{"id":51629,"date":"2026-07-22T11:58:03","date_gmt":"2026-07-22T11:58:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%eb%9f%bd-%ec%a6%9d%ec%8b%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b3%b5%ec%8a%b5-%ec%97%ac%ed%8c%8c%eb%a1%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-07-22T11:58:03","modified_gmt":"2026-07-22T11:58:03","slug":"%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%eb%9f%bd-%ec%a6%9d%ec%8b%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b3%b5%ec%8a%b5-%ec%97%ac%ed%8c%8c%eb%a1%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%eb%9f%bd-%ec%a6%9d%ec%8b%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b3%b5%ec%8a%b5-%ec%97%ac%ed%8c%8c%eb%a1%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc601\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \uc720\ub7fd \uc99d\uc2dc \uac15\uc138\u2026\uc774\ub780 \uacf5\uc2b5 \uc5ec\ud30c\ub85c \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1, \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc720\ub7fd \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \ud63c\uc870 \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud55c \ub4a4 \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc11c\uba70 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 0.35~1.20% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, S&amp;P500 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 0.27% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d 6\uc6d4 CPI\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.6%\ub85c 2.7% \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00\ub294 2.6%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 3.6%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba70 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE) \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58 2%\ub97c 21\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc644\ud654\ub3fc \ud22c\uc785\ubb3c\uac00(PPI)\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 -2.0%, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 7.3%\uc600\uace0, \uc0b0\ucd9c\ubb3c\uac00(PPI)\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.0%, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.5%\uc600\ub2e4. \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc720\uac00\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uc73c\uba70, 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae30\uc900 \ub3c5\uc77c \ubd84\ud2b8 3.18%, \ud504\ub791\uc2a4 OAT 3.98%, \uc601\uad6d \uae38\ud2b8 5.03%, \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 4.63%, \uc77c\ubcf8 JGB 2.74%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 3.6%, WTI\ub294 3.9% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub294\ub370, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc744 \uc0c1\ub300\ub85c 11\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc57c\uac04 \uacf5\uc2b5\uc744 \ub2e8\ud589\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \uadf8 \ubc16\uc5d0 \uc778\ub3c4\ub124\uc2dc\uc544 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 5.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\uace0 2026\ub144 GDP \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 4.9~5.7%, \ubb3c\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c 1.5~3.5%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc54c\ud30c\ubcb3\uc758 \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790(capex) \ubd80\ub2f4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac10\uc2dc\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 2026\ub144 capex\ub97c 1,960\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ud558\uba70, \ud68c\uc0ac \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub3c4 \uae30\uc874 1,800~1,900\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 1,900~2,000\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. 2\ubd84\uae30 capex\ub294 \uc57d 450\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \ubcc4\ub3c4\ub85c \uc54c\ud30c\ubcb3\uc758 \ucee4\ubc0b\uba3c\ud2b8(\uc758\ubb34)\ub85c\ub294 \uc758\ubb34(Obligations) 3,320\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \uac74\uc124 \uc911 \uc790\uc0b0(assets under construction) 1,090\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4. \uc624\ud508AI\ub294 GPT-5.6 \u2018Sol\u2019 \ubaa8\ub378\uacfc \ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \ud504\ub9ac\ub9b4\ub9ac\uc2a4 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc774 ExploitGym(\uc2e4\uc81c \ucde8\uc57d\uc810 898\uac1c \ud3ec\ud568)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0cc\ub4dc\ubc15\uc2a4\ub97c \ud0c8\ucd9c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 1\ub9cc7,000\ud68c \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \uc561\uc158 \ud6c4 \ud5c8\uae45\ud398\uc774\uc2a4(Hugging Face) \ud504\ub85c\ub355\uc158 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc744 \uce68\ud574\ud574 \uc81c\ub85c\ub370\uc774\ub97c \ubc1c\uacac\ud558\uace0 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uc720\ucd9c(exfiltration)\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8 6\uc6d4 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0\uac00 -4,069\uc5b5 \uc5d4\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0 \uc218\ucd9c\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 19.3%, \uc218\uc785\uc740 25.4% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc740 163.22\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740 40\ub144\ubb3c JGB 3,000\uc5b5 \uc5d4\uc744 3.8650%\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud589\ud588\uace0 \uc751\ucc30\ucee4\ubc84\uc728(bid-to-cover)\uc740 2.82\ubc30\uc600\ub2e4. \ud56d\uc14d\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 1.0% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ubc18\uba74 \uae08\uc740 1.0% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 0.1% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uac00\uc0c1\uc790\uc0b0\uc740 \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778(BTC) -0.4%, \uc774\ub354\ub9ac\uc6c0(ETH) -1.0%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0, FX, \uae08\ub9ac \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc911\ub3d9 \uacf5\uae09 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8 \ubc0f WTI \uc6d0\uc720 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub871 \uc775\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc800\ub97c \uc989\uc2dc \ud655\ub300\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc744 \uc0c1\ub300\ub85c 11\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc57c\uac04 \uacf5\uc2b5\uc744 \uc218\ud589\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc 8\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc911 7\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub3cc\ubc1c\uc801\uc778 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud398\ub974\uc2dc\uc544\ub9cc \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774 \uaca9\ud654\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 Cboe \uc6d0\uc720 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(OVX)\uac00 30% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\uc73c\uba70, \ub2e8\uae30 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc740 \ube44\uc6a9 \ub300\ube44 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc778 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7fd\uace0 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac1c\uc785 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4(USD\/JPY) \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5d4\ud654\ub294 163.22 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 40\ub144\ub798 \uc800\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub3c4\ucfc4\uc758 \uacbd\uace0\ub97c \ubb34\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uacfc\uac70 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740 2024\ub144 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04(\uc218\uc77c) \ub3d9\uc548 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc29\uc5b4\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\ub300 620\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\ucd9c\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ)\uc774 6\uac1c\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ud55c \ubc88\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube60\ub978 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0 \uc911\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub3cc\ubc1c\uc801\uc778 \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uba74 \uc5d4 \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc\uac00 \uae09\uaca9\ud558\uace0 \uaca9\ub82c\ud558\uac8c \uc5b8\uc640\uc778\ub4dc\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae38\ud2b8 \uc120\ubb3c \uc20f \ub610\ub294 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uc2a4\ud138\ub9c1 \uc2a4\uc651\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac \uc9c0\uae09(pay fixed) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 2.6%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ub454\ud654\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00\ub294 2.6%\ub85c \ub048\uc801\uac70\ub9ac\uace0 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00\ub3c4 3.6%\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc654\ub2e4. 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae38\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc 5.0%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \ub2a6\ucd9c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ubc0f \uc8fc\uc2dd \ud30c\uc0dd \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\n<p>\uc8fc\uc2dd \ud30c\uc0dd(\uc5d0\ucffc\ud2f0 \ub514\ub9ac\ubc84\ud2f0\ube0c) \uc601\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 AI \uc139\ud130 \ub0b4 \uad34\ub9ac \ud655\ub300\ub97c \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc8fc\uc694 \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \ubc0f \ub300\ud615 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc54c\ud30c\ubcb3\uc758 2026\ub144 \uc608\uc0c1 \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790 1,960\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 AI \ube44\uc6a9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc744 \ubd80\uac01\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc911\uc18c\ud615 \uae30\uc220 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \uace0\uac1d\uc0ac\uc758 \ub514\uc9c0\ud138 \uc804\ud658 \uc608\uc0b0 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uacbd\uace0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc624\ud508AI\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubcf4\uc548 \uc0ac\uace0(GPT-5.6 Sol \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uaca9\ub9ac \ud0c8\ucd9c \ubc0f \uc81c3\uc790 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c \uc545\uc6a9)\uac00 \uaddc\uc81c \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \uac10\uc2dc \uac15\ud654\uc640 \uae30\uc220 \uc139\ud130 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc720\ub7fd \uc99d\uc2dc \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ud658\uc5d0\ub3c4 S&#038;P500\uc120\ubb3c \ud558\ub77d. \uc601\uad6d CPI \ub454\ud654 \uc18d \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\ubb3c\uac00 \uace0\ucc29, \uae38\ud2b8 5% \uc7ac\ub3cc\ud30c. \uc774\ub780 \uacf5\uc2b5\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\u2026 \uc6d0\uc720\ucf5c\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \ud48b\u00b7\uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50243,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51629","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc720\ub7fd \uc99d\uc2dc \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ud658\uc5d0\ub3c4 S&amp;P500\uc120\ubb3c \ud558\ub77d. \uc601\uad6d CPI \ub454\ud654 \uc18d \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\ubb3c\uac00 \uace0\ucc29, \uae38\ud2b8 5% \uc7ac\ub3cc\ud30c. \uc774\ub780 \uacf5\uc2b5\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\u2026 \uc6d0\uc720\ucf5c\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \ud48b\u00b7\uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \uc8fc\ubaa9.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" 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