{"id":51086,"date":"2026-07-09T00:59:20","date_gmt":"2026-07-09T00:59:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ec%9d%b4%ea%b2%ac-%eb%93%9c%eb%9f%ac%eb%82%b4%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%bd%eb%a1%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-07-09T00:59:20","modified_gmt":"2026-07-09T00:59:20","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ec%9d%b4%ea%b2%ac-%eb%93%9c%eb%9f%ac%eb%82%b4%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%bd%eb%a1%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%98%ec%82%ac%eb%a1%9d-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ec%9d%b4%ea%b2%ac-%eb%93%9c%eb%9f%ac%eb%82%b4%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%bd%eb%a1%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d, \uc815\ucc45 \uc774\uacac \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0b4\u2026\uc2dc\uc7a5, \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \uac15\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ubd84\uc5f4\ub41c \ud0dc\ub3c4\uc640 \ubcc0\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc18\uc601<\/p>\n\n

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\ub294 6\uc6d4 16~17\uc77c FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc774 18:00 GMT\uc5d0 \uacf5\uac1c\ub41c \ub4a4 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 101.00\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \ud68c\uc758\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\ub294 12-0 \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58 \uacb0\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc740 \ud45c\uba74 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc774\uacac\uc744 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd80 \ucc38\uac00\uc790\ub294 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\uace0, \ub2e4\ub978 \uc77c\ubd80\ub294 \uc2dc\uc810\uc0c1\uc758 \uc774\uc720\ub85c \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc815\uc9c0(pause)\u2019\ub97c \ubc1b\uc544\ub4e4\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 18\uba85 \uc911 9\uba85\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \ub3d9\uacb0\uc740 8\uba85, \uc778\ud558\ub294 1\uba85\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\ub7ec \ucc38\uac00\uc790\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \uc81c\uc57d\uc801\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4. \uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\ub294 \uc644\ud654 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud45c\ud604\uc744 \uc0ad\uc81c\ud588\uace0, \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ud504\ub808\uc784\uc6cc\ud06c \uad00\ub828 5\uac1c\uc758 \ub3c5\ub9bd \ud0dc\uc2a4\ud06c\ud3ec\uc2a4 \uad6c\uc131\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc2a4\ud0dc\ud504 \ucd94\uc815\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 5\uc6d4 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 4.1%, \uadfc\uc6d0\uc740 3.4% \uadfc\ucc98\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \ubc30\uacbd \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uad00\uc138 \uc804\uac00(tariff pass-through), \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ud3d0\uc1c4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8, AI \uad00\ub828 \uc218\uc694 \ub4f1\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub410\ub2e4. 2026\ub144\uc758 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 3\uc6d4 2.7%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.6%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc18\uc601\ub3c4 \ubcc0\ud588\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \uc774\uc804\uc5d0\ub294 \ub51c\ub7ec\ub4e4\uc774 2027\ub144 \ucd08\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud6c4 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2027\ub144 \uc911\ubc18\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub294\ub370, \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc740 7\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 3\ubd84\uc758 1\ub85c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uace0 9\uc6d4\uc744 \ub354 \uc120\ud638\ud558\uba70 \uc5f0\ub9d0 4%\ub97c \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a8\ub2e4. ECB\uc640 BoE\uc5d0\uc11c \uac01\uac01 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 2\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc120\uc9c4\uad6d \ub3d9\uc885 \ub300\ube44 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. CPI\ub294 7\uc6d4 14\uc77c 12:30 GMT \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc774\uba70, 7\uc6d4 28~29\uc77c FOMC\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ub808\ubca8\ub85c\ub294 101.27\uacfc 101.50\uc774 \uc800\ud56d, 101.00\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc774\uba70 \uc774\ud6c4 100.95\uc640 100.50\uc774 \ucd94\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. 5\ubd84 \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI\ub294 25 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc18d \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae30\uc870<\/h3>\n\n

\uc5f0\uc900 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc740 \uadf8\ub3d9\uc548\uc758 \uad00\uce21\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud574\uc900\ub2e4. \uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc778\uc0c1 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uacb0 \uacb0\uc815 \uc790\uccb4\ub294 \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud1a0\ub860 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub0b4\ubd80 \ubd84\uc5f4\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud588\uace0 \ub2e4\uc218\uc758 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc790\uac00 \ud604\uc7ac \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \uc81c\uc57d\uc801\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ub0b4\ubd80 \ub17c\uc7c1\uacfc \ucd5c\uadfc \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba70 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc804\uac1c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud615\uc131\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5ec\uac74\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc6b8\uae30\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uc5d0\uc11c \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.5%\ub85c \uc644\uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba70 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 6\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 25\ub9cc \uac1c\uc758 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc99d\uac00\uc640 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc784\uae08 \uc99d\uac00\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba74\uc11c, \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc2dd\ud788\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub17c\ub9ac\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uacfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc18\uc601\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c1\uc811 \ud655\uc778\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 7\uc6d4 29\uc77c FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ub2e8\ud589\ub420 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 60%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba70, \ubd88\uacfc \uba87 \uc8fc \uc804 \ub300\ube44 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \ub6f0\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\ub2ec \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4.25%~4.50%\uc5d0 \uc774\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub9ac\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc2f1\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uac15\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub825\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac 105.50 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc790\uae08\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc774\uba74\uc11c \uc791\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uae08\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \u2018\uc5c7\uac08\ub9bc(divergence)\u2019 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ubc30\uacbd\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubb34\uac8c\ub97c \ub450\uac8c \ub41c\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 7\uc6d4 14\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc778 6\uc6d4 CPI\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 DXY\uc758 \uc870\uc815\uc740 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. DXY \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub098 \uac15\uc138 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uac19\uc740 \ud30c\uc0dd \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba70 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ucd09\ubc1c\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c(defined-risk) \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 \u2014 VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ub3d9\uacb0 \uc18d \ub9e4\ud30c \ubd84\uc5f4\u201d \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc5d0 7\u00b79\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 \uae09\ub4f1, CPI\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \uac15\uc138\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc7ac\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc2f1 \uac00\uc18d. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc9c0, DXY \uc800\ud56d 101.27~101.50\u00b7\uc9c0\uc9c0 101.00.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50126,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51086","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51086","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51086"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51086\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50126"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51086"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51086"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51086"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}