{"id":51943,"date":"2026-07-27T21:58:52","date_gmt":"2026-07-27T21:58:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94-%ec%86%8d-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%ec%97%90-%ec%b4%89%ea%b0%81\/"},"modified":"2026-07-27T21:58:52","modified_gmt":"2026-07-27T21:58:52","slug":"%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94-%ec%86%8d-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%ec%97%90-%ec%b4%89%ea%b0%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94-%ec%86%8d-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%ec%97%90-%ec%b4%89%ea%b0%81\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654 \uc18d \uc2dc\uc7a5, \uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \u2018\ucd09\uac01\u2019\u2026\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\u00b7\uae08\uac12\uc740 \uc57d\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc774 \uc0c1\ud638 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc7a0\uc2dc \uba48\ucd94\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uac08\ub4f1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \ud68c\uc758\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac14\ub2e4. \uc720\uc5d4 \uc8fc\uc7ac \ubbf8\uad6d\ub300\uc0ac\ub294 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uc678\uad50\ub97c \uc6b0\uc120\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uace0, \uc774\ub780\uc740 \ubbf8\uad70 \uae30\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubcf4\ubcf5\uc744 \uc911\ub2e8\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \ubbf8\uad70 \ud0c4\uc57d\uc774 \uace0\uac08\ub410\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ub3c4 \ubd80\uc778\ud588\ub2e4. CBS\ub274\uc2a4\ub294 \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc774 \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uacfc\uc758 \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0\ub294 \ub098\uc11c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc624\ub9cc\uacfc\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \u201c\ud574\uc0c1 \uad50\ud1b5\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ud55c \uba54\ucee4\ub2c8\uc998\u201d \ub17c\uc758\ub9cc \ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 6\uc6d4 CPI\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c \ub370 \ub530\ub77c \uc218\uc694\uc77c FOMC\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 64%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc720\uac00\uac00 90\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4\uac00 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c 82\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778 \uc810\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5f4\uc5b4\ub450\uac8c \ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 6\ub9cc5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824 6\ub9cc4,648\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc73c\uba70, 50\uc77c EMA(6\ub9cc5,067\ub2ec\ub7ec)\uac00 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud588\ub2e4. 100\uc77c\u00b7200\uc77c EMA\ub294 \uac01\uac01 6\ub9cc7,759\ub2ec\ub7ec, 7\ub9cc3,465\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. RSI\ub294 \uc911\uac04\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc704\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb38 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 MACD\ub294 \uc57d\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 6\ub9cc3,171\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc774\ud6c4 6\ub9cc1,034\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 5\ub9cc7,835\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\uace0, \uc800\ud56d\uc740 6\ub9cc7,360\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 7\ub9cc302\ub2ec\ub7ec, 7\ub9cc3,244\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 200\uc77c EMA(7\ub9cc3,465\ub2ec\ub7ec)\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uac70\ub860\ub410\ub2e4. \uae08\uc740 4,074\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 4,000~4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\uace0, 50\uc77c\u00b7200\uc77c\u00b7100\uc77c EMA(\uac01\uac01 4,217\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,298\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,352\ub2ec\ub7ec) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud588\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uae30\uc900\uc120\uc740 4,282\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 4,432\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\uc73c\uba70, 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ubd95\uad34\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc870\uc5b8\uc774\ub2e4. \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uad70\uc0ac \ud589\ub3d9\uc758 \uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uac00\uac00 82\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ud574\uc18c\ub41c \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud574\uc57c \ud558\uba70, \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 90\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\ubc18\ub4f1\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 64%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 36%\ub098 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX)\uac00 \uba70\uce60 \uc0ac\uc774 15%~20% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \uc7a6\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud574, \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle) \ud65c\uc6a9\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uac00\uc0c1\uc790\uc0b0\u00b7\uadc0\uae08\uc18d \uc57d\uc138(\ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc) \uc14b\uc5c5<\/h3>\n<p>\uac00\uc0c1\uc790\uc0b0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 6\ub9cc4,648\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \ud575\uc2ec\uc778 50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(6\ub9cc5,067\ub2ec\ub7ec) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc57d\uc138 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uad00\uce21\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 6\ub9cc3,171\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\ud0a4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 6\ub9cc1,034\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub300\uae4c\uc9c0 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \uc81c\uae30\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \ub354 \uae4a\uc740 \uc870\uc815\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uae08 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc57d\uc138 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub85c, 4,074\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(4,217\ub2ec\ub7ec) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ubd95\uad34\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc778\uc811\ud55c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub300\uac00 \ubd80\uc871\ud574 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uacf5\ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc20f\uc140\ub9c1)\ub97c \uc720\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc9c4\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uae08\uc758 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bear call spread) \ud65c\uc6a9\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654\ub85c \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 FOMC\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9. \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960 64%\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc720\uac00 \ubcc0\uc218 \ub0a8\uc544. \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\u00b7\uae08 \uc57d\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d, \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u00b7\ud48b\uc635\uc158\u00b7\ubca0\uc5b4\ucf5c\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub300\uc751 \uc81c\uc2dc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50201,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51943","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654\ub85c \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 FOMC\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9. \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960 64%\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc720\uac00 \ubcc0\uc218 \ub0a8\uc544. \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\u00b7\uae08 \uc57d\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d, \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u00b7\ud48b\uc635\uc158\u00b7\ubca0\uc5b4\ucf5c\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub300\uc751 \uc81c\uc2dc.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, 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\ud655\ub960 64%\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc720\uac00 \ubcc0\uc218 \ub0a8\uc544. \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\u00b7\uae08 \uc57d\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d, \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u00b7\ud48b\uc635\uc158\u00b7\ubca0\uc5b4\ucf5c\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub300\uc751 \uc81c\uc2dc.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94-%ec%86%8d-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95%ec%97%90-%ec%b4%89%ea%b0%81\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-27T21:58:52+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-27T21:58:52+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654 \uc18d \uc2dc\uc7a5, \uc5f0\uc900 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 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