{"id":51443,"date":"2026-07-20T11:27:47","date_gmt":"2026-07-20T11:27:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-1-1450-%ea%b7%bc%ec%b2%98%ec%84%9c-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-07-20T11:27:47","modified_gmt":"2026-07-20T11:27:47","slug":"%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-1-1450-%ea%b7%bc%ec%b2%98%ec%84%9c-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-1-1450-%ea%b7%bc%ec%b2%98%ec%84%9c-%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%a9%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc720\ub85c\ud654, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 1.1450 \uadfc\ucc98\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569\u2026\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870 \uc18d ECB \uacb0\uc815 \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uc57d\uc138 \uc18d\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 1.1450\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 7\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\ud574\uc9c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 \uae30\uc0ac \uc791\uc131 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900 0.1% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 100.65 \uc548\ud30e\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \uac00\uaca9\uc740 7\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960\uc744 85.6%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 65.8%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uc218\uce58\ub85c, 6\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ud558\ud68c\ud55c \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc EUR\/USD\uc758 \ud1a4\uc774 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \ub2e8\uc77c\ud1b5\ud654\ub294 \ub2e4\ub978 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uc911\ubd80\uc0ac\ub839\ubd80(CENTCOM)\uac00 \uc774\ub780\uc744 \uc0c1\ub300\ub85c 9\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc57c\uac04 \uacf5\uc2b5\uc744 \uc774\ubbf8 \u0437\u0430\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0448 concluded(\uc885\uacb0)\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud788\uba74\uc11c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub41c \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. CENTCOM\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uce58\uac00 \ucd5c\uc18c 3\uba85\uc758 \ubbf8\uad70 \uc7a5\ubcd1 \uc0ac\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubcf4\ubcf5\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uc774\uc81c \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB) \uacb0\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. ECB\ub294 6\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc815\ucc45 \uc131\uba85\uacfc \ud06c\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2f4 \ub77c\uac00\ub974\ub4dc \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \uad00\uc804 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub2e4. ECB\uc758 \uc608\uce58\uae08\ub9ac(Deposit facility rate)\ub294 \uc5f0\uac04 8\ucc28\ub840 \uc815\ub840\ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uacb0\uc815\ub418\uba70, \ub2e4\uc74c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub294 2026\ub144 7\uc6d4 23\uc77c(\ubaa9) 12:15\ub85c \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4\ub294 2.25%\ub85c, \uc9c1\uc804\uce58(2.25%)\uc640 \uac19\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>ECB \uc815\ucc45\ud68c\uc758\uc640 \uc720\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\n<p>7\uc6d4 23\uc77c ECB \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0, \ud604\uc7ac 1.1450 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uc870\uc6a9\ud55c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\ub294 EUR\/USD \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \uc8fc\uc694 ECB \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815 \uc804 \uba70\uce60 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc720\ub85c\ud654 1\uc8fc\uc77c\ubb3c \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 1.5%~2%\uac00\ub7c9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \uc7a6\uc558\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub77c\uba74 \ub77c\uac00\ub974\ub4dc \ucd1d\uc7ac \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<h3>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694<\/h3>\n\n<p>\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870, \ud2b9\ud788 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc774\ub780 \uacf5\uc2b5\uc744 \uac04\uacfc\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uc548 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\uac00 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud558\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac 100.65\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uae09\ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc720\ub85c \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ucc28\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) EUR\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ub3cc\ubc1c\uc801\uc778 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc624\ud504(risk-off) \uc804\ud658\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n<p>\ud55c\ud3b8 CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ub3c4\uad6c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc774\ub2ec \ub9d0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc774 85.6%\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \u2018\uace0\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\u2019 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc635\uc158\uc774\ub098 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc5f0\ub3d9 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d(USD-bound pairs)\uc5d0\uc11c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4)\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc815\uc9c0(\ub3d9\uacb0)\u2019 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud55c, \uc2dc\uac04\uac00\uce58 \uac10\uc18c(\uc138\ud0c0)\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc720\ub85c\ud654, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 1.1450\uc120 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc720\uc9c0. Fed 7\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960 85.6%\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218 100.65 \uc57d\uc138. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\ub780 \uacf5\uc2b5\ubc1c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 ECB \ud68c\uc758 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300, \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50199,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51443","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc720\ub85c\ud654, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 1.1450\uc120 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc720\uc9c0. 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