc28\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c \uc20f \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \uc6d0\uc720\uc120\ubb3c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub871\uc744 \ubcd1\ud589\ud574, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\ub294 \uc870\ud569\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c, \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 \ubd80\uc7ac\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uaca9 \uc65c\uace1\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 9\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900 SOFR(\ub2f4\ubcf4\ubd80 \uc775\uc77c\uae08\uc735\uc870\ub2ec\uae08\ub9ac) \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ud45c \uc758\uc874\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2f8\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud574\uc11d\uc744 \ubc14\uafb8\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc720\ub3d9\uc801\uc778 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud589\ubcf4 \u2018\ubc29\ud5a5\u2019\uc744 \ub9de\ud788\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0\ub3c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc790\uccb4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\uc900, \ub9e4\ud30c \ud1a4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \u2018\ub192\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\u2019 \ub0b4\uc138\uc6cc 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \uc5f4\uc5b4\ub450\ub418 \uc57d\uc18d\uc740 \ud68c\ud53c. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \ud574\uc11d \uc8fc\ubaa9. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \u2018\uc18c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc11c \ub274\uc2a4\uc5d0 \ud314\uae30\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50109,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51997","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc5f0\uc900, \ub9e4\ud30c \ud1a4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \u2018\ub192\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\u2019 \ub0b4\uc138\uc6cc 9\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \uc5f4\uc5b4\ub450\ub418 \uc57d\uc18d\uc740 \ud68c\ud53c. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \ud574\uc11d \uc8fc\ubaa9. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \u2018\uc18c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc11c \ub274\uc2a4\uc5d0 \ud314\uae30\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" 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