{"id":51860,"date":"2026-07-25T03:57:35","date_gmt":"2026-07-25T03:57:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ea%b8%80%eb%9e%98%ec%8a%a4%eb%85%b8%eb%93%9c%c2%b7%ec%bd%94%ec%9d%b8%eb%b2%a0%ec%9d%b4%ec%8a%a4-%ec%9c%a0%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ec%82%ac%ec%9d%b4%ed%81%b4%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b8-3%eb%b6%84\/"},"modified":"2026-07-25T03:57:35","modified_gmt":"2026-07-25T03:57:35","slug":"%ea%b8%80%eb%9e%98%ec%8a%a4%eb%85%b8%eb%93%9c%c2%b7%ec%bd%94%ec%9d%b8%eb%b2%a0%ec%9d%b4%ec%8a%a4-%ec%9c%a0%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ec%82%ac%ec%9d%b4%ed%81%b4%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b8-3%eb%b6%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ea%b8%80%eb%9e%98%ec%8a%a4%eb%85%b8%eb%93%9c%c2%b7%ec%bd%94%ec%9d%b8%eb%b2%a0%ec%9d%b4%ec%8a%a4-%ec%9c%a0%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ec%82%ac%ec%9d%b4%ed%81%b4%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b8-3%eb%b6%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\uae00\ub798\uc2a4\ub178\ub4dc\u00b7\ucf54\uc778\ubca0\uc774\uc2a4 \u201c\uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 3\ubd84\uae30 \uc7a5\uc138\u2026\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \ubc14\ub2e5 \uc2e0\ud638 \ucd08\uae30 \uc870\uc9d0\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae00\ub798\uc2a4\ub178\ub4dc\uac00 \ucf54\uc778\ubca0\uc774\uc2a4 \uc778\uc2a4\ud2f0\ud29c\uc154\ub110\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \uc791\uc131\ud55c 3\ubd84\uae30 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778(BTC)\uc774 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ubc14\ub2e5 \ud615\uc131 \uacfc\uc815\uc758 \ucd08\uae30 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc544\uc9c1 \u2018\uacac\uace0\ud55c \uc800\uc810\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e8\uc815\ud558\uae34 \uc774\ub974\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc591\uc0ac\ub294 3\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc911\ub9bd\uc801 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uac70\uc2dc \uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uace0\uc720 \ucd09\ub9e4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uacfc \ub354 \ubc00\uc811\ud558\uac8c \uc5f0\uacb0\uc9c0\uc5c8\ub2e4. 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc804\uccb4 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc2dc\uac00\ucd1d\uc561\uc740 \uc57d 12% \uac10\uc18c\ud55c \ubc18\uba74 \uc2a4\ud14c\uc774\ube14\ucf54\uc778 \uacf5\uae09\uc740 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uace0 \uc810\uc720\uc728\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc2a4\ud14c\uc774\ube14\ucf54\uc778\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ub85c\ud14c\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. 2022\ub144\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \ud604 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 42\uac1c\uc6d4\uc9f8 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 2025\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30\ubd80\ud130\ub294 2015~2018\ub144 \ud328\ud134\uacfc\uc758 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud06c\ub85c\uc2a4\uc5d0\uc14b \uc0c1\uad00\uad00\uacc4\ub3c4 \ubcc0\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. BTC\uc758 \uc77c\uac04 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uacfc S&#038;P 500\uc758 \uc0c1\uad00\uacc4\uc218\ub294 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 0.58\uc5d0\uc11c 2026\ub144 2\ubd84\uae30 0.12\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \uae08\uacfc\uc758 \uc0c1\uad00\uacc4\uc218\ub294 0.57\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc628\uccb4\uc778 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 2\ubd84\uae30 BTC\uc758 MVRV \ube44\uc728\uc774 1\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\uace0, \uc774\uc775 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294 \uacf5\uae09 \ube44\uc911\uc740 \ud1b5\uacc4\uc801 \ud558\ub2e8 \ubc34\ub4dc \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00 3\ubd84\uae30 \uc9c4\uc785\uc744 \uc55e\ub454 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \u2018\ucd95\uc801(Accumulation) \uad6c\uac04\u2019\uacfc \ubd80\ud569\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc5d4\ud130\ud2f0 \uc870\uc815 NUPL\uc740 \u2018\ud56d\ubcf5(Capitulation)\u2019\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uacf5\ud3ec \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ubbf8\uacb0\uc81c\uc57d\uc815(open interest)\uc740 2025\ub144 \ub9d0 \uace0\uc810 \ub300\ube44 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. BTC\ub294 6\ub9cc4,140\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c, 24\uc2dc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 1.6% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc7a5\uae30 \ubc14\ub2e5 \ud615\uc131\uacfc \ucd95\uc801 \uad6d\uba74<\/h3>\n<p>2026\ub144 3\ubd84\uae30 \uc911\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uac08\uc218\ub85d \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30 \ubc14\ub2e5\uc744 \ub2e4\uc838\uac00\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uad00\uce21\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud22c\uae30\uc801 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \uc218\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uace0 \uc7a5\uae30 \ubcf4\uc720\uac00 \ub298\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ud3ed\ub4f1\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ub290\ub9ac\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\ud615 \ucd95\uc801 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \uc804\uac1c\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ubc14\ub2e5\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \ub808\ubc84\ub9ac\uc9c0\ub294 \ud53c\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubc14\ub78c\uc9c1\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc0c1\uad00\uad00\uacc4 \ubcc0\ud654\uc640 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n<p>\uc62c\ud574 2\ubd84\uae30 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 S&#038;P 500 \uc0c1\uad00\uacc4\uc218\uac00 0.12\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae09\ub77d\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc911\uc2ec\uc758 \uad00\ucc30\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \uc62e\uae38 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub300\uc2e0 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uae08 \uc0c1\uad00\uacc4\uc218\uac00 0.57\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc628 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud574 \uae08\uacfc \uac70\uc2dc \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc810\uac80\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uace0\uc720 \ub274\uc2a4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654\u00b7\uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\ub294 \uac70\uc2dc \ud658\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 2026\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4.0% \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba70 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc81c\uc57d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 7\uc6d4 \ucd08 \ubbf8\uad6d \ud604\ubb3c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 ETF\uc758 \uc21c\uc720\uc785\uc774 \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uac8c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uba70 \uae30\uad00 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac14\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc774 \uc870\uc6a9\ud55c \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\ub974(iron condors) \ub4f1 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc804\uc81c\uc758 \ud30c\uc0dd \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc81c\uc5b8\ub3c4 \ub098\uc654\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uacb0\uc81c\uc57d\uc815\uc774 2025\ub144 \ub9d0 \uace0\uc810 \ub300\ube44 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub0ae\uc544, \ub2f9\uc7a5 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uae09\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uccad\uc0b0(\ub9ac\ud034\ub370\uc774\uc158) \uc704\ud5d8\uc740 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8 \uc2dc \uc9c0\uc5f0\ub41c \ud56d\ubcf5\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00 \ucd09\ubc1c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0\ub294 \uacbd\uacc4\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4. \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 \ubcf4\uc218\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0, \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(IV)\uc774 \ub0ae\uc744 \ub54c \uc7a5\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ubd84\ud560\ub85c \ucd95\uc801\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cBTC \ubc14\ub2e5 \uc654\ub098\u201d \uae00\ub798\uc2a4\ub178\ub4dc\u00b7\ucf54\uc778\ubca0\uc774\uc2a4, \ubc14\ub2e5 \ud615\uc131 \ucd08\uae30 \uc9c4\ub2e8\u2026\uc720\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7\uae08 \uc0c1\uad00 \uac15\ud654, \uc2a4\ud14c\uc774\ube14\ucf54\uc778 \ub85c\ud14c\uc774\uc158\u00b7\ucd95\uc801 \uc2e0\ud638 \ud3ec\ucc29. \ub2e8 \u2018\uacac\uace0\ud55c \uc800\uc810\u2019 \ub2e8\uc815\uc740 \uc2dc\uae30\uc0c1\uc870.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51860","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201cBTC \ubc14\ub2e5 \uc654\ub098\u201d \uae00\ub798\uc2a4\ub178\ub4dc\u00b7\ucf54\uc778\ubca0\uc774\uc2a4, \ubc14\ub2e5 \ud615\uc131 \ucd08\uae30 \uc9c4\ub2e8\u2026\uc720\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7\uae08 \uc0c1\uad00 \uac15\ud654, \uc2a4\ud14c\uc774\ube14\ucf54\uc778 \ub85c\ud14c\uc774\uc158\u00b7\ucd95\uc801 \uc2e0\ud638 \ud3ec\ucc29. \ub2e8 \u2018\uacac\uace0\ud55c \uc800\uc810\u2019 \ub2e8\uc815\uc740 \uc2dc\uae30\uc0c1\uc870.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ea%b8%80%eb%9e%98%ec%8a%a4%eb%85%b8%eb%93%9c%c2%b7%ec%bd%94%ec%9d%b8%eb%b2%a0%ec%9d%b4%ec%8a%a4-%ec%9c%a0%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ec%82%ac%ec%9d%b4%ed%81%b4%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b8-3%eb%b6%84\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 4.9.10\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"VT Markets -\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\uae00\ub798\uc2a4\ub178\ub4dc\u00b7\ucf54\uc778\ubca0\uc774\uc2a4 \u201c\uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 3\ubd84\uae30 \uc7a5\uc138\u2026\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \ubc14\ub2e5 \uc2e0\ud638 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