{"id":51151,"date":"2026-07-09T17:29:02","date_gmt":"2026-07-09T17:29:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/imf-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%9e%ac%ea%b0%80%ec%86%8d%ec%97%90-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%84%b8%ea%b3%84-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ed%95%98%ed%96%a5\/"},"modified":"2026-07-09T17:29:02","modified_gmt":"2026-07-09T17:29:02","slug":"imf-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%9e%ac%ea%b0%80%ec%86%8d%ec%97%90-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%84%b8%ea%b3%84-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ed%95%98%ed%96%a5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/imf-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%9e%ac%ea%b0%80%ec%86%8d%ec%97%90-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%84%b8%ea%b3%84-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ed%95%98%ed%96%a5\/","title":{"rendered":"IMF, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d\uc5d0 2026\ub144 \uc138\uacc4 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd \ud558\ud5a5\u2026\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud655\ub300"},"content":{"rendered":"

BNY\ub294 IMF\uac00 2026\ub144 \uc138\uacc4 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c 3.0%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucdc4\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\ucd9c\uad6d, \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ube44\uc911\uc774 \ud070 \uacbd\uc81c\uad8c, \uc800\uc18c\ub4dd \uc218\uc785\uad6d \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \ubd88\uade0\ub4f1\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uc88c\uc6b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 2027\ub144 3.4%\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ub294 2024~2025\ub144\uc5d0 \uae30\ub85d\ub41c \ud3c9\uade0 3.5%\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubc11\ub3c4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubc30\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uace0\ud3c9\uac00\ub41c \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158, \ub454\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \u2018\uac00\uc18d\u2019 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\uc870\uc815\u00b7\ud6a1\ubcf4(\ucf58\uc194\ub9ac\ub370\uc774\uc158)\u2019 \uad6d\uba74\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc804\ud658\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ub9e5\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \ud3c9\uac00\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubb3c\uac00 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c IMF\ub294 \uc138\uacc4 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2025\ub144 4.1%\uc5d0\uc11c 2026\ub144 4.7%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \ub4a4 2027\ub144 3.9%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud574, \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc815\uccb4\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \ucf54\uba58\ud130\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uad00\uc138\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\uac00\ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ)\uacfc \ub274\uc695 \uc5f0\uc740\uc758 \uacbd\uace0\ub97c \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc7ac\ucda9\ub3cc \uac00\ub2a5\uc131, \ubb34\uc5ed \ubd84\uc808\ud654, \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uc8fc\ub3c4\uc758 \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uacfc \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \ud558\ubc29 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub3c4 \uac70\ub860\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub3c4\uc804\uacfc\uc81c\uc640 \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc704\ud5d8<\/h3>\n

2026\ub144 \uc138\uacc4 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uac00 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c 3.0%\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub41c \uac83\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc27d\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \uc804\uac1c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc138\uacc4 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2026\ub144 4.7%\ub85c \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uacbd\uc81c \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ub048\uc801\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \uc870\ud569\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801\uc778 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \uc694\uad6c\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc2e4\uc801 \uc2dc\uc98c\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ub298\uc5b4\ub09c \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc57d\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \uc18c\ud654\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 S&P 500\uc758 12\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc120\ud589 \uc8fc\uac00\uc218\uc775\ube44\uc728(Forward P\/E)\uc740 27\ubc30 \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c, \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \ud3c9\uade0\uc778 16\ubc30\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc8fc\uac00\uac00 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc120\ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubd80\uc815\uc801 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\uc5d0 \ud2b9\ud788 \ucde8\uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uacfc \uc139\ud130 \ub85c\ud14c\uc774\uc158<\/h3>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574 \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100 \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubcf4\ud638\uc801 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ucd94\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 CPI\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 4.5%\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc810\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc544\uc9c1 \ud1b5\uc81c\uad8c\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\ub294 \ub2f9\uc0ac\uc758 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc758 \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\ub3c4 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uc870\uc815\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \uc704\ud611 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ud558\ub098\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc139\ud130\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc0ac\ub294 \uace0\ud3c9\uac00\ub41c \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801\uc778 \uc139\ud130\ub85c\uc758 \ub85c\ud14c\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub450\uace0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uace0\ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uc800\uc131\uc7a5\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc57d\uc138\uc7a5\uc744 \ucd08\ub798\ud588\ub358 1970\ub144\ub300 \ud6c4\ubc18\uc758 \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uc5f0\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

IMF, 2026\ub144 \uc138\uacc4 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 3.0%\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5\u2026\ubb3c\uac00 4.7% \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d \u2018\uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\u2019 \uacbd\uace0\ub4f1. \uace0\ud3c9\uac00(P\/E 27\ubc30)\u00b7\ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \ub454\ud654 \uc18d \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uc870\uc815 \ubcc0\uc218, \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\u00b7\uc139\ud130 \ub85c\ud14c\uc774\uc158 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50286,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51151","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51151","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51151"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51151\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50286"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51151"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51151"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51151"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}