{"id":51562,"date":"2026-07-21T18:58:54","date_gmt":"2026-07-21T18:58:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8-%eb%b3%b4%ed%97%98%ec%82%ac%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%98-%ec%b4%88%ec%9e%a5%ea%b8%b0-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84jgb-%eb%a7%a4%ec%88%98-%ec%86%8d-%ec%9e%ac%ec%a0%95-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-07-21T18:58:54","modified_gmt":"2026-07-21T18:58:54","slug":"%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8-%eb%b3%b4%ed%97%98%ec%82%ac%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%98-%ec%b4%88%ec%9e%a5%ea%b8%b0-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84jgb-%eb%a7%a4%ec%88%98-%ec%86%8d-%ec%9e%ac%ec%a0%95-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8-%eb%b3%b4%ed%97%98%ec%82%ac%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%98-%ec%b4%88%ec%9e%a5%ea%b8%b0-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84jgb-%eb%a7%a4%ec%88%98-%ec%86%8d-%ec%9e%ac%ec%a0%95-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc77c\ubcf8, \ubcf4\ud5d8\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc758 \ucd08\uc7a5\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44(JGB) \ub9e4\uc218 \uc18d \uc7ac\uc815 \uae30\uc870 \u2018\uc120\uc81c\uc801\u2019 \uc804\ud658\u2026\uc5d4\ud654 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uc6b0\ub824"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc77c\ubcf8 \ub0b4\uac01\uc740 \ub2e4\uce74\uc774\uce58 \uc0ac\ub098\uc5d0 \ucd1d\ub9ac \ucde8\uc784 \ud6c4 \uccab \uacbd\uc81c\u00b7\uc7ac\uc815 \uc6b4\uc601\uc9c0\uce68\uc744 \uc2b9\uc778\ud558\uace0, \ub2e8\uae30 \uc7ac\uc815\uac74\uc804\ud654\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098 \u2018\ucc45\uc784\uac10 \uc788\uace0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778\u2019 \uc9c0\ucd9c\ub85c \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc804\ud658\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uacc4\ud68d\uc740 \ub0b4\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc2dc\uc791\ub418\ub294 \ud68c\uacc4\uc5f0\ub3c4\ub97c \uc774 \uc811\uadfc\ubc95\uc758 \uc6d0\ub144\uc73c\ub85c \uaddc\uc815\ud558\uace0, \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4\ub97c \ud575\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c 17\uac1c \ubd84\uc57c\uc5d0\uc11c 2040\ud68c\uacc4\uc5f0\ub3c4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacf5\uacf5\u00b7\ubbfc\uac04 \ud569\uc0b0 370\uc870\uc5d4 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \ud22c\uc790 \ub2ec\uc131\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 2027\ud68c\uacc4\uc5f0\ub3c4\ubd80\ud130 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc608\uc0b0 \ubc30\uc815\uc744 \ub3c4\uc785\ud558\uace0, \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ud574 \uc628 \u2018\ub2e8\ub144\ub3c4 \uae30\uc900 \uae30\ucd08\uc7ac\uc815\uc218\uc9c0(Primary surplus) \ud751\uc790\u2019 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 \ud3d0\uae30\ud558\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0, \uc2dc\uac04 \uacbd\uacfc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubd80\ucc44\ube44\uc728(\ubd80\ucc44\/GDP)\uc744 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \ub0ae\ucd94\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4. \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 \uc2e4\uc9c8 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 1% \ucd08\uacfc, \uba85\ubaa9 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 3% \ucd08\uacfc\uac00 \ud3ec\ud568\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801\uc778 \uc2dd\ud488 \uad00\ub828 \uc138\uae08 \uc778\ud558(\uac10\uc138) \uc5ec\ubd80\ub294 8\uc6d4 \ucd08\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacb0\ub860\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc740 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ)\uc758 \ucc45\uc784\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc218\uae09 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ubcf4\ud5d8\uc0ac\uac00 6\uc6d4 \ucd08\uc7a5\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44(JGB)\ub97c 3\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\ub300 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub85c \ub9e4\uc785\ud574, 5\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c \uae08\ub9ac \uace0\uc810 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba70 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud574\uc84c\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc0dd\uba85\u00b7\uc190\ud574\ubcf4\ud5d8\uc0ac\ub294 \ub9cc\uae30 10\ub144 \ucd08\uacfc JGB\ub97c \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218 6,305\uc5b5\uc5d4\uc73c\ub85c \ub298\ub838\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 2023\ub144 7\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc6d4\uac04 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \ud574\uc678\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub294 2022\ub144 12\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\ub300 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub85c 2\ub144\ubb3c\uacfc 5\ub144\ubb3c\uc744 \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4. BoJ\uac00 6\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\uace0, \uacbd\uc81c \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub41c \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ud480\uc774\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Fiscal Expansion And Currency Volatility<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2e4\uce74\uc774\uce58 \ucd1d\ub9ac\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc6b4\uc601\uc9c0\uce68 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc7ac\uc815\ub82c\ub418\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc774 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \uc774\ud0c8\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 2040\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacf5\uacf5\u00b7\ubbfc\uac04 \ud569\uc0b0 370\uc870\uc5d4 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc7ac\uc815 \ud655\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5d4\ud654\uc758 \uc911\uae30 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc7ac\uc815\uc758\ud560 \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \uc804\ud658\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ud655\ub300\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc0dd\uba85\ubcf4\ud5d8\uc0ac\ub294 \ucd08\uc7a5\uae30 JGB\ub97c 6,305\uc5b5\uc5d4 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ucd08\uc7a5\uae30\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uad6d\ub0b4 \ub9e4\uc218 \uac04 \uc904\ub2e4\ub9ac\uae30\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uace1\uc120 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \uad6d\ub0b4 \uae30\uad00 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\ub2e8\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 JGB \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \u2018\uae08\ub9ac\uace1\uc120 \ud3c9\ud0c4\ud654(\ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub2dd)\u2019\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad8c\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Derivative Opportunities And Fixed-Income Risks<\/h3>\n<p>\uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c BoJ\uc758 \uae34\ucd95\uacfc \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc7ac\uc815\uc9c0\ucd9c\uc774 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc9c4\ud589\ub420 \ub54c USD\/JPY\ub294 \uc218\uc8fc\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 5%~8%\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc790\uae08\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcf8\uad6d \ud68c\uadc0(\ub9ac\ud328\ud2b8\ub9ac\uc5d0\uc774\uc158) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub85c USD\/JPY \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 USD\/JPY \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacfc\uc18c\ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c, \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc5ed\uc2dc \ud604\uc7ac \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc815\ubd80\uac00 8\uc6d4 \ucd08\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc2dd\ud488 \uad00\ub828 \uc138\uae08 \uc778\ud558 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2e8\uae30 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\ub3c4 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ud574\uc678\ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc758 2\ub144\u00b75\ub144 JGB \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 2022\ub144 \ub9d0\uc758 \u2018\ud22c\ub9e4(\uce90\ud53c\ud2a4\ub808\uc774\uc158)\u2019 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc5f0\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c \ucc44\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c \ud574\uc678\uc790\uae08 \uc774\ud0c8\uc774 \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub4c0\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc57d\uc138(\ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc) \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud568\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uae34\ucd95 \uc77c\ubcf8\u201d \ub05d? \ub2e4\uce74\uc774\uce58 \ub0b4\uac01, \uc7ac\uc815\uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc801\uadf9\uc9c0\ucd9c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud558\uba70 2040\ub144 370\uc870\uc5d4 \ud22c\uc790 \uccad\uc0ac\uc9c4. \uae30\ucd08\uc7ac\uc815 \ud751\uc790 \ud3d0\uae30\u00b7\ubd80\ucc44\ube44\uc728 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc81c\uc2dc \uc18d \uc5d4\u00b7JGB\u00b7USD\/JPY \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50118,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51562","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\uae34\ucd95 \uc77c\ubcf8\u201d \ub05d? \ub2e4\uce74\uc774\uce58 \ub0b4\uac01, \uc7ac\uc815\uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc801\uadf9\uc9c0\ucd9c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud558\uba70 2040\ub144 370\uc870\uc5d4 \ud22c\uc790 \uccad\uc0ac\uc9c4. \uae30\ucd08\uc7ac\uc815 \ud751\uc790 \ud3d0\uae30\u00b7\ubd80\ucc44\ube44\uc728 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