{"id":51125,"date":"2026-07-09T11:29:04","date_gmt":"2026-07-09T11:29:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/rba-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%8b%9c%ec%a0%90-%eb%85%bc%ec%9d%98%eb%a1%9c-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80-aud-usd-%eb%b0%95%ec%8a%a4%ea%b6%8c-0-6980\/"},"modified":"2026-07-09T11:29:04","modified_gmt":"2026-07-09T11:29:04","slug":"rba-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%8b%9c%ec%a0%90-%eb%85%bc%ec%9d%98%eb%a1%9c-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80-aud-usd-%eb%b0%95%ec%8a%a4%ea%b6%8c-0-6980","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/rba-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%8b%9c%ec%a0%90-%eb%85%bc%ec%9d%98%eb%a1%9c-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80-aud-usd-%eb%b0%95%ec%8a%a4%ea%b6%8c-0-6980\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810 \ub17c\uc758\ub85c \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\u2026 AUD\/USD \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c, 0.6980 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c \uc704\ud5d8 \ud655\ub300"},"content":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD\ub294 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0\uc11c \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ud2c0 \uc804 0.6921\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ub4a4 0.6925 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub2e4\uac00 0.6946\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uace0, \uc774\ud6c4 0.6907\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub9b0 \ub4a4 0.01% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c 0.6929\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 0.6915~0.6950 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

1~3\uc8fc \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 0.6959\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac70\ub798 \ubc94\uc704\uac00 0.6870~0.6980\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. 0.6900\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ud55c 0.6980 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ub3cc\ud30c \uc704\ud5d8(\uac00\ub2a5\uc131)\uc740 \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc544\uc9c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud0c4\ub825\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ud655\uc7a5\ub418\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. 1~3\uac1c\uc6d4 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \ubc14\uc774\uc5b4\uc2a4\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc57d\uc138\uc774\uba70, \ud558\ubc29 \ub808\ubca8\ub85c 0.6707\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 0.6835\uac00 \uae30\uc900(\ub808\ud37c\ub7f0\uc2a4) \uc9c0\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Short-Term Outlook and Drivers<\/h3>\n

\ud638\uc8fc\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc624\ub298\uc740 0.6630~0.6680\uc758 \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc8fc \ucd08\ubc18 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \ud558\ub77d \uc774\ud6c4 \ud1b5\ud654\uac00 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uc758 \uc720\uc758\ubbf8\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc120 \uc870\uc815(\ucee8\uc194\ub9ac\ub370\uc774\uc158) \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud5a5\ud6c4 1~3\uc8fc\ub85c \uc2dc\uacc4\ub97c \ub113\ud788\uba74 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7fd\uac8c \ud615\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc6d4\uac04 CPI \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 4.0%\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub410\uace0, \uc774 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ube68\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc791\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc758\ubb38\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. AUD\/USD\uac00 0.6600\uc758 \uac15\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud55c, 0.6720 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ub3cc\ud30c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc810\ucc28 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc5ed\ud48d\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ud63c\uc7ac\ub418\uba70 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud589\ubcf4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ud638\uc8fc \uc218\ucd9c\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc218\uc694\ucc98\uc778 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc740 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0\ub294 \ubabb \ubbf8\uccd0, \ud1b5\uc0c1 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Strategy Considerations and Market Context<\/h3>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uace0 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8\uc911 \ud558\ub098\uac00 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread)\ub85c, \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\uc220\uc740 \uc7a0\uc7ac \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0, \ucd08\uae30 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc774 \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc758 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub3c4 \uc904\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud604 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9bc\uc73c\ub85c AUD\/USD\uac00 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uac07\ud78c \ucc44 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub2e4\uac00 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub354 \ud070 \ub3cc\ud30c\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 2023\ub144 \ub9d0\uacfc \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc AUD\/USD \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub824\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9 \uce21\uba74\uc758 \uc774\uc810\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uba85\ud655\ud55c \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uae30 \uc804\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc124\uc815\ud558\uae30\uc5d0 \uc801\uc808\ud55c \uc2dc\uc810\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc9c0\uc18d, \ub2e8\uae30 0.6915~0.6950 \uac07\ud798. 0.6900 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc720\uc9c0 \uc2dc 0.6980 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ub3cc\ud30c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud655\ub300. RBA \uc778\ud558 \uc9c0\uc5f0\u00b7Fed \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\u00b7\uc911\uad6d \ub454\ud654 \uc0c1\ucda9, \uc800\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc18d \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50261,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51125","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51125","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51125"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51125\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50261"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51125"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51125"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51125"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}