{"id":51123,"date":"2026-07-09T10:59:17","date_gmt":"2026-07-09T10:59:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-rbnz-%eb%a7%8c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%bc%ec%b9%98-25bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%c2%b7%ec%b6%94\/"},"modified":"2026-07-09T10:59:17","modified_gmt":"2026-07-09T10:59:17","slug":"%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-rbnz-%eb%a7%8c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%bc%ec%b9%98-25bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%c2%b7%ec%b6%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-rbnz-%eb%a7%8c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%bc%ec%b9%98-25bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%c2%b7%ec%b6%94\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec, RBNZ \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58 25bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc5d0 0.57\uc120 \uc0c1\ud68c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD\/USD)\ub294 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Official Cash Rate, OCR)\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 2.50%\ub85c \uc62c\ub9b0 \ub4a4 0.57\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud574 \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58\ub85c \uc774\ub904\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, 5\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc815\ucc45 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \ub450\uace0 3\ub300 3\uc73c\ub85c \uc758\uacac\uc774 \uac08\ub838\ub358 \uac83\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub0ac\ub2e4. RBNZ\ub294 OCR\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uacbd\uae30\ubd80\uc591\uc801(accommodative) \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc544\uc6b8\ub7ec \u201c\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc790\uadf9\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ucd95\uc18c\uac00 \uac00\ub2a5\ud560 \uac83(further reduction in monetary stimulus is likely)\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud600, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>RBNZ\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 2026\ub144 2\ubd84\uae30 3.9%\ub85c \uc815\uc810\uc744 \ucc0d\uc740 \ub4a4 2026\ub144 3\ubd84\uae30 3.3%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud558\uace0, 2027\ub144 \uc911\ubc18\uc5d0\ub294 1~3% \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\uc758 \uc911\uac04\uac12\uc778 2%\ub97c \ud5a5\ud574 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf5\uadc0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub2e4\ubd24\ub2e4. \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud3c9\uac00\uc640 \uad00\ub828\ud574 \uc704\uc6d0 2\uba85\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc0c1\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4\uc838 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \ub098\uba38\uc9c0 4\uba85\uc740 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc774\ud6c4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uade0\ud615\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>RBNZ \uc815\ucc45\uacfc NZD\/USD \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub2e8\ud638\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud55c \uc810\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c \uc758\uc9c0\uac00 \ubd84\uba85\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubd80\uc591\uc801 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f4\uc5b4\ub454 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\u2019 \uae30\uc870\ub294 \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD)\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c NZD\/USD\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ubb34\uac8c\ub97c \ub454 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 0.5800 \ubd80\uadfc, \ub9cc\uae30 2026\ub144 8~9\uc6d4\uc758 NZD\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8 \ub300\ube44 \uae30\ub300\uc218\uc775 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc190\uc2e4\uc740 \uc9c0\uae09\ud55c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c RBNZ \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ud604 \uc2dc\uc810\uc774 \uc9c4\uc785\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uad6c\uac04\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778 \ubc0f \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uace0\ub824\uc0ac\ud56d<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0 \uc18d\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc804 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8(pause)\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c \uac83\uacfc \ub300\ube44\ub418\uba70 \uac15\ud654\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ucc28\uc774(\uc815\ucc45 \ub2e4\uc774\ubc84\uc804\uc2a4)\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \ud1b5\ud654\uc778 NZD\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \ucd5c\uc2e0 CPI\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.7%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub41c \uc810\ub3c4 RBNZ\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uc57c \ud560 \ud544\uc694\uc131\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc218\uae09 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ucd5c\uadfc \ud55c \ub2ec\uac04 \ud22c\uae30\uc801 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc758 NZD \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218(\ub137\ub871) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\uace0\uac00 \ub098\uc640, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \uc13c\ud2f0\uba3c\ud2b8\uac00 \uc774\ubbf8 \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \ub3d9\ubc18\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ud3b8\uc2b9\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc NZD\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uacbd\uacc4\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 2014\ub144\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uae34\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ucd08\ubc18 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\ud6c4 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc5ec\uac74 \ubcc0\ud654\ub85c \uc57d\ud654\ub41c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubcf4\uc218\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc811\uadfc\ud558\ub824\uba74 \ucd08\uae30 \ud604\uae08\uc9c0\ucd9c\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uace0 \uae09\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RBNZ\uac00 OCR 25bp \uc778\uc0c1(2.50%)\uc744 \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58\ub85c \ub2e8\ud589, \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70 NZD\/USD\ub294 0.57 \uc0c1\ud68c. 0.58 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1 \ub9e4\ud30c \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub098 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \ubcc0\uc218 \uacbd\uacc4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50580,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51123","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51123","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51123"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51123\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50580"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51123"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51123"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51123"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}