{"id":51565,"date":"2026-07-21T19:57:43","date_gmt":"2026-07-21T19:57:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%b0%98\/"},"modified":"2026-07-21T19:57:43","modified_gmt":"2026-07-21T19:57:43","slug":"%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%b0%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%b0%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uad00\uc138\uc5d0 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc81c\ub3d9\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc0c1\ud68c \uc720\uc9c0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c\uc81c\ub124\ub784(Societe Generale)\uc740 6\uc6d4 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654\ub85c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 1.4250\uc5d0\uc11c 1.40\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud558\ub358 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec(CAD) \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \uba48\ucdc4\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c4\ub2e8\ud588\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc774 50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(1.3991 \ubd80\uadfc)\uc744 \uc7ac\ud0c8\ud658\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud3c9\uade0\ud68c\uadc0(Mean-reversion) \ud750\ub984\ub3c4 \ucde8\uc57d\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 CPI\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.8%\ub85c \uc644\ud654\ub410\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00\ub294 1.8%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824 2020\ub144 12\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BoC)\uc774 \u201c6\uc6d4\uc5d4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c \ub4a4 2027\ub144 \ucd08 2%\ub85c \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0c9\uac01\ub420 \uac83\u201d\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\uc874 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \ubd80\ud569\ud55c\ub2e4. BoC\ub294 \ud604 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \u2018\uc801\uc808\u2019\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uba38\ub2c8\ub9c8\ucf13\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 18bp\uc758 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB) +45bp, \ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) +42bp, \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE) +41bp\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ub0ae\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubb34\uc5ed \uad00\ub828 \uc870\uce58\ub3c4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc555\ubc15 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 200\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc0b0 \uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc2e0\uaddc 50% \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ub3c4\uc785\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\ub3c4 \ubcc0\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44(UST) 2\ub144\ubb3c\uacfc \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uad6d\ucc44(GCAN) 2\ub144\ubb3c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub294 6bp \ud655\ub300\ub3fc 136bp\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc55e\uc11c 142bp\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd95\uc18c\ub418\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\uc804\ub410\ub2e4. \ucc28\ud2b8\uc0c1 1.3970\uc774 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 5\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\ub300\uc778 1.3870\/1.3850\uc744 \ud5a5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 1.4150\/1.4175 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc57d\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc2e0\uaddc \ubb34\uc5ed\uc7a5\ubcbd\uc774 \uc804\ud615\uc801\uc778 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud328\ud134\uc744 \uad50\ub780\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec(CAD) \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc758 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 2.8%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\uac00 1.8%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BoC)\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc57d\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uba38\ub2c8\ub9c8\ucf13\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1\uc744 18bp\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\ub3c4\ub85d \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \uc774\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc CAD\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD) \ub300\ube44 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\uac00 \uc815\uccb4\ub418\uba70, 50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120 1.3991\uc744 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubc0f \uc815\ucc45 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 2\ub144\ubb3c\uacfc \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uad6d\ucc44 2\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\uac00 136bp\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 CAD \ub300\ube44 USD\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud798\uc774 \uac15\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ud2b9\ud788 1.3970\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ubc84\ud2f0\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc870\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 USD\/CAD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ud658\uc728\uc774 1.4150~1.4175\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \ub118\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74, 1.3850\ub300 \ud558\ubc29\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc774 \uc804\uc220\uc801(\ub2e8\uae30) \ub300\uc751 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 200\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc0b0 \uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0 \ubd80\uacfc\ud55c \uc2e0\uaddc 50% \uad00\uc138\ub294 \ud070 \uc7a5\uc560\ubb3c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uc804\uccb4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc758 \uc57d 77%\ub97c \uad6c\ub9e4\ud574\uc654\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \ud2b9\ud788 \uc911\ub300\ud55c \ubb34\uc5ed \uc555\ubc15\uc778\ub370, \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub294 \ub9e4\ub144 5,000\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub118\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \ub0a8\ucabd \uad6d\uacbd(\ubbf8\uad6d)\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\ucd9c\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\uc5d0 \uc758\uc874\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \ubb34\uc5ed \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc804\uac1c\ub418\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ud1b5\ud654\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 CAD \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ubc18\ub4f1 \uba48\ucd98 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uacbd\ubcf4\u201d \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub85c BoC \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300 18bp\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uace0 50% \uad00\uc138\u00b7\ubbf8\uce90 2\ub144 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc 136bp\uac00 USD\/CAD \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc555\ub825.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51565","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\ubc18\ub4f1 \uba48\ucd98 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uacbd\ubcf4\u201d \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub85c BoC \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300 18bp\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uace0 50% \uad00\uc138\u00b7\ubbf8\uce90 2\ub144 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc 136bp\uac00 USD\/CAD \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc555\ub825.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%b0%98\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 4.9.10\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"VT Markets -\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uad00\uc138\uc5d0 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc81c\ub3d9\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc0c1\ud68c \uc720\uc9c0 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u201c\ubc18\ub4f1 \uba48\ucd98 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uacbd\ubcf4\u201d \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub85c BoC \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300 18bp\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uace0 50% \uad00\uc138\u00b7\ubbf8\uce90 2\ub144 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc 136bp\uac00 USD\/CAD \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc555\ub825.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%b0%98\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-21T19:57:43+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-21T19:57:43+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uad00\uc138\uc5d0 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc81c\ub3d9\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc0c1\ud68c \uc720\uc9c0 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u201c\ubc18\ub4f1 \uba48\ucd98 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uacbd\ubcf4\u201d \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub85c BoC \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300 18bp\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uace0 50% \uad00\uc138\u00b7\ubbf8\uce90 2\ub144 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc 136bp\uac00 USD\/CAD \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc555\ub825.\" \/>\n\t\t<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"aioseo-schema\">\n\t\t\t{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"BlogPosting\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.vtmarkets.com\\\/kr-asia\\\/live-updates\\\/%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%c2%b7%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%b0%98\\\/#blogposting\",\"name\":\"\\uce90\\ub098\\ub2e4 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